[cgbg]

Many people vote outside their party.

Now _this_ is one area where polls can actually help.

There is no evidence of either party breaking significantly with their candidates this year.

Biden's big problem is that the Democratic turnout in early voting is _much_ lower than projected in the polls and significantly lower (percentage wise) than in 2016.

Biden's only hope is that Democrats miraculously overcome their fear of corona-virus and show up at the polls on election day in unprecedented high numbers--very, very unlikely.

If the Democrats election-day turnout is similar to (or more likely, less than) past presidential elections, Biden is burnt toast.

[catnipman]

“Biden’s only hope is that Democrats miraculously overcome their fear of corona-virus and show up at the polls on election day in unprecedented high numbers—very, very unlikely.”

ESPECIALLY given the complete lack of enthusiasm by the Dems for biden, which includes information from several polls and the single-digit “turnout” for EVERY biden/jill/bernie “rally” ...