Posted on 11/06/2023 7:52:23 AM PST by SoConPubbie
Much is being made of the New York Times/Siena poll of background states [Full Poll DATA HERE]. Indeed, the professional Democrats are apoplectic with the results, and the deeper you dig into the poll the worse it looks for Joe Biden.
(NYT) – Trump leads Biden in five of the six states — Pennsylvania, Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and Michigan — which would likely be enough to give him the 270 electoral votes needed to win. Biden leads in the sixth state, Wisconsin. Trump leads by at least four percentage points in each of the other five states:
[NYT Article Link] – [ Crosstabs Link ]
Extending the results, if the election were held today, President Trump would win over 300 electoral votes. However, lesser discussed is the structure of the race that is specific to MAGAnomics and President Trump. Within the poll, President Trump is carrying the largest coalition of support amid black Democrats (22%) and Latinos (40%) in Republican history. This is very unique to President Trump and not transferable to any other Republican candidate.
Within that reality, you find the reason for Politico [SEE HERE] and David Axelrod [SEE HERE] to sound the alarms. “Not ‘bed-wetting,’” but legitimate concern, Axelrod wrote, as he simultaneously suggested that Joe Biden drop out of the race. Axelrod says, “the stakes of miscalculation here are too dramatic to ignore. Only @JoeBiden can make this decision,” he continued. “If he continues to run, he will be the nominee of the Democratic Party. What he needs to decide is whether that is wise; whether it’s in HIS best interest or the country’s?”
[…] They’re not outliers in showing Biden in peril: A CBS News/YouGov national poll also released on Sunday showed Trump leading Biden 51 percent to 48 percent — a reversal of Biden’s 51 percent to 47 percent victory in the 2020 election.
The poll results have already prompted tons of handwringing among prominent Democrats within half a day of their release. But it’s not just the topline numbers that should make the party wary of next year — and potentially uneasy about the off-year elections this week.
It’s also what’s buried in the crosstabs and the other questions — specific areas of weakness for Biden on policy, personal attributes and among key segments of the electorate central to his bid for a second term. (read more)
What the poll indicates is that President Trump is carrying a more broad and diverse coalition of support than any Republican politician in modern political history.
And that reality has professional Democrats having fits – highlighted in the face of George Stephanopoulos.
If the election were held today, former President Donald Trump would easily beat President Joe Biden with over 300 electoral votes, according to a new swing state poll from The New York Times and Siena College. https://t.co/4at08MgkQ8
— Axios (@axios) November 5, 2023
NYT POLL: "The more diverse the swing state, the farther Mr. Biden was behind" pic.twitter.com/ozjSNeJ2dr
— RNC Research (@RNCResearch) November 5, 2023
ONE YEAR FROM ELECTION DAY:
"76% of adults in this poll say the country is headed in the WRONG direction. Only 23% — less than a quarter of the country — say that we're headed on the right track." pic.twitter.com/O4rYaNKZnL
— RNC Research (@RNCResearch) November 5, 2023
After another round of brutal polling for Biden, the ABC panel is openly discussing Biden stepping aside:
"They don't know who that Democrat would be right now — I don't think that people look at Kamala Harris and feel like she is ready…" pic.twitter.com/XmusjSdpgc
— RNC Research (@RNCResearch) November 5, 2023
The Repuke response to this is to try and torpedo his candidacy. Which one of you fools are donating to the dumbest party known to man?
They aren’t nervous about anything.
They commit massive fraud whenever and wherever they want, and not only no one goes to jail but they go after anyone who investigates them and try to imprison those people.
Just wait until President Trump, referencing his persecution by the government, starts calling himself the first black president. The. The leftist heads will explode.
Dems will just up the speed on the copiers printing off the needed fake mail-in ballots pre-marked for Biden.
You folks never learn...
I don’t like this at all because it’s too close for Trump to overcome election fraud which sure as hell is going to happen. Why? Because the RINO party refuses to do anything about it, they won’t even talk about it.
“Right direction 23%”
Who the hell are these 23%? Terrorists? Masochists?
He definitely should push that because I couldn’t believe the immediate support he got from the black community when his mugshot was released. I assume getting arrested is a sign of respect? Weird, but hey, he should take every advantage, he is going to need it if he hopes to overcome election fraud.
Sadly, I doubt that's enough to overcome the fraudulent votes.
More like Biden and the Democrats are “changing the demographics of Republican support”.
Biden is terminally unpopular and, as recent polls are confirming, his blithering idiot of a V.P. is equally unpopular or worse.
Watch how these polls suddenly snap back when (not IF) Biden is no longer the Democrat candidate.
Everyone knows by now that Biden’s “win” in 2020 was merely a referendum on Trump (plus fraud) and had nothing to do with any actual support of Biden; likewise, these polls are basically nothing more than a referendum on Biden.
The “shock” portion for the Rats is just HOW unpopular he is — no matter how awful his performance or his policies, he is still always meant to be popular with the hard-core racists and other nutjobs who comprise the mainstream of the Democrat party. The media sees to that every day.
Suddenly it’s not working as well as it usually does — even though Biden is still right there, trailing only by very little, in most so-called swing states.
There’s plenty of time for them to find an alternative, now that they’re finally beginning to understand that they need one.
But, at the same time, almost EIGHTY PERCENT of Americans say the country is "on the wrong track." Those supporters would support Mao, Pol Pot, Lenin, Stalin and Hitler. And perhaps "wrong track" means not enough communism and tyranny.
Trump did this four years ago.
It’s why Deep State had to steal the election, stage a coup, and end our republic.
“I assume getting arrested is a sign of respect?”
It’s “street cred”. Every rapper postures like he is a tough gangster, but the ones that actually get arrested for felonies set themselves apart from the crowd of wannabes.
“Who the hell are these 23%? Terrorists? Masochists?”
Government workers that profit from the current system in place. Great pay and benefits for little work, followed by amazing pensions.
If Democrats had an sense of right and wrong, they too would vote for Trump, or at least calling for Biden to step down
I’m not saying that’s not part of it but a lot of these people are “true believers”. I had one the other day tell me Trump’s economic success as president was because of the ground work Obama laid for him and it would not have happened otherwise.
The polls mean nothing. By Friday of election week all those states will be wins for Biden. Haven’t we learned anything. The democrats will produce however many votes they need from Detroit, Las Vegas, Atlanta and Philly.
Sadly, I doubt that’s enough to overcome the fraudulent votes.
........
I have been in the camp that it is impossible for the pubs to win because of democrat fraud. but imho if the winning margins are above 10% or so—that pushes the vote outside of of the capabilities of the democrat fraud machine.
Trump has a 10& lead in Nevada. I think that’s enough to overcome the democrat fraud in nevada. There’s a lot more bad news coming imho that can push the other states to 10%. Any undecideds toward the end will switch to trump.
So I share the same concern about democrat fraud as you. but now I do think there’s a chance that trump can win. even from jail.
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