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Florida Early Vote update, 10/31/2020
ElectionCZAR ^ | 10/31/2020 | self

Posted on 10/31/2020 5:48:13 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas

VBM Ballots - DEMs lead by 644,202

In-Person Early Voting - REPs lead by 528,151

Combined Early Voting - DEMs lead by 116,051


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: earlyvoting; florida
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To: floridalife68

IBTZ!


81 posted on 10/31/2020 7:48:51 AM PDT by Fresh Wind (When seconds count, social workers are days away.)
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To: floridalife68
Off your meds today are we?
Now why don't you go out for a nice little walk and cool down?
82 posted on 10/31/2020 7:48:54 AM PDT by SmokingJoe
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To: Ravi

Yep, but then you’re into voter registrations.


83 posted on 10/31/2020 7:49:21 AM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: All

Worrying about “Is it 80,000? 90,000? 100,000?” misses the point. This is NOT the actual election! We know nothing about how independents are voting. We don’t know if the GOP is cannibalizing the Election Day vote or not. We don’t know what we don’t know, and counting angels dancing on the head of a pin doesn’t help.

Me? I’m thrilled we have NOT been blown away by the huge emphasis Demoncrats put on vote by mail! Months of telling their voters they MUST vote by mail or die....and they have NOT blown us away. All the ballots they sent out? Obama trying to prop up Pasty White Joe?

Here’s the prize, IMHO: When Election Day starts, Republicans have a real chance to outvote Demoncrats in the General Election! And if independents break 51:49, Trump should still win!

What the numbers prove right now is that enthusiasm FOR Trump is at least as great as hatred for Trump. maybe greater. And they show the polls claiming Biden is winning in a landslide are utter DOG POOP!

That is good enough for me. Of course, I’m not laying bets either. But we don’t know what we cannot know, and there is no one magic number. Heck, I’d be a little nervous if we had a 500,000 vote LEAD right now. I’ll be at least a little nervous until I see the Washington Post admit Trump won!

But these results are great, and I thank all of you who have done so much work to keep us peons updated! I’d feel horrible listening to the media tell me Joe is winning in a landslide if I didn’t have y’all pointing out what is happening conflicts with their damn polls!


84 posted on 10/31/2020 7:50:15 AM PDT by Mr Rogers
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To: Taxman

Not necessarily.

I went to see Obama once. Just because I wanted to lay eyes on him.

He was a dope...but he is a historical character for this country.


85 posted on 10/31/2020 7:50:35 AM PDT by Vermont Lt
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To: SpeedyInTexas

Pssst! I’m the one who pinged you re: the 96K number.


86 posted on 10/31/2020 7:51:08 AM PDT by Coop (After 14 years, it's time for a new tagline)
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To: SpeedyInTexas

I have a question that may have already been address in the past on this thread. Regarding the vote by mail numbers, are the numbers just the number of ballots that have been returned by Republicans and Democrats? Or are these the actual votes for the candidates? Where I’m getting at, is the enthusiasm gap is so large between the Republicans for Trump at 94 to 96%, and the enthusiasm gap for Biden runs around the 60 to 65%. There may be a chance that a large number of the vote by mail by the Democrats are not actually votes for Biden. Am I off in this way of thinking?


87 posted on 10/31/2020 7:52:06 AM PDT by wright2bear (#NeverTrump is a mental disorder!)
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To: SpeedyInTexas
It's funny how the “found” votes always favor the Dems. I bet a lot of the “found” votes came from that crazy black woman who was elections chief of some county or the other.
88 posted on 10/31/2020 7:53:11 AM PDT by SmokingJoe
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To: LS

Larry we all agree on 96k now.

We beat that horse to death.


89 posted on 10/31/2020 7:55:23 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas (Localization, not Globalization)
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To: wright2bear
Regarding the vote by mail numbers, are the numbers just the number of ballots that have been returned by Republicans and Democrats? Or are these the actual votes for the candidates?

No votes have been counted. They are ballots that have been returned for Dems and Republicans.

90 posted on 10/31/2020 7:55:36 AM PDT by SmokingJoe
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To: wright2bear

Numbers are just who voted not how


91 posted on 10/31/2020 7:58:00 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas (Localization, not Globalization)
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To: SpeedyInTexas

That’s what I thought. But then I had someone saying, no it’s 117,000. Which even if true, based on voter reg gains, it would be pretty much . . . 96,000.


92 posted on 10/31/2020 7:59:34 AM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: SmokingJoe

Thanks for clarifying.


93 posted on 10/31/2020 7:59:34 AM PDT by wright2bear (#NeverTrump is a mental disorder!)
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To: SpeedyInTexas
Bat Masterson I believe?
94 posted on 10/31/2020 8:00:04 AM PDT by SmokingJoe
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To: floridalife68; SpeedyInTexas; Ravi

Speedy, you and Ravi should probably update your Christmas card lists.


95 posted on 10/31/2020 8:00:24 AM PDT by Coop (After 14 years, it's time for a new tagline)
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To: SmokingJoe

If you are talking about 88k to 96k, nothing nefarious happened.

Ds simply netted 8k from VBM on Election Eve. Ballots arriving by mail or dropped off in person.

Another huge batch of VBM showed up on Election Day, again dropped off in person or arriving by mail.

Between Election Eve and Election Day, Ds and Rs both increased return rates by 5%.

Another large number of VBM arrived after election day and were invalid. I looked that number up the other day. Somewhere around 30,000 VBM arrived late in 2016.


96 posted on 10/31/2020 8:02:57 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas (Localization, not Globalization)
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To: wright2bear
Where I’m getting at, is the enthusiasm gap is so large between the Republicans for Trump at 94 to 96%, and the enthusiasm gap for Biden runs around the 60 to 65%. There may be a chance that a large number of the vote by mail by the Democrats are not actually votes for Biden. Am I off in this way of thinking?

No.
You are right.
Plenty of Freepers have made that same point in previous Florida threads. It is quite possible Trump is doing even better than appears.

97 posted on 10/31/2020 8:03:22 AM PDT by SmokingJoe
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To: SmokingJoe

NC seems to be slipping away from the Dems delusion of bagging NC + GA to overcome a FL loss.

Also, a reminder that the Dem media machine is warning big-time that a lot of AA’s are not turning up to vote or not returning VBM ballots. I’ve seen them mention Philly and Miami-Dade. This WILL affected any states with big AA populations like FL, NC and GA. This doesn’t even take into consideration that some AA’s will be voting Trump secretly by mail or at the ballot box.


98 posted on 10/31/2020 8:04:10 AM PDT by plushaye (God wins! Anarchy begone in Jesus Name!)
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To: Mr Rogers
What the numbers prove right now is that enthusiasm FOR Trump is at least as great as hatred for Trump. maybe greater. And they show the polls claiming Biden is winning in a landslide are utter DOG POOP!

Exactly right. The rest is speculation and fun (unless one is "on the ground in Florida").

99 posted on 10/31/2020 8:05:26 AM PDT by Coop (After 14 years, it's time for a new tagline)
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To: SpeedyInTexas

Thanks.


100 posted on 10/31/2020 8:06:15 AM PDT by SmokingJoe
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