If there is anything we have learned since war reporting on Ukraine began, it is
1) nothing can be believed
2) People will believe whatever report they want to believe
Hamas rockets have progressed over the years from 1-2 miles range and a few pounds of explosives to 10s of miles of range and 50 pounds of explosives.
What % of their rockets are 100 mile capable with 50 pounds aboard is likely miniscule. They have the tech to build such a thing, but they are necessarily going to be large and visible from space.
When they are not large, they won’t get 100 mile range. They’ll get 25 or 50 and still have that 50 pounds of explosion aboard. That’s not an absurd warhead.
If you were building such a thing, you would not make it guided. Too expensive in dollars and mass you would prefer to be used for more explosives. No need for GPS and INS aboard. So you have a small rocket with a big warhead and you aim it imprecisely — and let’s make something clear here — you are talking about miniscule radar cross section. All this talk of Iron Dome intercepts is mostly crap. They won’t even see these things on radar, and certainly not in time to do anything about them. You’re better off trying infrared intercepts, though ballistics would say the engine is out of fuel a long time before impact.
Good post