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Santorum in striking distance (says Casey internal poll)
Harrisburg Buzz ^ | September 8, 2006

Posted on 09/09/2006 11:09:09 AM PDT by Clintonfatigued

Members of Camp Casey in Washington unwittingly revealed to a source of the Fly that an internal poll shows Rick Santorum within the margin of error, trailing narrowly at 47-44. Worse, Casey’s people haven’t yet formulated a sound strategy for stemming Santorum’s momentum, which they attribute to the craftiness of ad-meister John Brabender. Casey’s handlers are at loggerheads as far as when/if/how to go negative. The fear like the plague being tagged as “visionless Bobby Casey running nasty ads with no message or ideas” Casey hasn’t completely scrubbed himself of the stench of a negative campaigner he picked up during his brawl and subsequent debacle against Ed Rendell in the gubernatorial primary in 2002. Casey’s “class warfare” approach is faltering, and he is perceived as being gloomy and negative.

(Excerpt) Read more at harrisburgbuzz.blogspot.com ...


TOPICS: Politics
KEYWORDS: comebackkid; polls; santorum
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1 posted on 09/09/2006 11:09:11 AM PDT by Clintonfatigued
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To: Jim Robinson; Valin; smoothsailing; PhillyRepublican; WestVirginiaRebel; fieldmarshaldj; ...

If this is true, that Casey's lead has shrunk to 47% to 44%, than Rick Santorum is the GOP's Harry Truman.

Spread the word to one's conservative brethren!


2 posted on 09/09/2006 11:15:58 AM PDT by Clintonfatigued (illegal aliens commit crimes that Americans won't commit)
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To: Clintonfatigued

This news along with the news in the New Jersey race looks good for Republicans retaining strong control of the Senate.


3 posted on 09/09/2006 11:27:36 AM PDT by saganite (Billions and billions and billions-------and that's just the NASA budget!)
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To: Clintonfatigued; fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican
If this is true ... thEn Rick Santorum is the GOP's Harry Truman.

Nah, he'd have to get elected VP, ascend to the presidency, and nuke Iran.

THEN he'd be the GOP's Harry Truman.

4 posted on 09/09/2006 11:28:20 AM PDT by JohnnyZ ("I respect and will protect a woman's right to choose" -- Mitt Romney, April 2002)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Here's hoping that Santorum wins big and that Diana Irey rides his coattails!


5 posted on 09/09/2006 11:29:39 AM PDT by RedRover (Boot Murtha! Support Diana Irey for Congress.)
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To: Clintonfatigued

the immigration emphasis is working for Santorum


6 posted on 09/09/2006 11:31:25 AM PDT by finnman69 (cum puella incedit minore medio corpore sub quo manifestu s globus, inflammare animos)
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To: RedRover; Right Wing Assault; Torie; Brilliant; neverdem; wagglebee; You Dirty Rats; ...

"Here's hoping that Santorum wins big and that Diana Irey rides his coattails!"

Boy, if that were to happen, we'd REALLY have something to toss into the teeth of those smug leftists.


7 posted on 09/09/2006 11:34:53 AM PDT by Clintonfatigued (illegal aliens commit crimes that Americans won't commit)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Great News, but we aint where we should be yet.


8 posted on 09/09/2006 11:40:52 AM PDT by MassachusettsGOP (May the West and Republicans Always Win...)
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To: Clintonfatigued

I wonder if this was post-debate or not. Regardless, this is outstanding news.


9 posted on 09/09/2006 11:45:04 AM PDT by NittanyLion
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To: MassachusettsGOP; quidnunc; okstate

Not yet, but considering where he was this Spring, it's cause for major cheers.


10 posted on 09/09/2006 12:11:51 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (illegal aliens commit crimes that Americans won't commit)
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To: Clintonfatigued
You keep trying that Harry Truman routine. I don't see how an incumbent routinely polling at 39-44% fits into that category. If he actually leads in a poll, and more importantly wins the election, I suppose you could make the connection.

I always expected Rick to close the gap, and I still like his chances. But don't kid yourself. He ain't exactly sittin' pretty.

11 posted on 09/09/2006 12:21:27 PM PDT by Coop (...one of the best things we can do for the troops is to boot Cut'n'run Murtha!! -- JimRob)
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To: Clintonfatigued
If true (a big if here, because of Casey's fundraising disadvantage against Santorum. What better way to attract the rich donors than to claim to be in a bit more trouble than he is?), this is still good news for Santorum I think.

His numbers ringing at 44 percent are by no means healthy, but the fact that Casey only leads by three is encouraging. Excepting Gallup, the last 5 polls from PA had Casey pegged bewteen 44 and 48 percent, so 47 percent is not out of line. The difference here is that Santorum's numbers, which had been running about 39-42 percent have jumped a couple of percent (which could be explained by the debate)

12 posted on 09/09/2006 12:48:49 PM PDT by okstate
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To: Coop

PA is still the seat most likely to flip as of now, but if a public post-Labor Day poll shows Santorum down by less than 5 I would be willing to wager that DeWine loses and Kean wins before PA flips.


13 posted on 09/09/2006 12:52:53 PM PDT by okstate
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To: JohnnyZ
Nah, he'd have to get elected VP, ascend to the presidency, and nuke Iran.

THEN he'd be the GOP's Harry Truman.

Brilliant! :-)

14 posted on 09/09/2006 2:46:34 PM PDT by EternalVigilance
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To: Coop

Santorum is still in trouble, but I think his TV ads are excellent, and he is back in the hunt. Yes, I think odds are, Santorum will likely lose, but he has maybe a 1 in 3 chance of winning now, and that is a lot better than where he was a month ago.


15 posted on 09/09/2006 6:20:35 PM PDT by Torie
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To: Torie

If Santorum can ever get Casey to debate him in Pennsylvania, Santorum's odds will go up dramatically. I thnik Santorum will pull it out.


16 posted on 09/09/2006 6:25:16 PM PDT by jwalsh07
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To: Clintonfatigued

The reason for Santorum's momentum is that Casey did the worst thing possible -- he appeared in public. I've been saying for months that when people get to know Casey, Jr., they won't like him.

After his appearance on MTP, he will be hounded to do another debate (Santorum would do it). Casey's campaign will flounder and if he does go negative, that will be the nail in his coffin. His appeal is as a "reasonable moderate".

The best thing Casey can do is to hide in a bunker except to go to carefully-controlled Dem photo ops and not to speak directly to reporters.


17 posted on 09/09/2006 6:27:09 PM PDT by AmishDude (`[N]on-state actors' can project force around the world more easily than Canada". -- Mark Steyn)
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To: jwalsh07

Casey will avoid Santorum like the guy had a particularly virulent form of contagious leprosy, due to some mad scientist causing it to be spread through the air. The two just are not in the same league, when it comes to knowledge and articulation. The debate was one of the most lopsided I have seen, and I have seen a lot of them. That is my judgment anyway, and I try not to get my ideology, mixed and matched as it is, get in the way of calling them like I see them.


18 posted on 09/09/2006 6:31:13 PM PDT by Torie
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To: saganite

I hear Menendez is being investigated by the US Attorney General.


19 posted on 09/09/2006 6:33:07 PM PDT by mware (Americans in armchairs doing the job of the media.)
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To: Torie
We agree on that though my view is undoubtedly more ideologically shaded than yours.

Lieberman is gonna win you know.

20 posted on 09/09/2006 6:33:53 PM PDT by jwalsh07
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