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A wargame simulated a 2nd Trump presidency. It concluded NATO would collapse.
Business Insider ^ | May 12, 2024 | Michael Peck

Posted on 05/13/2024 7:16:34 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican

If Donald Trump wins a second term in the White House in November, NATO may fall apart, a recent wargame found.

As a presidential candidate, Trump has threatened to quit NATO unless European allies contribute more, and should he carry it out Europe may decide to go it alone on defense, the game suggests. "A US policy of frustrating NATO has the potential to cause the alliance to collapse, with the EU as a candidate for eventually replacing NATO's ultimate function — defending Europe from Russia," wrote Finley Grimble, the British defense expert who designed and ran the game.

The US doesn't have to withdraw from NATO to imperil the 75-year-old alliance. Technically, the US is barred from leaving NATO after Congress voted in 2023 to prohibit withdrawal without congressional approval.

But the game showed how Trump — the presumptive Republican presidential nominee who said on the campaign trail that he'd encourage Russia to "do whatever the hell they want" with NATO allies who spend too little on their militaries — could undermine NATO simply by doing as little as possible to support the alliance. "What Donald Trump can do is just really hollow out what NATO does," Grimble told Business Insider. "He doesn't need to leave NATO to ruin it. He can ruin it from within."

Grimble, who has conducted wargames for the British government, conceived of this game after claims by former US National Security Adviser John Bolton that he talked then-President Trump out of withdrawing from NATO in 2018. He designed a tabletop simulation where the players — mostly British specialists in defense, intelligence and foreign policy — assumed the role of leaders of the 32 NATO nations, plus Ukraine and Russia; China was played by the umpires.

(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; Foreign Affairs; France; Germany; Government; Political Humor/Cartoons; Politics/Elections; Ukraine
KEYWORDS: 2018; ai; axisandallies; babylonthegreat; boardgameinsider; boardgames; bolton; britain; businessinsider; chat; endnato; eussr; fakenews; finleygrimble; fourthreich; grimble; johnbolton; merkel; michaelpeck; molotovribbentrop; nato; natonazis; nerds; newmolotovribbentrop; newsweak; notukraine; nutso; predeterminedoutcome; risk; stoltenberg; tabletopsimulation; tds; trump; trumppersecution; uk; wargame; wishfulthinking
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To: Rlsau1
NATO was formed to block Communists’ ambitions.

If that were true then NATO would have disbanded after the collapse of the Soviet Union.

101 posted on 05/14/2024 4:59:34 AM PDT by Alberta's Child (If something in government doesn’t make sense, you can be sure it makes dollars.)
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To: MinorityRepublican

And this is supposed to be a “bad” thing?!? We can bring a large portion of our military home and cut some stupid defense budgeting that does NOT defend the US!


102 posted on 05/14/2024 5:24:42 AM PDT by ExTxMarine (Finish the Wall and Deport them All!)
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To: VTenigma

BTTT!!!!


103 posted on 05/14/2024 5:26:54 AM PDT by ExTxMarine (Finish the Wall and Deport them All!)
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To: MinorityRepublican

” wrote Finley Grimble, the British defense expert who designed and ran the game.”

Life is not a game. War is not a game.

Computers are very fast and very stupid.

Computer models are pure BS!


104 posted on 05/14/2024 5:29:30 AM PDT by Texas Fossil (Texas is not about where you were born, but a Free State of Heart, Mind and Attitude.)
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To: Bishop_Malachi

“...but they don’t strike me as some sort of imperialistic powerhouse.”

They thought they were, and would roll-over the Ukes in 3-4 days. But that sure proved problematic for the commies.


105 posted on 05/14/2024 5:33:03 AM PDT by Carriage Hill (A society grows great when old men plant trees, in whose shade they know they will never sit.)
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To: PGR88

“British may actually be an enemy of the US Republic”

Correct. But like the USA, they are divided politically. And they are past recovery from the outside invasion of aliens.

We are looking that evil straight in the eye. And it is do or die.


106 posted on 05/14/2024 5:35:11 AM PDT by Texas Fossil (Texas is not about where you were born, but a Free State of Heart, Mind and Attitude.)
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To: StrictConstructionist

If other countries want our defense, then they should pay the total cost of our troops and equipment and support being there.

Plus a slight vig for the trouble.


107 posted on 05/14/2024 6:55:34 AM PDT by ro_dreaming (Who knew "Idiocracy", "1984", "Enemy of the State", and "Person of Interest" would be non-fiction?)
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To: MinorityRepublican

All the more incentive to vote for Trump!


