Posted on 10/06/2016 5:51:29 AM PDT by CaptainK
Hillary Clinton is 10 points ahead of Donald Trump in a national poll just over a month from Election Day.
The Democratic nominee leads her Republican rival 50 percent to 40 percent among likely voters in the Fairleigh Dickinson University survey released Wednesday.
ADVERTISEMENT Pollsters found Clinton’s edge is roughly unchanged when respondents are asked about third-party candidates.
Clinton leads Trump, 45 percent to 36 percent, in a four-way matchup, with Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson grabbing 11 percent and the Green Party's Jill Stein nabbing 3 percent.
(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...
You broke the code!
“Ignore the polls and look at the crowds at the rallies.”
Like Bernie Sanders’ crowds? I know, I know, Bernie was sunk by super-delegates. I just think it is a mistake for people to assume big crowds at entertaining campaign events mean Trump will win. The Hillary Clinton voters are not enthused. They will still vote for her, however. Yes, they might not show up in the greatest possible numbers, but they’re still going to be there.
I also worry that Trump simply doesn’t understand how to win - and I mean actually win, not just barely hold his own - at the upcoming debates. Hillary is actually preparing for the debates. She’ll look her best and come across as energetic - even though we all know that is merely show. Trump learns, but he might not be learning fast enough. Either way, I’m still voting for him.
Voting in more than one state is a perennial problem without a national database that enables all states to cross-check registration and voting records. It is going to impact several thousand in Florida alone, probably why the number of absentees is close to 20% of the vote.
I repeat myself, but
All favorable (for Trump) polls are legit
All UN-favorable (for Trump) polls are rigged
That’s it!
Farleigh Dickinson University is known as
“Fairly Ridiculous University”
by the Manhattanites who went to more highly respected schools.
“A repeat of 2012 is what I’ve predicted all along.”
Still got your NeverTrump flag rolled up in the closet, eh? Sounds like youre just itching to wave that baby.
But, this poll allows the media to proclaim Hillary still has the lead in RCP averages.
Who knows for sure? Apparently the LA Times Poll that has Trump up by 4 was accurate in 2012 calling the election for Obama, with close to the predicted margin of victory.
For this particular poll, one thing that confuses me about their methodology is that they used random calling based on computer generated random numbers. Those that answered got polled, but how did they come up with the specific percentages of Democrats, Republicans and Independents? Is this the split that ‘just happened’ on the basis of random calling, or did they adjust after they collected the data? Plus, if its random calling by a number generator, how did they know if the voters were registered? The only way I could see this being done is by sequential questions, the first of which would be ‘are you registered to vote?’. Then they must have asked party affiliation, but this doesn't take into account leaners, etc. I'm not a statistician, but it seems to be that random number generated calling, nationwide, of only ~892 people, would lead to marked variability in results.
Its a NJ college. We used to call it Fairly Ridiculous. This is judt another example of why.
Why?
It wouldn’t be true. There are no 10 point Presidential elections.
IF this poll were true Clinton would win almost every state. NOT HAPPENING.
The Democrats would have a +60 margin in the Senate. NOT HAPPENING.
The Democrats would win back the House. NOT HAPPENING.
This poll is an extreme outlier.
I see your point. If diehard leftist dems do the counting, no vote types, in person or absentee, will be accurate. So it makes no difference how one votes if it’s skewed by the dems.
When I lived in N.J., we referred to this school as Fairleigh Ridiculous University. It’s good to see nothing has changed.
Texas has 'Early Voting' in a two weeks period before the election and that is the way I've voted for the past twenty/thirty years.
I've no problem with voting early as long as you have proof that you are a citizen to gain the right to vote!
Otherwise, we have given away all our rights--
I think it was in a Wikileak batch and think it was the PPP polling company? I will try to find but it’s a long shot.
In it she said accused them of helping Trump by not giving her better numbers.
I suspect this poll is nonsense. It is wildly out of accord not only with other national polling, but the trending in just about every single state poll I have seen for the last week.
I was merely responding to post #5, who states "some polls show Trump up by double digits". I challenged that, as there hasn't been a single one throughout
I can tell you one thing that weighs heavily in Trump’s favor. He has shattered the record for small donations under $200. No candidate has raised as much money from the little guy as Trump has. Those people will be voting. I don’t remember the number, but it was impressive, and if you look around on FR in the last day or two, you can find the article about it. That along with his rally turnout gives me hope that these polls are out there to frighten us away from voting for him.
+1.
Well, this says it isn’t true so who knows?
http://www.dailydot.com/layer8/donald-trump-jr-public-policy-polling-wikileaks-clinton-bribe/
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