It'll be decided early. Best case, NH goes McCain. I think he's well liked there. He nearly lived there during the primaries, both in '00 and '08. This would be insurance (less 1 EV) against losing NM. If he holds NC, which I'm not to worried about, and VA, which is iffy, he's in good shape. I think it all comes down to PA and OH. If he he holds VA, NC and flips PA, I think Obie is toast. If he flips PA, OH will stay. It's not likely that the momentum and closing in PA will happen in...