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Keyword: larryjsabato

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  • The Electoral College: The Only Thing That Matters

    03/31/2016 5:42:07 AM PDT · by Brilliant · 40 replies
    Sabato's Crystal Ball ^ | March 31st, 2016 | Larry J. Sabato, Kyle Kondik and Geoffrey Skelley
    The new map, as you will see, does not show a close and competitive general election. The Republicans now find themselves in a deep hole. Yes, more than seven long months remain until the election, and all kinds of unexpected twists and turns can occur. Sure, we don’t know the shape of the economy or terrorism, or the precise job approval rating of President Obama in the autumn, or the gaffes and scandals that may yet unfold on our way to the ballot box. But goshdarnit, there’s finally a pause in the non-stop primary calendar, and we’re going to take...
  • The Truth About the 2016 Race

    09/07/2015 2:22:33 PM PDT · by jimbo123 · 60 replies
    Politico ^ | 9/7/15 | Larry J. Sabato , Kyle Kondik and Geoffrey Skelley Read more: http://www.politico.com/magazine/stor
    The rise of Donald Trump might represent some massive sea change in American politics—but it’s far more likely he will fade long before the primary season does. Thanks to Trump, August was a blockbuster month for the political press, but most of what is happening now won’t decide who is sworn in on Jan. 20, 2017 -snip- #7. Trump is still unlikely to be the nominee. We’re not disputing that Donald Trump is the clear polling frontrunner on the GOP side, or that he has struck a chord with millions of voters unimpressed with politicians that “talk rather than do.”...
  • Larry Sabato Recants, Didn't Hear Allen

    09/27/2006 7:42:34 AM PDT · by truthandlife · 178 replies · 4,893+ views
    Newsmax ^ | 9/27/06 | Newsmax Staff
    One of Virginia's best-known political analysts said he had never personally heard Sen. George Allen use racial epithets, despite saying on television a day earlier that the senator "did use the n-word." Larry J. Sabato, director of the University of Virginia's Center for Politics, said Tuesday in an e-mail to The Associated Press, "I didn't personally hear GFA (Allen's initials) say the n-word. "My conclusion is based on the very credible testimony I have heard for weeks, mainly from people I personally know and knew in the '70s," Sabato wrote. Sabato, a classmate of Allen's at the University of Virginia...