One more reason, with Arizona, Michigan can almost completely substitute for Pennsylvania if Trump also wins Florida.
Posted on 10/21/2020 8:41:52 AM PDT by FR33DOM4ME
President Trump and Democrat Joe Biden are in a near tie in Arizona, a state Trump carried by three-and-a-half points in 2016.
A new Rasmussen Reports telephone and online survey of Likely Voters in Arizona shows Biden leading Trump 48% to 46%. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, while another three percent (3%) remain undecided.(To see survey question wording, click here.)
Factor in those who haven’t made up their minds yet but are leaning toward one candidate or the other, and Biden has a minimal 48% to 47% lead.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
I agree with you.
One thing that I’d really like to know: why are people even on FR if they only moan about polls that contradict every other metric, including known results of internal campaign polls?
These posters are depressed, tell us its over, we are about to become a satellite of the CCP and when queried by me as to what they will do in that case, they either don’t ever reply or they get huffy (or send me mewling emails about how they didn’t mean their post) or just shrug and say they won’t uproot their families.
Really? The world as you know it is about to become as dystopian as one could imagine, your job will be gone, inflation will soar, it will take a Mark to participate and the Mark will be predicated on renunciation of your beliefs, the punishments will be physical (beatings, arson, killings) and they won’t *uproot their families*?
Where are those dang Viking Kitties when you need them?
Yes concur- also consider many others who are inspired but not participating in vehicle parades. It generates some excitement to be a part of the enthusiasm wave.
There are about 110,000 more registered Republicans than registered Rats in Arizona. That’s a good number.
As the practice has been before this year, the Dems look for the figure on how many GOP votes they have to overcome with fakes, harvested, cemetery voters and now newly minted after-election mail-in fraud ballots. So 2% in this example.
City of Detroit is famous example. GOP leads and votes are 92% or 98% counted in outstate often spread out rural counties. Then , somehow, the Detroit and other urban city vote tallies are "late" and "they're having problems tabulating" and "machine problems." And the next day or even later, the GOP margin is met and slightly surpassed: Dems win.
Now it is going national. Actually we know 2016 House was that way. Went from several GOP wins to "oh, goodness, actually they were Dem wins."
Nope, Trump will win here in AZ.
Trump has drawn thousands at his rallys here compared to Biden’s handful.
One problem is a lot of Californians have been moving to AZ. To Tucson and Flagstaff. My Californian son may be moving there next year for college himself. But in his case, he’ll bring his GOP vote with him.
He is looking to red states for college, in the hopes he can find one that is open. So AZ better stay red and their colleges better reopen and stay open! (If they want my out of state tuition money).
One more reason, with Arizona, Michigan can almost completely substitute for Pennsylvania if Trump also wins Florida.
Remember in 2012 campaign Bammy was way behind in the polls but Mittens had a lackluster dud of an effort in the closing weeks plus his bad showing in the last 2 debates. The Bamboozler campaigned with some energy and momentum in the closing weeks to seal the deal. Some parallels to consider now here in 2020.
Which means Trump is leading by 2-3 pts.
Californians are finding out how high the quality of life is in Arizona and are coming in in droves - more conservatives than liberals, so far, but that could change quickly as Newsom continues the destruction of his state.
“Rasmussen’s poll is odd. He seems to have waaaay oversampled independents.”
Scott Rasmussen sold his Rasmussen Reports polling company 5-6 years ago so really it’s a ‘They’ rather than ‘He’.
Trump has the advantage in Arizona. I’ll be surprised if Biden can take the state especially if it is so close. Polling always underestimates Trump. Also remember that the polls were way off on special elections in California and Wisconsin. Silver predicted a Democrat win and Republicans won the races resoundingly. We need to work hard and vote. If that happens Arizona is a win for the President. The only thing that pisses me off is the traitorous McCain clan. There are plenty of dull bulb Republicrats and if we lose Arizona it will be because of them.
Trump should start talking of opening schools, and giving federal education dollars to be used for alternatives.
better yet- what were the numbers from rasmussen’s last Arizona poll?
Excellent question that always needs to be asked.
The shy trump voter ought to make up at least 2%.
Trump is spending more time in AZ for a reason. That makes me think AZ is close.
My thought is CA are fleeing to places like AZ, and like the proverbially braindead and insane, keep voting for what is destroying them. This time and this place it will work!
This is actually a sad commentary. Trump talks like someone does who is used to getting stuff done. For all Reagan's statesmanship and bearing as a philospher king, that is what he was. He was a good thinker and a good leader, but he was not a guy who just want off and got stuff done. It didn't matter so much then, but we have decades of swamp rot that has set in under Bush, Clinton, Bush and Obama.
Who's to say they haven't already done that, if only by proxy?
Californians bought the place next to me. I was delighted when I saw them in town the other day and everyone was wearing Trump hats.
At work I mix with a lot of folks migrating into the state and for the most part they are conservative.
To all pearl clutching sissies. I just got these latest numbers from my friend who is friends with the independent pollster who is one of the best:
NJ Trump 45 Biden 48
NM Trump 45 Biden 46
OR Trump 46 Biden 47
NV Trump 49 Biden 46
CO Trump 47 Biden 47
WI Trump 50 Biden 45
NH Trump 49 Biden 46
ME Trump 48 Biden 46
VA Trump 47 Biden 47
PA Trump 50 Biden 45
MN Trump 47 Biden 44
AZ Trump 50 Biden 45
MI Trump 50 Biden 44
FLA Trump 52 Biden 44
TX Trump 54 Biden 42
NC Trump 53 Biden 43
OH Trump 53 Biden 41
IA Trump 54 Biden 41
National Poll: At least 100 people in each Congressional District have been polled Almost 44 to 50 thousand respondents
Trump 51.2 Biden 44.4
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