Why Donald Trump’s Polling Is Scaring The Hell Out of The Professional Political Class…

The Conservative Tree House ^ | 7-17-2015 | sundance

[smoothsailing]

July 17, 2015

Why Donald Trump’s Polling Is Scaring The Hell Out of The Professional Political Class…

by sundance

We’ve explained the underlying problem of why the GOP hates their own base – and why they will never do anything to stop the progressive agenda. The GOP are committed to #1) ObamaCare remaining; #2) Comprehensive Immigration Reform to include Amnesty; and #3) Common Core Education Standards. We’ve also explained why admitting that factual reality is just a matter of following the facts where they lead.

When you admit the problem, and finally agree to stop being a co-dependent in your own diminishment, you join a growing coalition of supporters for a candidate outside the professional political class, the establishment GOP.

Here’s why the Donald Trump polling is creating such apoplectic fits amid the “establishment”; and it’s not just that Trump is now leading in every regional and national poll. It’s something more…

In almost every poll, Trump is winning the overall GOP race despite half of the poll sample not believing he is really serious about his presidential bid.

Pause for a moment and think carefully about what that means.

Example: If a polling sample is 1,000 people. Approximately 500 people don’t believe Trump is really in it to win it. Ergo he’s polling current victory numbers with only half the consideration available to all other candidates – AND YET HE’S STILL WINNING.

Long term – what do you think will happen when more and more people begin to accept that Donald Trump is actually sticking out this race to win the nomination?

As each week goes by that skeptical segment of the electorate will diminish – and more people begin to realize he’s in this race to become president. This shift in consideration only adds to the potential for Trump’s polling numbers to continue rising.

Conversely, all the other candidates already have achieved feasible consideration by 100% of the polling electorate. While their numbers may fluctuate based on their ongoing policy proposals, advocacy and/or stumbles amid the campaign trail, they begin their campaign with 100% of the audience paying attention to them as a factual candidate.

The professional political class is desperately trying to avoid facing this reality, and they are consistently downplaying Trump as a candidate, while emphasizing the portion of the polled electorate who don’t view Trump as sticking it out. They are, in essence, gaslighting the audience.

Trump’s growing poll numbers is a frightening reality especially for the Jeb Bush team, who desperately need –and have strategically planned for– a highly divided electorate.

Team Jeb are relying on having a dozen (or so) various special-interest factions of the voting base so their own small ‘professional political class’ coalition of around 15 to 20% can win the primary.

The absolute nightmare scenario amid the Establishment GOP is that a single candidate can unite a voting block that is larger than Jeb Bush. The Decepticons have worked diligently to insure this would not happen; even, as many suspect, funding candidates to enter and remain in the race (Marco Rubio).

Team Jeb want’s Scott Walker/Ted Cruz/Rick Perry/Marco Rubio/Bobby Jindal carving up small segments of a larger conservative base; while Chris Christie/Lindsey Graham/Mike Huckabee/George Pataki carve up another segment; and Rand Paul/Carly Fiorina/Ben Carson/John Kasich divide up yet another.

CURRENT FOX NEWS – NATIONAL POLLING

All of these little bits, allow Jeb’s 15 to 20% to be the biggest piece of a severely divided electoral pie. By design, the large field plays directly into the hands of the GOP establishment.

Everything was going according to plan, until Donald Trump walked into the scene, and now their best laid GOPe plans are shredded.

Now why do you think Fox News Poll added this little addendum to their recent polling presentation?

[…] The Fox poll also asks voters their second choice candidate, which allows us to look at what happens to the lineup if someone were to drop out.

For example, if Trump decides to get out, Bush moves to the top spot at 19 percent, followed by Walker at 16 percent, Paul at 9 percent, Rubio at 8 percent, Carson at 7 percent, Cruz at 6 percent, Huckabee at 5 percent, Christie and Perry at 3 percent, and Fiorina, Kasich and Santorum get 2 percent (link)

Oh, now that’s a convenient “for example” dontcha think?

Almost as if there’s some kind of agenda at work.

One wonders why they didn’t publish a scenario where Jeb Bush dropped out, and see where that leaves the remaining candidates?

Hmmm?…. Well, let me think on that for a minute…

Candidate Jeb Bush attends Chamber of Commerce dinner with Fox’s Rupert Murdoch and Valerie Jarrett (December 2014)

Nuf said?

[darkwing104]

They need the lesson in fear...all they way to the unemployment line

[A CA Guy]

Cruz is down some and appears almost in jeapardy of not making the cut for debates.
He needs to make the debates so the country can see how good he is.

[Zhang Fei]

Trump will propose a border fence and single-payer health care (both of which are popular with working class Republicans and Democrats alike, since they don’t relish the competition from endless rounds of illegals, but worry about getting affordable medical care) and oppose Common Core. If he wins the nomination, these positions might take him to the White House.

