[FR33DOM4ME]

So.... I have a nagging feeling Trump may lose AZ based on what I've been reading lately. That could change by the end of next week but right now I have a not-so-good feeling....

[dangus]

Rasmussen’s poll is odd. He seems to have waaaay oversampled independents.

[nathanbedford]

Jumping in before the cheerleading crowd warns us what a detestable human being Rasmussen is, the Trafalgar poll has Biden up in Arizona and another pundit who also predicts Trump's victory there and notes his success with Hispanics.

The trend is our friend even with Rasmussen.

[Enlightened1]

Did you see the Trump rally the other day in Arizona?
It was gigantic. Biden on the other hand had no one show up.

Trump had over a million views of his rally online. Biden had hardly anyone. His biggest number was 2000.

It’s easier to fake multiple polls than multiple rallies.

If Biden has all that support, then how come no one is watching his rallies?

[MikeyB806]

I’m so tired of seeing Trump behind in virtually every poll. It’s like 2016 all over again, but “the polls are wrong” still isn’t very comforting.

[tflabo]

Trump won AZ in 2016 and now he’s the incumbent President. He should garner more Latino voters too than in 2016. The enthusiasm factor is clearly with Trump. My unscientific guess is that he takes AZ again.

[DarthVader]

Go pearl clutch elsewhere. Rasmussen is no longer owned by him. Soros and the DS has basically commandeered all polling sources that predicted a Trump victory in 2016.

[libh8er]

The price of growth and prosperity as AZ has been in over the last decade is that people from sh**hole Democrat run states will move in and start changing that. AZ is going in the direction of CO.

[redfreedom]

Your absolutely right, I mean this poll and all the others are just spot on. Trump is toast, America is toast. The polls are so dismally accurate, most of us should just commit suicide and not even bother voting. /s/

Seriously, back in 2016 I knew the polls were a joke based on voter enthusiasm. And the actual election proved them so.

So just why are the polls this year so much more accurate when the rats have a totally zero candidate and the enthusiasm level for Trump exceeds 2016?

I’m sorry, hand wringing & pearl clutching over fake polls is not my thing.

[indthkr]

What were the numbers in 2016?

[God luvs America]

two days shy of four years ago clinton was up by 5 pts over President Trump: https://www.politico.com/story/2016/10/poll-arizona-clinton-beating-trump-229972

[freddy005]

Trump will win Arizona but not by the same margin as last time. It’ll be closer- perhaps by no more than 2%. It’s sad that a once solid Red State is showing deep purple colors but ironically its to because of the Hispanic vote this time.....it’s the White Suburban women (i.e. Karens) who have fallen for the COVID is all Trump’s fault.

[fireman15]

You ought to try and ignore that nagging feeling, and stop being a tool for the left. I have friends and relatives in AZ and they start laughing when told of polls that project AZ going to Biden. Rasmussen is vulnerable to the same type of polling inaccuracies that the rest of the pollsters are. They don't even have a real person talk to you... it is all done on a computer. It is completely irritating. Less than 5% of people called by pollsters actually choose to participate, it is probably even less for Rasmussen. That is no longer a random survey.

The 5% who participate typically have a reason for wasting their time; they are not representative of the average voter.

The only thing that makes Rasmussen (which has been sold since the last presidential election) slightly better is that many of the other pollsters are actually doing push polls... which are actually intended to skew the results and whose actual goal are to influence people.

https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2019/02/27/response-rates-in-telephone-surveys-have-resumed-their-decline/

[Lazamataz]

So.... I have a nagging feeling Trump may lose AZ based on what I've been reading lately. That could change by the end of next week but right now I have a not-so-good feeling....

HHAHHAHHAHHHAHHAHHHA

[thefactor]

One of two things is going to happen in two weeks:

The polls are going to have been proven wrong yet again, or

A LOT of FReepers will be eating their words.

Fascinating stuff.

[Fairhairedboy]

So.... I have a nagging feeling Trump may lose AZ

You sir are the definition of a nag.

[Fairhairedboy]

the bedwetters and handwringing crybabies whine about every propaganda poll that gets published.

Do you accept the accusation?

[GAHeel]

Trump will WIN AZ—Rich Barris’ Poll (People’s Pundit) just finished his poll and he showed Trump 46.9 Biden 44.4.
He said that Trump is surging in AZ and he believes Trump may win by 4 points.
Registration for GOP is back up with a gap up over 100,000.

[olivia3boys]

One problem is a lot of Californians have been moving to AZ. To Tucson and Flagstaff. My Californian son may be moving there next year for college himself. But in his case, he’ll bring his GOP vote with him.

He is looking to red states for college, in the hopes he can find one that is open. So AZ better stay red and their colleges better reopen and stay open! (If they want my out of state tuition money).

[Georgia Girl 2]

Which means Trump is leading by 2-3 pts.

[Maelstorm]

Trump has the advantage in Arizona. I’ll be surprised if Biden can take the state especially if it is so close. Polling always underestimates Trump. Also remember that the polls were way off on special elections in California and Wisconsin. Silver predicted a Democrat win and Republicans won the races resoundingly. We need to work hard and vote. If that happens Arizona is a win for the President. The only thing that pisses me off is the traitorous McCain clan. There are plenty of dull bulb Republicrats and if we lose Arizona it will be because of them.