I went looking and found this from Aug. 23, 2020,:
https://www.kwtx.com/2020/08/24/prolific-elections-predictor-trump-wins-2020-in-a-landslide/
it says:
“Norpoth was one of a handful of pollsters who correctly predicted Trump’s victory in 2016, and his Primary Model has predicted five of the six presidential elections since 1996. When applied to previous elections, the model correctly predicted 25 of the last 27 elections, missing only the 2000 election in which George W. Bush defeated Al Gore and the 1960 election in which John F. Kennedy defeated Richard Nixon.”
We suspect the 1960 election was stolen through Chicago vote fraud. We know 520 votes swung Florida. Those were two unusual events.
I’ll go with his prediction, although I don’t think Trump’ll get NY.
People forget a key point in Bush v Gore. Florida was NOT close except for media calling the state when GOP panhandle still had an hour to vote. Best estimates are that voter suppression cost Bush 20,000 from his margin. Gore and media thought it would be enough, but GOP had exceeded their expectations.