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It is not the job of a military analyst to give you a positive report about the side you want to see as the winner. If he’s wrong, it’s not because he chose sides for ideological, moral, financial or any other reason.

The reports being released by our govt agencies and those of the UK, often by leaks to the pwnt media, are absolutely pathetic. Even amateurish. The antithesis of analysis.

The entire Biden admin is a disaster in every respect. Along with the Congress.

silverleaf: "It is not the job of a military analyst to give you a positive report about the side you want to see as the winner.
If he’s wrong, it’s not because he chose sides for ideological, moral, financial or any other reason."

To me McGregor sounds like a partisan pro-Russian.
I can't verify his statistics, for all I know they are simply undigested Russian propaganda.
And even if we accept his numbers as "reasonable", I don't think they are the only numbers which matter.
We are simply not seeing the whole picture.

People who should well know the true picture are our intelligence services and those of our allies.
And, so far as I know, they are not saying, as McGregor does, "all is lost, woe are we, surrender to Russia, now not later".

Here's what I do know:

Ukraine, at 230,000 square miles, is slightly smaller than Texas, or, if you prefer, 2/3 of the difference between Texas and California -- meaning closer to Texas than to California.
When orcs invaded in 2014 they captured 16,000 square miles of Ukraine, or about 7%.
When orcs re-invaded in February 2022, they took another 46,000 square miles or about 20%, making 62,000 square miles total, or 27% of Ukraine in orc hands.
Since about April 2022, Ukrainians have fought back, liberating around 29,000 square miles, or 13% of Ukraine, which is roughly half the territory under orc control in March 2022.
Today orcs still control about 33,000 square miles of Ukraine, about 14% of Ukraine's total area and still about double what they had in 2021.

In short, Ukrainians have had considerable success lately, but still have a very long way to go.

But McGregor wants them to surrender now, before it's too late.