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President Elect's first computer analysis of the 2004 presidential race predicts that if the election were held now, Republican candidate George W. Bush would defeat Democratic candidate John Kerry. According to the computer, which takes into account current poll data, past elections, and state voting tendencies, Bush would win 283 electoral votes from 31 states, while Kerry would win 255 electoral votes from 19 states and DC. If "on the edge" states are not included, the count is Bush: 205, Kerry: 183, toss ups: 150

The Kerry Campaign and the Marxists/Socialists Democrats are putting in place massive voter fraud and threatening to force a Marxists takeover of our government attempting to validate our election process if Kerry wins as legitimate and illegitimate if he looses by dragging this election through the courts. By doing so, they will proceed with eliminating the Electoral College in favor of the popular vote knowing they can control the vote in densely populated regions of the country. Thus, imposing their Marxist view upon all of us by having elections decided through a judicial process and eventually, mob rule. We have...

Two things...Should we promote the idea here at FR to lie to the exit pollsters on election day? In 2000 there was a late Democratic surge in many counties, and many believe it was because the Dems tried to "create" enough votes at the end of the day for Gore, bassed on exit polling data from earlier that day. Cooperating with exit polsters only helps the media and THE LAW BREAKERS. It doesnt matter to the law-abiding, because the votes are the votes. Also in 2000, remember when there was a mini riot of Republicans in a certain county in...

There is more than enough evidence that the LLL actively promotes Urban Legends to influence political decisions. As an example, this link simply tracks the references to Urban Legends in prior FReeper posts. Track these urban legends yourself and list the most often used such as "Republicans Suppress Black Voters", Bush Will Privatise Social Security", or "Only the Rich Received a Tax Break".

In my review of the last presidential debate, I wrote, "This election is over." I wasn't kidding. This election is over because fatigued voters want it to be over. Voters are tired of the overheated rhetoric, of the Michael Moores and the Swifties. They're tired of the half dozen daily tracking polls. They're tired of being told that tens of thousands of lawyers will make a close election last forever. This has been the looongest general election campaign ever. Since Kerry became the Democrat-nominee-apparent in February, voters have been treated to a relentless diet of political hysteria. There was so...

FR Admin Moderator Is Doing a Lousy Job!!! Two articles were posted on FR Breaking news related to Iraq ammunition dump story by the NY Times via Drudge Report. Two trolls registered this month trying to make it like the end of the Bush administration posted these two articles. Of course it got over 800 replies so far and all the gloomers and dommers, knee jerk people on FR came on to post their gloom and doom about a story that will have zero impact. The Admin Moderator has been asleep and did not realize that this insignificant story was...

I am watching all day today and they are playing Kerry clip after Kerry clip. They are really beginning to hack me off.

The fact is, if people knew a little bit about George Soros and how he is trying to buy our government (New York State is his next target), it may drive people away from John Kerry in droves.The guy even looks weird -- which could be very effective in a TV ad.Look -- the media is not going to report on Soros unless he starts funding the Swift Boat Vets.  However, a paid ad would go over the heads of the media and right where it needs to go... to the public.  The GOP has started coming up with some...

The latest state presidential election poles (Real Clear Politics) are close enough in certain key states that the nightmare scenario of a tied Electoral College vote is no longer in the realm of highly improbable. Go the NYT interactive site for the Electoral College map "Presidential Calculator" and even if you punch in other poll numbers into their map and ignore their numbers, its very easy to come up with an Electoral College dead heat. If Iowa, PA, Florida, Ohio go Kerry, and Minn., WI, and MI go Bush....we got a tie ! What the heck happens then !!??

With nine days to go before the election, Bush and Kerry are tied in FL, OH, WI, NM, and NH (forget the slight lead overall; it's meaningless). Dem voter fraud is estimated to have registered several hundred thousand non-existant people in swing states. Kerry has hit Bush with every dirty trick and false advertisement you can name. Liberal millions have been used to show Bush morphing into Hitler. A British newspaper is calling for Bush's assassination. Bush's and Cheney's families have been trashed in execrable episodes. A "reporter" goes certifiably insane on the air, screeching incoherently at John O'Neill and...

My dear Fellow Freepers, The Bush campaign is aware that the race will tighten this weekend as voters take a good last look at Senator Kerry. By next week, probably Wednesday or Thursday, you will see a sudden, unexplainable surge of Bush. So take the tightening of polls today and tomm. in stride and remember, join the 72 hour programme, talk to your undecided friends (in a measured tone), give money and time to the effort, do all you can do.

We’re all familiar with the American Civil War, the war between the “Blue and the Gray.” Could there a new War Between the States simmering just over the horizon, this time a war between the “Red and the Blue”? Not a “shooting” war certainly, but an ideological one, with the end result being a permanent split between the factions into two separate countries. Hear me out on this, as it may not be as far-fetched as it first appears. In the Civil War, the geographical, economic, and cultural divisions of the country between the industrialized North and the agricultural South...

I just watched that hack Bob Shieffer try and deflect criticism for the sorry picture posted on Drudge of Terrrrrreza Hienz quaffing beer at a recent rally. She looked drunk. Good ole Bob claimed "Why don't politicians let it all hang out once in awhile, it may do everyone some good." Sad sack.....

All President Bush needs to do to win is run clips of Guiliani, McCain, Arnold, and Zell Miller describing Kerry at the Convention. Run those clips starting Thursday all through the weekend attacking Kerry.

This race is close and an energized base is required for the ultimate bush victory.That said, what would a Bush mandate mean for America? Reagan was the last President to to have a real mandate from a huge victory. A mandate by Bush could be significant. Here are just some thoughts, please add others. 1) The U.N. would be a big loser 2) Tax cuts would once again be in vogue and permanent 3) Judges, judges, judges. Conservative judges would be appointed even over the Dem fillibusters. 4) The war on terror would continue, thank goodness. 5) Would we finally...

In the final week before the Nov 2000 elections, the democrats, in coordination with the liberal media, released their secret "personal destruction Bush attack", and we all certainly remember the incident and its aftermath: GW Bush had, we learned, a DUI charge years earlier, that had been "covered up" for the election.It seems almost silly now in retrospect, but let's not forget how the media ran with the story, non-stop, to provide the necessary 'liberal echo chamber' sufficient to create enough gravitas to change the election and to wipe out Bush's then-existing lead.The story also had the effect of giving...

See link for graph: Looking at the "RealClear Politics" plot of the presidential polls, I see two long term trendlines, punctuated by a hell of a lot of what I would refer to as "experimental error": I don't believe that public opinion has been changing as much as these polls seem to suggest. The variation we see up through July looks like what engineers call "sample aliasing" or "jitter". Note that it falls well within the oft-claimed ±4 points of error. This is typical for data taken in noisy sampling environments; I've seen this kind of thing many times. August...

Does anyone know if Michael Tata of American Casino who was just found dead is related to the actor Joe E. Tata of Beverly Hills 90210?

...according to a study by the University of Maryland: 57 % of those surveyed "believe that before the war Iraq was providing substantial support to al-Qaida", and 45% "believe that evidence that Iraq was supporting al-Qaida has been found". Moreover, 65% believe that "experts" have confirmed that Iraq had WMD.

if the Army and Navy ever looked on Heavens scenes, they will find the streets are guarded by the U.S. Marines