The R-D gap this morning was 10.75%. Over the course of a day, it went all the way down to 7.66%.
For reference, the gap going into Election Day was 1.46%.
In theory, three strong days like today’s will put us there and then it’s gravy from there. But we shall see.
I think the gap has to be somewhat less than 1.46%. After, the early vote this year year, the pool of Republican voters available on election day is going to be much smaller. I would think the proper way to gauge the goal would be= 1.46* early votes cast in 2016/early votes cast in 2020