Replies

I would vote for him in a minute but he’s got to get more name recognition.

***hmmm, I had to wade through 55 posts before I came upon your Name Recognition saw. If name recognition is a requirement for your vote, why bother following the race at all? Just vote for the guy whose name you recognize the most.

And as a matter of fact, your post appears to be the only critical post in this whole thread. I’ve gotten so used to having the Fredheads try to beat us up that I just noticed how quiet things are from the Fred camp. That’s probably because his campaign is imploding. Would you rather have the name recognition that goes along with a tanking campaign 8 weeks before Iowa or a slowly building base like Duncan Hunter’s?

Here’s a recent poll showing Hunter at 4%.

http://www.angus-reid.com/polls/view/28889/republicans_2008_giuliani_28_thompson_19

Here’s an intrade link to the forum site discussing how Hunter might be gaining traction.
http://bb.intrade.com/intradeForum/posts/list/1797.page

Here’s one showing Fred at 6%, and discussing why.
http://bb.intrade.com/intradeForum/posts/list/1805.page

One thing prediction markets are better at — their only bias is whether someone can make money trading the futures contracts.

The Efficacy Of Prediction Markets
The Liberty Papers ^ | November 8, 2007 | Brad Warbiany
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1922961/posts

Posted on 11/08/2007 12:21:43 PM PST by E. Pluribus Unum

Fred has lost ~30 points at Intrade over the last few weeks, looks like it’s stabilizing at ~6%.

Thompson Tanking in Futures Markets (Intrade, IEM)
Intrade; Iowa Electronic Markets ^ | October 31, 2008

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1919127/posts