Survivor 6: The Amazon

[cuz_it_aint_their_money]

Well, I’m back.
Sort of.
My wife, (the lovely and gracious, Mrs. CUZ) has laid down the law!
“You’re spending too much time FReeping and not enough time paying attention to me!”
Women! Go figure!

Anyway, my FReeping has been severely curtailed, so I’ll start this thread, and from time to time, spout off with my two cents worth, but someone else will have to maintain the ping list and post weekly recaps (If they feel so inclined).
If someone wants the ping list, FReepmail me and I’ll send it to them.

Till then,
Enjoy,

[ken5050]

Mornin' Cuz.....BTW..just reread your comments on last weeks's show...a little forensic rehashing on my part..and I liked the subtle Freudian slip..."therefore, tonite's bootee - Heidi."

About the only open question regarding her is if she violates the morals clause in her teacher's contract to accept the $500,000 or more that Playboy is dying to offer her to pose "au natural"....I can just see it, Heidi swinging nude on a jungle vine.....

If Butch makes the final two..he'll win, hands down...cause everyone likes him..

[finnman69]

Ok lets look at it this way. Who do you want with you and who don't you want with you in the final two.

Butch

Just about anyone else with the exception of Matt would draw fewer votes in the final. For that reason, unless Butch wins immunity he is most likely to go. The 3 snakes, Jenna, Heidi, and Rob have the majority and have double crossed so many it will come down to the winner being the least disliked and most crafty.

Jenna

Jenna is in deep doo doo and she knows it. There is almost no way she could win at this point. Unless she can flip over one of her previous votes in the jury. Alex might vote for her. Christy will never vote for her and I doubt Deena will have nice things to say, especially after Christy tells all to the jury. There is implied tension between her and Heidi in the next episode, likely because in a head to head, Heidi stands a better chance to win than Jenna in the final two IMO. All that being said, Jenna does not want to be in the final two or three with Matt, Butch or Heidi. Potentially Rob is more disliked than her at this point.

Heidi

Heidi could sneak in to the final two if she wins an immunity at say final 4 or 3. Christy is hopping mad at Heidi and would not mind being in the final two with Jenna or Rob although I don't think she trust either at this point. Jenna giving her immunity last episode is the end of their alliance. However I wonder if Jenna would still vote for Heidi if she votes Jenna out. Heidi can't win against Matt and it will be close with Butch.

Matt

Clearly Matt is the strongest and if he gets to the final 3 will win the physical challenge. Matt is unsure at this point what to think of Rob, he trusts Butch and I suspect him and butch have some sort of an alliance although it has not been shown. We know Rob has the ear of Matt since Matt voted out Christy. Matt also must know that Christy would still vote for him over Rob, Jenna and Heidi. It's possible Matt would like to see Butch go if he could get him out without making an enemy of Butch. Matt would like to be in the final two with Rob, but Rob must get rid of Matt before the final 3. Immunity is crucial for Matt in the next two episodes because Rob is about to stab him in the back. Does Matt really trust Rob now?

Rob

Oh Rob. You have done some very bad things. Rob knows hot to get to the end, but we will see if his strategy of screwing over everyone will be the kiss of death. As Rob pointed out to Jenna, he would like to be in the final two with her because she is almost as disliked as he is. Rob has not thought out that by lying to Matt and then dumping him before the final 3(clearly his plan), he will not get matt's vote. He also won't get Alex or christy's vote. All it takes is one more vote and Rob has no chance for the million. We might see rob switch gears one more time and radically shift alliances to try to sqeak out that extra vote, if he makes it that far. Rob may try to break up the Jenna Heidi alliance by zapping Heidi.


Here's where it gets interesting folks.

Predictions:
If Butch wins immunity: Butch escapes certain death and Rob becomes the target of Jenna, Heidi and Butch.

If Heidi wins immunity: Jenna Heidi Butch vote out Rob

If Jenna wins immunity: Jenna Heidi Matt and Rob vote out Butch

If Matt wins immunity: Butch Matt and Rob vote out Heidi

If Rob wins immunity: Jenna Heidi Matt and Rob vote out Butch...or the more interesting and strategic if organized by Rob....Matt Rob Butch vote out Heidi.

[finnman69]

Jenna most certainly has enemies. Butch hates her, as does Christy and Deena.

[Wrigley]

Why would either Matt or Jenna not pick Rob to be in the final two? It comes down to will they think the jury will give Rob the prize because he played the game well, or not give him the prize because he screwed everyone? My bets on the second, so I would bring Rob to finals with me.

[Notforprophet]

I always like your picks, cuz. I copy and paste 'em into an email to other Survivor junkies around my office... heck your gettin' famous even off of FR! :)

NFP

[tear_down_this_wall]

heck your gettin' famous even off of FR! :)

Cuz, how ELSE are you famous?

[cuz_it_aint_their_money]

heck your gettin' famous even off of FR! :)

Cuz, how ELSE are you famous?

Beats me! I didn't make the first round interviews for Survivor 7, and heck, I ain't even made it to the FReeper "Quote of the Day" yet.

Just little ol me, spouting off with my two cents worth!
But thanks for all the complements anyway!

[MomwithHope]

Good analysis Cuz, see you all later tonight. Hoping for Butch to stay in and one of the skanky girls to go.

[Harmless Teddy Bear]

I think that if I were Rob and wanted to be in the final two I would have to break up the duo. If he makes it to final 3 with Heidi and Jenna he is toast.

This is his last chance to do that. Heidi must go. If she doesn't likely it will be Rob and the Bobbsy Twins in the final three. Heidi and Jenna would gang up on Rob at that point. (I have an sick feeling that Rob would enjoy that)

[Harmless Teddy Bear]

Ok, who besides me thinks that fire was set and then put out?

[inflorida]

I suspect that too...it makes for better ratings.

[inflorida]

Maybe it was just bad luck and bad planning because there was a lot of dry wood lying around. Butch seems to have convinced himself that he is not at fault.

[Noslrac]

Matt has just totally dominated all the challenges.

[Harmless Teddy Bear]

Maybe. But they just happened to have a camera crew set up?

I know for sure that they put it out. Otherwise the forest would have gone up in flames.

[mystery-ak]

YES....Matt has immunity..I hope his psycho wins.....Jenna is sick again.

[Harmless Teddy Bear]

I am in awe. Heidi goes with the guys at least thinking of voting off Jenna and then she shoots her mouth off like Kurt Cobain

[inflorida]

The finale is coming up on Sunday (the 11th) so don't forget to tune in.

[Harmless Teddy Bear]

If Matt wins immunity: Butch Matt and Rob vote out Heidi

You called it. Very nice!

[stands2reason]

Heidi goes with the guys at least thinking of voting off Jenna and then she shoots her mouth off like Kurt Cobain

Heidi aka "the Mastermind" is painfully stupid.

[cuz_it_aint_their_money]

At the risk of sounding like the Male Chauvinistic Pig that I have on "Extremely Rare" occasion been called,

"I would have expected nothing less from a silicone enhanced blonde."

Well, gotta go and figure out Sunday's final four predictions.

Take care,