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Why Republican Candidates Have Not Officially Declared (Yet)
Elephant Watcher ^ | May 4, 2011

Posted on 05/04/2011 1:18:57 PM PDT by Triton42

"At this time in 2007, the 2008 Democratic and Republican primaries were in full swing. This time around, not even one of the major contenders has officially declared he's running yet, and some of the primary debates have been postponed due to lack of participants. To understand what's happening, we must take a look at the four different phases of the primary season...."

(Excerpt) Read more at elephantwatcher.com ...


TOPICS: Politics
KEYWORDS: 2012; republican

1 posted on 05/04/2011 1:19:00 PM PDT by Triton42
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To: Triton42
They're all waiting for Sarah.

The longer she makes them wait, the more time she has to prepare.

ineluctable

2 posted on 05/04/2011 1:23:52 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Under Islam, there is no separation of church and state. The church IS the state.)
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To: Triton42

“Declaring” is playing the enemy’s game.


3 posted on 05/04/2011 1:25:07 PM PDT by Jim Noble (The Constitution is overthrown. The Revolution is betrayed.)
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To: Jim Noble
"“Declaring” is playing the enemy’s game."

I think that's true especially for Republican candidates. The media would love nothing better than to pick apart the GOP announced field everyday, rather than talk about the mess that is the US economy.

But, when the Democrats announce early, like Obama did in EARLY 2007, it gives the media that much more time to showcase how more "appealing" the possible dem presidents are compared to the mean, incompetent Republican incumbent.

Ronald Reagan didn't declare until (I think) the 2nd week in November, even though the first primary was in Jan (actually a little earlier than what it's scheduled for next year).

4 posted on 05/04/2011 1:29:21 PM PDT by OldDeckHand
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To: Triton42

Smart. Why paint a target on your back?


5 posted on 05/04/2011 1:30:36 PM PDT by ez ("Abashed the devil stood and felt how awful goodness is." - Milton, Paradise Lost)
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To: Triton42
This is a different race. Last time there was no incumbent to calibrate around. The Dems and the Republicans are allowing Obama additional time to see if he continues his free-fall of mismanagement. As long as he is barbecuing himself it is best to sit back and wait.

If he rights himself then the dem hopefuls will disappear and the republican hopefuls will begin to declare for the nomination.

6 posted on 05/04/2011 1:33:06 PM PDT by oldbrowser (Blaming the prince of fools shouldn't blind anyone to the vast confederacy of fools that elected him)
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To: OldDeckHand

“Running” in the phony primaries is also playing the enemy’s game.

Our candidate should not uncloak before Labor Day 2012.


7 posted on 05/04/2011 1:38:59 PM PDT by Jim Noble (The Constitution is overthrown. The Revolution is betrayed.)
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To: ez

Obama without an opponent will meanwhile spend the time looking cool, collected, heroic, unifying and reeking with new found gravitas, love for America, free to attract unencumbered by Republicans all the Independents who will mellow seeing now anew the 2008 Obama they voted for in the first place. Gush, gush.

See Obama inviting Bush to NYC showing his magnanimous generosity after OBL; has Pelosi dial up Bush to thank him for the OBL “get”; bringing in wounded warriors to the Rose Garden to announce the extended and well deserved benefits beginning for them; headed in September to Ground Zero in a modest quiet way with no speech planned. It’s great having no pesky serious opposition who will expose his charm campaign versus the reality of his governance as a deadly serious socialist/marxist/communist.


8 posted on 05/04/2011 1:48:13 PM PDT by RitaOK
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To: Triton42

site looks like written by 3rd grader

when a 2nd tier candidate starts to gain ground in IA it will force one the main candidates IN. Before AMES in AUgust.


9 posted on 05/04/2011 1:48:48 PM PDT by campaignPete R-CT (Palin '12 begins in '11. In western New Hampshire pour moi.)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

I hope she runs.


10 posted on 05/04/2011 1:48:48 PM PDT by nolongerademocrat ("Before you ask G-d for something, first thank G-d for what you already have." B'rachot 30b)
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To: Triton42

Every day a candidate is declared gives the media and White House another 24 hour cycle for news outlets, comedy and entertainment shows, newspapers, and internet sites to blast them and help define them before the majority of voters are even paying attention.

Watch Facebook and other outlets to see what liberal friends are plastering everywhere, and you will see a constant steam of character assassinations on whoever most recently make a political statement against Obama. These always get forwarded from either HuffPost, NYT, Colbert or another liberal outlet.

A couple months ago, Pawlenty was suddenly enemy number one for a couple days, more recently it was Trump, and on another day it will be Walker or Christie or Rick Scott or Brewer. Whoever speaks out gets hit back multiple times. The best thing these candidates can do is lie low, build their network, raise money quietly and worry about the public once we get closer to an actual primary.


11 posted on 05/04/2011 1:49:13 PM PDT by ilgipper
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To: campaignPete R-CT
All other things being equal, I would be favorably disposed to support a candidate who announced he (or she) was skipping the dog and pony shows in Iowa and New Hampshire and going straight to South Carolina to begin the campaign.

Both Iowa and New Hampshire have a vastly overinflated sense of importance.

Both are pissant states.

Both allow independents and RINOs to skew their results. And there will be more of them this year with no Democrat contest.

Both are full of social conservatives who love economic populism like ethanol subsidies (in the case of Iowa) or economic conservatives who love giving the finger to social conservatives (in the case of New Hampshire).

12 posted on 05/04/2011 2:03:29 PM PDT by Vigilanteman (Obama: Fake black man. Fake Messiah. Fake American. How many fakes can you fit in one Zer0?)
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To: Triton42

Everyone has seen what happened to Sarah. The leftest media is waiting to destroy any candidate who looks like they might take the lead. Keep them guessing. Meanwhile, fuel prices, high grocery prices, the crashed housing market, unemployment, diminishing quality of life for most Americans, canceled vacations, fear..., all work against Odumbo. There is only so much the media can keep quiet and distorted.


13 posted on 05/04/2011 2:10:38 PM PDT by pallis
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To: Triton42

The four different phases of the campaign will be:

1. MSM bashes all the Republican candidates because we Need
a weak dollar.
2. MSM bashes the top 4 Republican candidates and scoffs at high gas
prices.
3. MSM bashes the top 2 Republican candidates calling them racists.
4. MSM bashes the Republican candidate and blames GWB, when all else
fails.
It goes on and on, but you get the idea..........


14 posted on 05/04/2011 2:12:50 PM PDT by radioone (Ya' just can't make up Liberal Idiocy)
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To: Vigilanteman

Ask Rudy Giuliani how that strategy worked. Granted he put his eggs in Florida rather than South Carolina, but there are similarities. I think that South Carolina and Florida are the two most important primary states, but a candidate almost has to have a top 2 finish in Iowa and/or New Hampshire to win one of those states.


15 posted on 05/04/2011 8:32:55 PM PDT by conservativebuckeye
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