Oh crap! There goes Barry’s economy again. Better fire up the money printing machines.
Potential good news for the drought sufferers from Texas Northeast...
Note this statement in the NHC forecast:
“EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY”
They don’t have a handle on this one yet.
000
WTNT24 KNHC 202302
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM IRENE SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011
2300 UTC SAT AUG 20 2011
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...VIEQUES AND CULEBRA.
THE GOVERNMENT OF CURACAO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...AND ST. MAARTIN.
THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF BARBADOS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR DOMINICA.
THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
BARBUDA...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...ANTIGUA...AND MONTSERRAT...
ANGUILLA...AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO...U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
* SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...AND ST. MAARTIN
* DOMINICA
* BARBUDA...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...ANTIGUA...ANGUILLA...AND MONTSERRAT
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD OCCUR ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY.
HURRICANE CONDITIONS COULD OCCUR IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC LATE ON
MONDAY.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 58.5W AT 20/2300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 19 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......105NE 0SE 0SW 45NW.
12 FT SEAS..480NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 58.5W AT 20/2300Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 57.2W
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 15.4N 61.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...105NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 16.1N 64.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...105NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 16.7N 67.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 17.5N 69.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 45SE 45SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 19.0N 74.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 30SE 0SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 21.5N 77.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 24.0N 79.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 58.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/BRENNAN
this model agrees with this model
However this model has like the Obama administration... no freakin' clue
But like the typical Obama voter I couldn't care less
It’ll fizzle. Hispaniola and Cuba will tear up the storm.
Just another bit of bad luck? One more excuse for Bowbama!
Why are models different now when they couldn't even support a minimal storm off the FL coast just a couple of weeks ago? And Texas' best hope for a storm evaporated into nothingness before it even hit land!!!
Upon further review, we are up to “Irene”. Emily is long gone....
Holy Crap,Does not look good for SO Florida!!
Are they naming more storms now? Isn’t it a bit early in the season to be up to Irene?