[SaxxonWoods]

Americans like people who speak clearly and don’t mince words. Americans love rabble rousers. They almost never elect such people though.

The big question is...Where do the Trumpians go when it’s time to get serious? Who gets those voters? That will decide the nomination.

[Cringing Negativism Network]

Trump is in the process of changing the GOP, right in front of everyone’s eyes.

He’s appealing to both parties, and he is hugely popular at the moment.

Someone in the GOP needs to start waking up, or Trump will walk off with this race.

Not that I’m complaining, but seriously. Nobody else is saying what Americans are waiting to hear someone say.

“Bring back jobs to America”.

“Stop hiring illegals”.

Those are so simple, but everyone is too busy outsourcing everything to realize Americans don’t want to outsource everything.

Americans want to hire Americans once again.

Right here, in the United States.

[Lurkinanloomin]

Because The Cheap Labor Express and The Ministry of Propaganda have spent years trying to convince Americans that they must abandon the rule of law and surrender their country to fraudulently documented foreigners.

Billions of dollars have been spent buying both parties.
The citizens were to be denied the opportunity to elect anyone who would stop the invasion/cheaplabor importation/colonization of our country.
Donald Trump threatens to upset that apple cart.

[Twinkie]

I like Cruz.

[EQAndyBuzz]

“Cruz is down some and appears almost in jeapardy of not making the cut for debates.
He needs to make the debates so the country can see how good he is.”

They want Cruz down in the poll not so he is marginalized, but to get a third party movement going where the establishment class of both rats and pubs can once and for all destroy whatever is left of the constitution and this country.

[chris37]

He’s a likable guy, but he isn’t getting it done, and it would appear that he did substantial damage to himself with his recent votes in the senate.

If you are a politician who lacks the ability to understand where you base is coming from, you aren’t going to go very far.

If you can’t speak to their concerns in a way that animates them in your direction, it’s game over.

[DoodleDawg]

Herman Cain was leading the GOP for a while and he did a crash and burn. I expect that Trump will do the same, but unlike Cain, Trump has the money to run a third party run. And I wouldn’t put it past him.

[smoothsailing]

The big question is...Where do the Trumpians go when it’s time to get serious?

Your big question isn't much of a question at all if Trump remains the most popular candidate and stays in the race.

The big question then is who will be his running mate. Should that scenario present itself a Trump/Cruz ticket could be quite formidable. I find it instructive that the two men are saying nice things about each other this early in the campaign. How long the mutual admiration continues is worth watching closely.

[smoothsailing]

Agreed, I definitely want to see Cruz in the debates.

[mtrott]

“Cruz is down some and appears almost in jeapardy of not making the cut for debates.
He needs to make the debates so the country can see how good he is.”

Yes, I’m also concerned about Cruz’ lackluster polling of late. My guess is that the majority of people do not know that Cruz also is standing strong against illegal immigration. If Cruz can just get in the debates, I think he will be able to powerfully get his message out.

[alloysteel]

Loose cannons cause great fear on any ship. While by accident it MAY fire off a shot at the enemy (before it breaks loose), the recoil that breaks all the normal restrains creates a rolling, slamming projectile ricocheting all over the deck, leaving carnage and wreckage in its wake.

Defecating rocks is the normal response to this set of circumstances.

[Lurkinanloomin]

If it turns out to be Hillary vs ¡Yeb!, I hope he does run third party. That’s the only way we’d have a choice as Hillary and ¡Yeb! are nearly indistinguishable.

[MNDude]

Ted Cruz only has 6%?

:(

[867V309]

Those are so simple, but everyone is too busy outsourcing everything to realize Americans don’t want to outsource everything.

They know what we want, all right, they just don't care. Their gravy train doesn't include us.

[smoothsailing]

Border fence, single payer, Common Core. Three big issues taken together, almost every American can relate to at least one.

Sticking to three or four big issues can be a winning strategy for a convincing candidate. Trump will need to discipline himself to stick to that and stay on message.

[Tucker39]

Friday evening Trump spoke to Arkansas Republicans at the “Reagan-Roosevelt Dinner” in Hot Springs. I am very curious what he would say to a group like that. Knowing that the GOPe hates his guts; what would he say to them?

While a group of Republicans in Arkansas might be more amenable to Trump than one in DC or NYC, I’m sure there is a direct line from Arkansas to DC. So what did Trump say to them? Does anyone have link to a video of Friday evening’s speech?

I found one link at the Arkansas Republican website, but the picture AND audio were so poor I not only couldn’t make out who was at the rostrum, I couldn’t understand what was being said, or even the gender of the speaker. We’re talking a 1950s Brownie Hawkeye camera, and 2 pork ‘n beans cans and a string.
Please share a link if you have one.