Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

To: Kaslin

OK, so the they are sampling suburban Repubs ... whatever.

They are Repubs, and if a significant amount of Repubs whoever they are are going to vote for Biden, then Trump is sunk and the polls are more accurate then we all believe.

We know that there are hardly any Dems out there who are going to vote for Trump, so add it up.

Lets for a moment say that the percentage of Repubs (Suburban vs. Rural) is 25% to 75%, then if Trump is losing say 10% - 15% of the Suburban Repubs, that is easily enough votes to give Biden a big win in Nov.

Now I am really depressed.


35 posted on 10/07/2020 5:40:58 PM PDT by CapnJack
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]


To: CapnJack

I understand how frustrated people are feeling seeing these sudden dramatic drops in a bunch of polls. But, they are not accurately measuring how voters would vote if the election was held today. Because of the hysteria the media has engaged in over the last week....first the SC nomination, then the debate, then covid it is having a temporary negative effect on many polls.

But, as I mentioned above, voters do not change their opinion suddenly. These polls are the result of polling errors probably caused by the increased difficulty pollsters are having getting voters, particularly Trump supporters, to participate in polls. TRUMP HAS NOT LOST ANY SUPPORT.

Studies have shown that 11% of republicans, 10% of independents and 5% of democrats were not willing to disclose who they planned to vote for. The majority of those voters are going to be Trump voters. He actually has a lot of crossover voting.


39 posted on 10/07/2020 5:58:49 PM PDT by Cathi
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 35 | View Replies ]

To: CapnJack
OK, so the they are sampling suburban Repubs ... whatever.

Trump typically has 90-95% approval among Republicans. That has been his average in polls going back the past 2 years now. The ones that don't support him, that 5 or so percent, are the latte-sipping Republicans who have never voted for him.

Apparently, sampling only sissy Republicans lowers Trump's support level to 70-something percent. That's a big difference and very misleading.

41 posted on 10/07/2020 7:03:31 PM PDT by Greetings_Puny_Humans (I mostly come out at night... mostly.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 35 | View Replies ]

To: CapnJack

Capn:

You should never be depressed by a poll unless you _fully_ understand all the metrics behind it.

Life is too short to be gaslighted by leftists.

Don’t do it.


42 posted on 10/07/2020 7:23:18 PM PDT by cgbg (Masters don't want slaves talking about masters and slaves.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 35 | View Replies ]

To: CapnJack

Here’s a hanky. Get a grip.

What makes you think that there haven’t *always* been anti-Trump Rs and pro-Trump Ds? The pollsters have just figured out how to filter for bias.


49 posted on 10/07/2020 9:52:07 PM PDT by calenel (Don't panic. Prepare and be vigilant. Join the war effort. On the human side.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 35 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson