To: Cyber Liberty
Common fallacy of probability. What are the odds of getting "heads" when you've just flipped 100 "tails"? The same as when you first started: 1:1Not when it is expressed across N tries, as it was in my example. The odds get close to 100% when you have six tries.
18 posted on
08/29/2002 9:09:25 AM PDT by
Poohbah
To: Poohbah
The aggregate odds do, but the individual odds of a bullet or "heads" remains the same. "Is this the trigger-pull that gets me" odds, therefore, remain 1:6, assuming a 6-chamber revolver.
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