Posted on 02/02/2016 4:05:06 AM PST by upchuck
“Won’t happen yet. Bush, Kasich and Cristie think NH is the place they can show some strength.”
I agree. But the three of them have one very big problem. Rubio. He got more votes last night than that entire list combined.
Haha, when I first glanced at your headline I thought it was another opus from a quitter freeper lol.
...
FReepers shouldn’t quit. They should suspend their campaigns like politicians do.
Do you really think the puppetmasters want Rubio? He has a blind spot on invaders in the US, for sure. But on other issues he’s a solid conservative. It doesn’t seem like Rubio’s blindspot extends to letting in groups that don’t assimilate.
I disagree with you strongly about Huck. He’s an excellent spokesperson for the Conservative agenda. He, along with Santorum, was a class act at Trump’s event to raise money for Vets.
Fiorina voters will split between Cruz and Rubio if and when she gets out.
Kasich voters will go to Rubio. He'll have to get out to remain viable beyond this election cycle. He'll probably get out after New Hampshire.
Huckabee voters will go to Cruz.
Christie voters will split between Rubio, Cruz, and Trump.
Santorum voters will got to Cruz.
The people in ONE state should not be given the power to determine the course of the nation. Let us wait to hear from the rest.
When the Huckster joined Trump in boycotting the last debate I knew he was about to throw in the towel.
Bush has a delegate!
I disagree with you strongly about Huck. He’s an excellent spokesperson for the Conservative agenda. He, along with Santorum, was a class act at Trump’s event to raise money for Vets.
I will give him credit for supporting veterans but he has many Kasich type tendencies like scholarships for illegal immigrant kids in Arkansas. He is out of work now so I think he has begun posturing for a federal job from Trump. I don’t recall the exact details but he screwed conservatives long ago when he gave his WV delegates to McCain which killed Fred Thompon’s surge. Phony guy to me.
That would have been 12% of the vote which would be pro-establishment votes. I’d say they would have went to Rubio which could have put him over the top.
But if either Trump or Cruz dropped out, then those votes would go anti-establishment and go for the one that did not drop out.
When it comes to the final finish, IMO it will be Trump or Cruz and most of the typical establishment voters will vote for the winner just to keep Hitlery out.
He is young and has no money and is can easily be manipulated. A perfect candidate for the E.
As far as being like Kasich? There's NOTHING conservative about Kasich anymore, unless conservative is defined as throwing lots of money to deep-pocket sponsors. It's gotten so Kasich gives me the creeps; he could well be "plan B" or the elitist globalist backstabbers.
Ping to reply #6.
rofl!
Eh, let’s give Christie, Kasich, and Bush until New Hampshire at least, since each of them has polled decently there recently at one time or another. Huckabee quit, Fiorina and Santorum are done, though.
After New Hampshire, at most one of Bush, Chrstie, Kasich, and Paul should remain.
I assume Carson is going to try to hang on until South Carolina at least, although with no NH/SC events scheduled, I’m not sure why. He’s essentially just playing spoiler at this point.
The thing to watch now is how Jeb, Marco, and Kasich do in NH. Trump is expected to win big (and his supporters here will declare him King and Emperor once he does), but the rest of the Primary season will be decided in that group that finishes 2-6.
Iowa is about 50/50 as a predictor over the last couple decades. The biggest difference is that both Huck and Santorum were "all in" on Iowa and no significant organization beyond. Cruz is well-funded and organized - NH may not be a great state for him (also about a 50/50 track record there, though) but he'll be strong in SC, NV, and many of the so-called "SEC Primary" states.
Last night should be a stark reminder that no matter how much the system is broken and needs changing, having a solid organization and ground game still wins close elections.
The scuttlebutt that I've read says that Carson's campaign manager isn't the good kind of guy, and is simply using the campaign as a way for them both to make some easy money. If you're already telling everyone that you're leaving the campaign trail "to go home and get some clothes"... http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/ben-carson-heads-home-fresh-clothes-after-iowa-n509301.... it's time to bow out gracefully. Hopefully someone has a spot for him in dismantling ObamaCare.
The problem is that the GOPE has no incentive to ask the trailing candidates to bow out. The more candidates in the race, the less likely that Trump or Cruz can top fifty percent in enough states to sew up the nomination. (The new rules require at least 8 states with more than half of the votes... and nobody is close to polling that high yet, even Trump in NY). The candidates get to keep campaign money, so they have a vested interest in staying in as well.
I heard that was gonna payoff better than Hillary’s cattle futures. Glad I got in early !!
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