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Is California in Play for the GOP?
http://toddkinsey.com/blog/2012/03/04/is-california-in-play-for-the-gop/ ^

Posted on 03/04/2012 10:26:23 AM PST by Todd Kinsey

For the first time since the days of Reagan the Republican Party has a real chance of winning a national election in California. You read that right, not only is Dianne Feinstein’s Senate seat in real jeopardy for the first time since she took office in 1992 but President Obama has his work cut out for him as well.

Once thought untouchable, Sen. Feinstein’s poll numbers are at an all time low. According to a report by CBS Los Angeles, Feinstein’s approval rating has dropped to a dismal 41 percent. Furthermore, even amongst her Democrat base, Feinstein only receives a 60 percent approval rating. And like the rest of the country, only 9 percent of Californians approve of the job Congress is doing.

In 2010, Senator Barbara Boxer had the fight of her life and narrowly defeated Republican upstart Carly Fiorina. The DNC had to pull out all the stops in defense of the longtime Democrat stronghold. For starters, Sen. Boxer had to spend a whopping $28 million which was nearly double what she had to spend in her previous election.

Sensing potential defeat in California, which would have been an even bigger political slap in the face than Scott Brown winning in Massachusetts, President Obama had to make no less than three trips to California in a desperate attempt to save Boxer’s seat. But the president’s coattails are all but nonexistent in 2012 and he will be fighting to save his own political life this November.

(Excerpt) Read more at toddkinsey.com ...


TOPICS: Government; Politics
KEYWORDS: blogpimp; california; feinstein; obama; republican
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To: Todd Kinsey

The GOP has a better chance winning the electorate of Afghanistan than it does of California.The best the GOP can hope for California is that it secedes and becomes part of the electoral apparatus of Mexico.


21 posted on 03/04/2012 10:35:20 AM PST by chuckee
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To: Todd Kinsey

Not holding my breath on this notion.


22 posted on 03/04/2012 10:38:22 AM PST by Attention Surplus Disorder (The only economic certainty: When it all blows up, Krugman will say we didn't spend enough.)
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To: Todd Kinsey

Illegals vote in proxy for the deceased, aided by Social Justice advocates (thiefs) and Big Union Bosses.


23 posted on 03/04/2012 10:38:36 AM PST by wac3rd (Somewhere in Hell, Ted Kennedy snickers.....)
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To: Todd Kinsey

Is the stuff the author is smoking medical grade?


24 posted on 03/04/2012 10:40:04 AM PST by Paleo Conservative
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To: Todd Kinsey
California is now a Catholic state.
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25 posted on 03/04/2012 10:44:19 AM PST by ansel12 (Rick Santorum, Catholic, “I was basically pro-choice all my life, until I ran for Congress,” he sa)
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To: Paleo Conservative

According to the writer’s bio, he is from Texas, not California. Despite the impending bankruptcy of California, there is a big majority of takers here, who only want to maintain the RAT status quo. The RAT legislature proposes new voting bloc spending programs daily. There is no hope for California.


26 posted on 03/04/2012 10:48:32 AM PST by Sam Clements
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To: Todd Kinsey

Wow...last time around it was 61% to 37%. That’s a tough hill to climb.

And this state recently elected Moonbeam.

I’d spend the money elsewhere.

There are a few places where Bammy one...and he shouldn’t win again: Indiana, Florida, Iowa, Colorado, New Mexico. These 5 states represent 60 electoral votes (vs 55 for CA); and, winning them should be ‘do-able’.

That’s a 120 vote swing.

By my count, the ‘safe’ GOP states netted 6 electoral votes from the census.

That’s a 12 vote swing.

So, based on last election, that leaves the Republican candidate in search of 31 more votes. Any two of the three: Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, would get them past that hump.

Virginia and North Carolina should be ‘flippable’ also, based on 2004 results.

In short, lots of ways to succeed, without blowing money in California.


