Posted on 10/23/2020 7:33:05 AM PDT by hcmama
President Trump holds a three-point lead over Democrat Joe Biden in Florida, a state that’s critical to whether or not the president is reelected.
A new Rasmussen Reports telephone and online survey of Likely Voters in Florida finds Trump beating Biden 49% to 46%. Three percent (3%) like some other candidate, and another three percent (3%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
Factor in those who haven’t made up their minds yet but are leaning toward one candidate or the other, and Trump gains another point, besting Biden 50% to 46%.
Bingo!! Also COVID-19 was bring used by Biden to hide low low the support for him really is!!
I think the President also wants to win the national popular vote.
That would really help make the “mandate” argument, particularly if he can get a Republican House and Senate.
This is nice and all, but remember: all polls are creative lies. The only thing that matters, that will ever matter, is that you go vote for T and bring your friends with you. It’s not enough to win, we have to defeat the margin of fraud as well.
Vote for T. Bring your friends.
FL was the ONLY state that was remotely “in play” of the recognized “swing states” on election night last cycle...
It’s not this time, nor are any of the other states Trump won in 16.
All the lies and push polling by the media is not going to change the very simple reality.
Trump will outperform his 16 numbers ACROSS THR BOARD.. period.
He’ll take most of, if not all of the states he lost by less that 5 in 16 and don’t be surprised if he picks off a few he lost by more than 5 as well.
The only question in my mind going into election night this time, is will the GOP retake the house... that’s it.
I may eat crow, but what was abundantly clear to me in 16, is screamingly obvious to anyone who bothers to actually get out of the urban enclaves and open there eyes. I have live in PA since 1986, except for 15 months, and I have never, ever, ever seen anything like what I see on the ground here..
Notice how no one has mentioned that no president since Kennedy has won without OH?!? And only 4 times since 1860 has it not gone for the winner?!?? That mantra they pull out every election trying to convince folks OH is in play etc... has anyone heard that one yet?!? I haven’t this cycle.
I will be shocked, if any state, even the bluest of blue states show Trump winning less of the vote than he did in 16.
“Through the years polls have been notoriouslywrong. Is it possible we could see a Trump electoral landslide? “
I don’t think either one is going to blow the other out. That’s just not the nature of the electorate in America at this point.
Increasingly, however, I think T is in considerably better position than MSDNC thinks he is. He likely always was, but as election gets closer, they need to make sure their polls aren’t off by too much, otherwise their credibility is gone. Well, more gone :D
I’m going to be honest. I think there’s some wishful thinking in that list.
Though I do agree that FL is looking good for Trump, but not by that much.
This was NOT DONE by a GOP pollster so this is not wishful thinking. INDEPENDENT INTERNALS get the real numbers because that is what they are paid lots of $$$ to do. No political slant, no oversampling nor massaging, latest and greatest demographics and large sample size for precision and accuracy. This is a real assessment by one of the best in the business and it is a large firm whose clientele are not restricted to politics.
“This was NOT DONE by a GOP pollster so this is not wishful thinking. INDEPENDENT INTERNALS get the real numbers because that is what they are paid lots of $$$ to do. No political slant, no oversampling nor massaging, latest and greatest demographics and large sample size for precision and accuracy. This is a real assessment by one of the best in the business and it is a large firm whose clientele are not restricted to politics.”
I will be extremely pleased if those numbers come to pass, no doubt. My own prediction has been that T will pull out a win very close to what he did with 2016. Time will tell.
Your feeling is based upon a steady diet of MSM BS propaganda that is out there. Not your fault. In my profession we disconnect from it because we have other sources of data to reference and toss out the garbage.
I just heard on Fox News that Biden is campaigning in Delaware today. That sure is not indicative of a winning campaign.
Wow!!That is a good indicator!
Yep. Wish I could post a link but it was on TV at the top of the hour news.
“Your feeling is based upon a steady diet of MSM BS propaganda that is out there. Not your fault. In my profession we disconnect from it because we have other sources of data to reference and toss out the garbage.”
I would presume that the biggest driving force behind some of these numbers are increased support for T among Hispanics and young black men, yes?
Yes it is and I see it in my state. Also Caucasian moderate democrats are getting disgusted with their party. You should hear them they sound like GOP.
Hi.
Someone in the DNC just said, “Oh shit!”
I heard it St. Pete, it was that loud.
5.56mm
“Yes it is and I see it in my state. Also Caucasian moderate democrats are getting disgusted with their party. You should hear them they sound like GOP.”
Nothing like having the D candidate get on TV and tell you to your face he’s going to end the industry you work in.
I don’t think either one is going to blow the other out. That’s just not the nature of the electorate in America at this point.
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The reality because only little over half the adult population that are qualified to vote actually vote.
Can you imagine that? Some people just don’t care about who is their leader or politics.
Look at the post above where Biden is campaigning in DE! What does that tell you? Also watch Frank Luntz’s focus group from last night. Very enlightening!
so cal = house pick ups
The periscopes between Richard Baris (@Peoples_Pundit) and political bettor Robert Barnes have been incredibly informative. The polling knowledge they have of ethnic communities and how they have voted historically is amazing e.g Norwegians in Wisconsin vs Italians and Polish. They are both so open and transparent as to polling results and need for accuracy that it’s easier to have faith in them than in any “media polls”.
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