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Asteroid Buzzes Earth Highlighting Cosmic Blind Spot
Space.com ^ | 3/21/2002 | Robert Roy Britt

Posted on 03/21/2002 9:11:00 AM PST by ex-Texan

Asteroid Buzzes Earth Highlighting Cosmic Blind Spot

By Robert Roy Britt

Senior Science Writer

3-21-2002

An asteroid large enough to have flattened a city buzzed Earth earlier this month and was not seen until after if flew harmlessly by.

The space rock approached Earth in the glare of the Sun, a blind spot that made it impossible to see during the day or night from any terrestrial vantage point. The event illustrates the potential of a surprise hit by an asteroid, astronomers said.

The object, now named 2002 EM7, was probably between 40 and 80 meters (130-260 feet) in diameter, said Gareth Williams, associate director of the International Astronomical Union's Minor Planet Center.

On March 8, the asteroid passed within 298,400 miles (480,200 kilometers) of our planet, or about 1.2 times as far away as the Moon -- considered a relatively close shave by cosmic yardsticks. It was not discovered until March 12, however. After the rock was detected, scientists calculated its orbit and determined the path it had taken.

No Way to See It

In a telephone interview, Williams explained there was no way to see the asteroid until it moved out of the Sun's glare and to the opposite side of Earth in relation to the Sun -- Earth's night side.

To spot such an object earlier would require a telescope elsewhere in space, he said. Ideas have been floated to put an observatory in orbit around Mercury, where it could observe the portion of sky that is not visible to terrestrial telescopes or even to Earth-orbiting observatories like the Hubble Space Telescope.

But a telescope at Mercury, given the likely limitations to its budget and size, would not be able to see asteroids as small as 2002 EM7. It could, however, spot large asteroids that might cause global destruction.

No firm plans exist for a Mercury-orbiting telescope.

Meanwhile, few asteroids this large have ever been known to pass so close to Earth. Asteroid 2002 EM7 is the ninth closest brush known, said Williams, who helps with the Minor Planet Center's task of cataloguing all data on asteroids.

"Of the objects that have come closer, only one is bigger," he said.

Months or years of warning have sometimes preceded close passes in the past. Other times, rocks have been found just days before they zoomed past.

Williams adds that there have no doubt been many, many other close shaves by small asteroids that went entirely unnoticed because the objects zipped back out into the solar system without ever being detected.

Telescopes devoted to asteroid tracking scan just portions of the sky on any given night.

Asteroid 2002 EM7 carves an elliptical path around the Sun. It has a remote chance of hitting Earth on a future pass, odds that will likely be reduced even further as researchers continue to track the object and refine their orbital calculations.

Another Blind Spot

Researchers have used similar close brushes in the past as opportunities to remind politicians that many potentially threatening asteroids remain undiscovered and more money is needed to find them. About 1,000 asteroids larger than 1 kilometer (0.6 miles) are thought to lurk in orbits that might one day threaten Earth with planet-wide chaos. About 500 of them have been found.

The bulk of search efforts are conducted in the United States, much of it financed by NASA in a Congressionally mandated program. Somewhat like the blind spot created by the Sun, skies below the equator are poorly surveyed, though in that case it is due to the fact that no telescopes are devoted to the task.

A recent plea by scientists to the Australian government to fund a search of the southern skies fell on unsympathetic ears, however. Australian science minister Peter McGauran said he was not convinced the threat of impact was real enough to warrant spending government money.

Williams, of the Minor Planet Center, stressed that no amount of searching, north or south, would have spotted 2002 EM7.

Copyright © 2002 SPACE.com.


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2002em7; asteroid; asteroids; asteroidthreat; catastrophism
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1 posted on 03/21/2002 9:11:00 AM PST by ex-Texan
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To: ex-Texan
The object, now named 2002 EM7, was probably between 40 and 80 meters (130-260 feet) in diameter

Tis but a spitball!

2 posted on 03/21/2002 9:14:40 AM PST by RoughDobermann
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To: ex-Texan
Can you imagine if this thing had impacted a major US city? We would have ALL thought that we had been nuked by a terrorist, or Saddam. In our retaliation, all hell might have broken loose.... it would make for a cool book, or maybe a cheesy movie..
3 posted on 03/21/2002 9:17:53 AM PST by Paradox
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To: RoughDobermann
Can anyone imagine what would have happened if this baby rock had hit any U.S. city? Chicago ! New York City ! Podunk, Iowa ..... KAAABOOOM !

The impact would have been that of a small hydrogen bomb. No doubt it would be spotted on radar and the media would be bleeting like sheep .... the world would never be the same after such an event.

