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Beginning to wonder about this USC/Dornsrife poll
LA Times ^ | 09/01/2016 | Vanity

Posted on 09/02/2016 7:11:28 AM PDT by ctpsb

Trump 44.0% Clinton 43.3%


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KEYWORDS: 2016polls; clinton; poll; trump; usc
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I just don't understand. When Trump is supposed to have had the best week of his campaign his numbers go down from just two days ago while Hillary's go up after her worst two weeks.

I know it's a rolling average poll but Trump has had two good weeks and Hillary two bad weeks so why would the numbers change almost randomly the past two days?

I know we say it's rigged but this poll has generally been it seems at worst neutral if not a bit friendly to Trump.

1 posted on 09/02/2016 7:11:29 AM PDT by ctpsb
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To: ctpsb

Is this the LA times daybreak poll?


2 posted on 09/02/2016 7:12:27 AM PDT by dp0622 (The only thing an upper crust conservative hates more than a liberal is a middle class conservative)
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To: ctpsb

My personal poll that I resolutely rely on is what I’m going to do the morning of November 8, 2016. That is all I need - all we’ll need. We are legion and we will roll over them like a 1000 foot tsunami.


3 posted on 09/02/2016 7:13:33 AM PDT by Gaffer
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To: ctpsb

“I just don’t understand.”

Uh, how about stop looking at polls?

It’s actually pretty comical everyday watching you guys peg your mood to this stupid thing, and then write fan-fiction to explain the results.


4 posted on 09/02/2016 7:15:06 AM PDT by VanDeKoik
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To: ctpsb

I thought it would be up today too? All of these polls seem nonsensical. I’m beginning to think none of them are accurate. (some we know are downright purposefully manipulated)


5 posted on 09/02/2016 7:15:14 AM PDT by YummiBox (tagline intentionally left blank.)
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To: ctpsb

it is ####ING ODD, ISN’T IT?


6 posted on 09/02/2016 7:16:59 AM PDT by dp0622 (The only thing an upper crust conservative hates more than a liberal is a middle class conservative)
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To: Gaffer

I wonder how hard it would be to do a personal poll Of ones own county or precinct and then combine those with others doing the same to get a precinct by precinct picture of America?


7 posted on 09/02/2016 7:18:09 AM PDT by xzins ( Free Republic Gives YOU a voice heard around the globe. Support the Freepathon!)
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To: ctpsb

It shows race as a tossup. That seems about right though other polls read a 1-5 point Clinton lead. Trump needs about a 2 point national lead to win. He needs to persuade disgruntled Republican voters, especially women, to vote for him as well as improve the recent low numbers of past losing Republican candidates among Blacks. Pray without ceasing God all show us mercy and grant Trump/Pence the grace and humility to be our next President/Vice President and lead us with wisdom, understanding, and knowledge.


8 posted on 09/02/2016 7:18:47 AM PDT by af_vet_1981 (The bus came by and I got on, That's when it all began.)
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To: xzins

I really don’t know. I think things nationalized like that become subject to manipulation and bias. I know myself, I know my wife and neighbors and the absolute lack of Hillary bumper stickers in my town and I KNOW Trump is going to win.

It is called faith.


9 posted on 09/02/2016 7:19:37 AM PDT by Gaffer
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To: ctpsb

Tracking polls tilt back and forth, he is still ahead.


10 posted on 09/02/2016 7:19:42 AM PDT by heights
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To: ctpsb

I think that poll has been fishy from the start. I prefer Real Clear Politics composite [which has been opposite to your poll from day one].


11 posted on 09/02/2016 7:19:51 AM PDT by BunnySlippers (I Love Bull Markets!!!)
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To: ctpsb

Umm, you do realize how utterly painful it is for any MSM poll to admit that Trump is close? Imagine them having to admit he is leading?!? I look at the polls from that perspective at this point.

Also, never forget that we battling “free stuff nation” and all its minions. They will vote for Santa no matter what.


12 posted on 09/02/2016 7:20:52 AM PDT by FlipWilson
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To: ctpsb
I know it's a rolling average poll but Trump has had two good weeks and Hillary two bad weeks so why would the numbers change almost randomly the past two days?

I too wonder about that. Here are some possibilities:

1. As the number of people in the full group expands there is always the danger that the larger mix will be slightly more favorable to one candidate or the other. And it is the one place where the pollsters bias can show up. (If there is one.)

2. Yes Trump has had a big week or two and he up. But don't discount the impact of Hillary TV advertising. I suspect that the Hillary $TV is much greater than the Trump $TV (but I don't really know.)

3. And, most likely we are just seeing the noise level of this poll in action. Basically tied with plus/minus 2% noise.

13 posted on 09/02/2016 7:21:00 AM PDT by InterceptPoint (Ted, you should have endorsed. Big mistake.)
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To: Gaffer

I was thinking of thousands of freepers spread around the nation.


14 posted on 09/02/2016 7:22:38 AM PDT by xzins ( Free Republic Gives YOU a voice heard around the globe. Support the Freepathon!)
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To: xzins

I don’t suppose that it would hurt, but personally I don’t need it. :0)


15 posted on 09/02/2016 7:24:06 AM PDT by Gaffer
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To: Gaffer

Don’t need another job, huh? :>)


16 posted on 09/02/2016 7:25:05 AM PDT by xzins ( Free Republic Gives YOU a voice heard around the globe. Support the Freepathon!)
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What good is it to poll the same 3,000 people everyday?


17 posted on 09/02/2016 7:25:30 AM PDT by TakebackGOP
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To: af_vet_1981

Mark Levin is still a “NeverTrumper.”


18 posted on 09/02/2016 7:26:27 AM PDT by ConservativeMind ("Humane" = "Don't pen up pets or eat meat, but allow infanticide, abortion, and euthanasia.")
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To: ctpsb

“Polls” spelled backwards is “sllop”.

Why trust them when they are manipulated to get the desired results?

NOTHING in the eneMedia is friendly to Trump, nothing.


19 posted on 09/02/2016 7:26:38 AM PDT by COUNTrecount
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To: xzins

The local watering hole is pretty accurate in my opinion.


20 posted on 09/02/2016 7:27:28 AM PDT by blackdog (There is no such thing as h it ouealing, only a balance between destructive and constructive forces.)
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