27 posted on 03/04/2012 10:49:14 AM PST by lacrew (Mr. Soetoro, we regret to inform you that your race card is over the credit limit.)
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To: Todd Kinsey

Not happening - every four years somebody suggests the possibility of this happening and every four years it doesn’t


28 posted on 03/04/2012 10:49:29 AM PST by capydick (''Life's tough.......it's even tougher if you're stupid.'')
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To: Todd Kinsey

Seems I’m not the first to log in with “no”


29 posted on 03/04/2012 10:50:38 AM PST by RIghtwardHo
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To: jwalsh07

Exactly. I mean CA went further LEFT in 2010 as pretty much everywhere else went RIGHT.

Talk about a fools errand.


30 posted on 03/04/2012 10:51:51 AM PST by RIghtwardHo
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To: Todd Kinsey

Someone is smoking the funny stuff!


31 posted on 03/04/2012 10:54:10 AM PST by US_MilitaryRules (Unnngh! To many PDS people!)
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To: Todd Kinsey

Am I the only one that feels like he has been reading that headline every two years since about 1990?


32 posted on 03/04/2012 11:07:55 AM PST by Tupelo ( 2012 TEA PARTYER but no longer a Republican)
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To: Todd Kinsey

Am I the only one that feels like he has been reading that headline every two years since about 1990?


33 posted on 03/04/2012 11:08:04 AM PST by Tupelo ( 2012 TEA PARTYER but no longer a Republican)
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To: Todd Kinsey

No, Calfornia is not in play.

Boxer won, yes narrowly, but still won in an election year when the GOP swept the other 49 states. California was the only state in the nation to go more Democrat despite this national sweep.

California is hopeless. Feinstein will be re-elected for life until she bows out and is replaced by a new socialist Democrat elect for life.

California is completely hopeless. We Californians are doomed. That is why my only hope lies in leaving, not in staying.

California is doomed. Bank on it.


34 posted on 03/04/2012 11:08:34 AM PST by Freedom_Is_Not_Free (The only priority: Repeal Obamacare)
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To: ansel12

bump!!!


35 posted on 03/04/2012 11:09:58 AM PST by Freedom_Is_Not_Free (The only priority: Repeal Obamacare)
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To: Sam Clements

The author is a blog pimp.


36 posted on 03/04/2012 11:13:45 AM PST by Paleo Conservative
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To: Todd Kinsey

Is there a big earthquake due?


37 posted on 03/04/2012 11:14:29 AM PST by bmwcyle (I am ready to serve Jesus on Earth because the GOP failed again)
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To: Todd Kinsey

If this year’s Republican presidential candidate chooses a charismatic Hispanic vice-presidential candidate such as Marco Rubio, it will not be business as usual in California.

Or in the entire country. Not only California but also New York with ITS heavy Hispanic population are MUST-WIN states for the Democrats. If it’s close in those two states during the election season, the Democrats will have no choice but to throw everything they have into those two states — leaving the other 48, and victory, to the Republicans.

Of course, the pro-Obama MSM does not want the public to think about such an outcome, which would discourage potential Obama contributors and campaign workers from getting involved — any more than the producers of Alfred Hitchcock movies wanted the endings of their films to be divulged beforehand, since audiences would then be discouraged from attending them.

But there’s no reason for Republicans and other reasonable people to help maintain the suspense. If California is not firmly in the Democrats’ column even now, it will definitely not be after a prominent Hispanic American is asked to join a presidential ticket for the first time — unless, of course, he or she dies of a heart attack while walking down a street alone at one a.m. before the announcement can be made official.


38 posted on 03/04/2012 11:16:08 AM PST by Bluestocking
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To: lacrew

I agree Republicans shouldn’t spend money there, but dems may have to to win it which is good because it will mean they can’t spend it in a battle ground state.


39 posted on 03/04/2012 11:19:20 AM PST by scbison
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To: Todd Kinsey

In a word? No.


40 posted on 03/04/2012 11:19:24 AM PST by ought-six ( Multiculturalism is national suicide, and political correctness is the cyanide capsule.)
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