108 posted on 05/14/2024 8:55:52 AM PDT by Kazan
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To: MinorityRepublican

This is the fear methods used to keep us engaged in a war. A long with many other contrived situations. Ie.. Climate It is them that are the ‘conspiracy theorists’. How long has this war been going on? Russia gave ample warning for years about NATO. Everyone has their line.. they let it be known loud and clear that was a line.


109 posted on 05/14/2024 9:00:37 AM PDT by HollyB
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To: OakOak

They blow up pipelines one day, the next - they are trying to cull cattle over methane. Can’t make this up.


110 posted on 05/14/2024 9:08:00 AM PDT by HollyB
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To: OakOak

They blow up pipelines one day, the next - they are trying to cull cattle over methane. Can’t make this up.


111 posted on 05/14/2024 9:08:01 AM PDT by HollyB
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To: MinorityRepublican

Since WWII we have kept the entire Euro continent safe. Trillions poured into rebuilding Europe, rebuilding everything from lives to buildings, rails, roads, bridges, and chicken houses. I served nearly 10 years in West Germany. I went to the two major military training bases in Germany, Grafenwöhr and Hoenfels, twice each. All four times I spent a month to six weeks each trip down. I was in the 2/14th Armored Cav Regiment, later redesignated the 2/11th ACR. In each trip, I NEVER saw more than 25 West German soldiers around the major troop area we were in. We all shared the same canteen (the drinking hall type), we, the Germans, Brits, some French. Those are the only nationalities I saw there. There were fewer Brits and few Frogs. The USA carried the load. We were the ones who would have fought and died to protect millions of people, most of didn’t give a tinkers damned about us. The frogs loathed us, the Brits were okay. But, in all my 10 years in Germany, in dealing with Germans, both off and on duty, I would give them a C- overall grade. For each really nice German I met, I met 10 Germans who did not like Americans. Most didn’t want us there, but knew if we left they would be speaking Russian within a week. They preferred the good life under Americans there than the Soviets. I actually experienced a German tell me they did not want us there. I told him fine, I’ll go home, you defend your own country. But, yeah, now they hate us more, but need us more and the current Soviet in charge is killing and bombing his way around and wants his old Soviet Union back and seems intent on trying to accomplish just that. Trump would stop him, but Deadbrain Joe would let him and say it was Trump’s fault.


112 posted on 05/14/2024 1:00:13 PM PDT by RetiredArmy (The Bible speaks truth! Don't believe it, you do so at your own peril. You'd better be right!!)
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To: RetiredArmy
Since WWII we have kept the entire Euro continent safe.

We made Europe safe for Socialism.

113 posted on 05/14/2024 1:01:15 PM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: dfwgator

The Neo-Soviets will conquer Eastern Europe while the Muslims will take over Western Europe.


114 posted on 05/14/2024 1:26:22 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: MinorityRepublican
I didn't realize war games were still around.


115 posted on 05/14/2024 1:45:51 PM PDT by x
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To: Sir Bangaz Cracka

But that is exactly what the left has done. No need for nukes when you import millions of criminals into the cities.


116 posted on 05/14/2024 1:53:35 PM PDT by Fledermaus (Is it me, or all of a sudden have the buried trolls come out on FR like cicadas? It's all noise.)
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To: MinorityRepublican

How about a nice game of chess?


117 posted on 05/14/2024 1:55:32 PM PDT by Fledermaus (Is it me, or all of a sudden have the buried trolls come out on FR like cicadas? It's all noise.)
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To: HollyB

Yes!


118 posted on 05/14/2024 2:57:43 PM PDT by OakOak (Misinformation Campaign on your TV)
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To: dfwgator

Yeah. But, we the people did not know this. The commies at Foggy Bottom did, but normal Americans, who fought the war and held the peace, didn’t.


119 posted on 05/15/2024 5:27:25 PM PDT by RetiredArmy (The Bible speaks truth! Don't believe it, you do so at your own peril. You'd better be right!!)
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To: MinorityRepublican

Isn’t it time they started doing for themselves, anyway? They’ve been sucking on Uncle Sam’s teat since the 1940s!


120 posted on 05/16/2024 3:04:21 PM PDT by JimRed (TERM LIMITS, NOW! Finish the damned WALL! TRUTH is the new HATE SPEECH!)
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