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To: Loyalist
Everything considered, the chances of being killed by an asteroid are considered to be about one in 12,000, compared to the one in 10,000 possibility of being killed in an airline crash, he said.

World pop. = six billion. Divided by 10,000 = 600,000, divided by avg. life expectancy (let's say 60 years) = 10,000. Are there really 10,000 people killed in airline crashes every year?

And how do they figure the chances of being killed by an asteroid - when nobody in recorded history has ever been killed by one?

5 posted on 08/29/2002 5:56:21 AM PDT by tictoc
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To: tictoc
And how do they figure the chances of being killed by an asteroid - when nobody in recorded history has ever been killed by one?

Basically, they calculate the number of asteroid impacts relative to the age of the Earth.

As for the 1 in 12,000 figure: what it doesn't say is that it's an all-or-nothing issue. No asteroid impact: no deaths. 1 large asteroid impact: over six billion (or, as the late Dr. Carl Sagan would say, "six BILLL-YUN") deaths.

It's like smoking a cigar in a fireworks shop. If nothing goes wrong, you're fine. If something does go wrong, you're hosed.

6 posted on 08/29/2002 6:03:31 AM PDT by Poohbah
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To: tictoc
The figure is based on total passangers divided by crash fatalities which puts the annual numbers at less than 100
7 posted on 08/29/2002 6:15:11 AM PDT by HEY4QDEMS
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