Guess we might all pray for Mecca to be targeted as ground zero.

4 posted on 03/21/2002 9:23:34 AM PST by ex-Texan
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To: ex-Texan
"10--100 m: Objects in this size range can produce devastation similar to that of an atomic blast (leading to them occasionally being called "city-busters"). Effects include severe damage to or collapse of standing buildings and the ignition of flammable materials leading to widespread fires. The radius over which such effects occur would vary depending upon the size and composition of the object, but could easily exceed 10 km. The Tunguska event, in Siberia, of 1908 is thought to have been from an object about 60 m in size; it led to trees being flattened out to 20 km and trees 40 km away being damaged."
5 posted on 03/21/2002 9:28:42 AM PST by RoughDobermann
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To: ex-Texan
From what I understand they worship a meteor, it would be only fitting to end it with another.
6 posted on 03/21/2002 9:30:56 AM PST by American in Israel
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To: ex-Texan
It would be interesting to see the Arabian oil basin ignited by a meteorite, a solid Fe-Ni cannon ball.
7 posted on 03/21/2002 9:33:32 AM PST by SevenDaysInMay
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To: ex-Texan
That or Little Rock........heh heh heh heh
8 posted on 03/21/2002 9:37:52 AM PST by smorgle
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To: American in Israel
The are also called 'Moon worshippers' which explains why the crescent shaped moon appears on so many flags of Muslim nations.

[IMHO the terrorists must worship the 'Dark Side' because they lie, deceive, rape, torture and murder with a purity of blood lust best described as 'satanic.']

9 posted on 03/21/2002 9:38:29 AM PST by ex-Texan
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To: ex-Texan
At least we should have the technology to launch a bunch of people onto it as it whizzes by.
10 posted on 03/21/2002 9:42:43 AM PST by lds23
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To: ex-Texan
After what the Congress did yesterday, I don't know if I would have been very upset if Earth was destroyed. At least after death we would have had freedom.
11 posted on 03/21/2002 9:45:58 AM PST by rwfromkansas
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To: ex-Texan
it (a Mercury-orbiting telescope) could, however, spot large asteroids that might cause global destruction.

Man, that's a relief. That would give us enough time to get to the grocery store before all the milk and bread's gone, like when it snows.

12 posted on 03/21/2002 9:46:07 AM PST by DE50AE
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To: Paradox
No an asteroid hit would have had a diffrent effect then a nuke all the dust etc it would have thrown into the air.
13 posted on 03/21/2002 9:47:22 AM PST by weikel
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To: ex-Texan
Cosmic projectiles copying Japanese Zero figher pilot techniques.
14 posted on 03/21/2002 9:49:58 AM PST by Rebelbase
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To: ex-Texan
Asteroid 2002 EM7 carves an elliptical path around the Sun. It has a remote chance of hitting Earth on a future pass

It was just a warning shot. If God needs it to wipe out a select city, it is still available.

15 posted on 03/21/2002 9:55:00 AM PST by My2Cents
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To: My2Cents
I just finished reading a four novel science fiction series regarding one woman's determination to estabilish a system that could detect and remove the threat of a meteor impact on the Earth. Quite a good series.

Michael Flynn is the author, paperbacks from Tor.

Book 1 FIRESTAR 1996
Book 2 ROGUE STAR 1998
Book 3 LODESTAR 2000
Book 4 FALLING STARS 2001

The paperback of FALLING STARS was just issued.

16 posted on 03/21/2002 10:10:48 AM PST by garyb
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To: ex-Texan
skies below the equator are poorly surveyed, though in that case it is due to the fact that no telescopes are devoted to the task.

You can't get ANYTHING by this intrepid reporter...

17 posted on 03/21/2002 10:22:37 AM PST by Izzy Dunne
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To: Paradox
Space Command (or WrTF they're calling NORAD now) would pick it up on radar before impact. Probably not enough time to stop it but at least they'd know what caused the impact blast.
18 posted on 03/21/2002 10:27:31 AM PST by Justa
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To: Justa
plus, the lack of radiation would show it wasn't a nuclear strike. In addition, it is highly unlikely that a rock of that size would endanger a city or population center. Most likely, it would hit the ocean, or the Australian outback, like SkyLab and Mir.
19 posted on 03/21/2002 10:35:37 AM PST by My2Cents
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To: garyb
Thanks for the heads-up. I haven't read a good sci-fi series in some time.
20 posted on 03/21/2002 10:35:58 AM PST by My2Cents
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