Free Republic
Browse · Search
Bloggers & Personal
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Larry Sabato Says Watch West Virginia on Election Night – Video
Freedom's Lighthouse ^ | November 1, 2010 | Brian

Posted on 11/01/2010 10:11:05 AM PDT by Federalist Patriot

Here is video of University of Virginia Professor Larry Sabato this morning saying he believes the GOP will win the House by “a wide margin.” Sabato said the latest polling shows the Washington Senate race is going to be “extremely close,” and may be trending Republican, which would be an additional GOP gain to what he had as his final projection last week. Sabato said only West Virginia seems to be moving in the Democrats’ direction. He said that early on Election Night, if West Virginia winds up going to the GOP, he believes the GOP “will win the Senate back.”

Do you think the GOP will win West Virginia?

(Excerpt) Read more at freedomslighthouse.net ...


TOPICS: Politics
KEYWORDS: election; joemanchin; johnraese; larrysabato; manchin; raese; wv

1 posted on 11/01/2010 10:11:13 AM PDT by Federalist Patriot
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: Federalist Patriot
I think WV is in the bag...I'd be looking at Delaware...I think THAT is the early bird gettin the worm...
2 posted on 11/01/2010 10:15:19 AM PDT by rightwingextremist1776
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: rightwingextremist1776

My son and I just voted for Rossi !


3 posted on 11/01/2010 10:16:49 AM PDT by america-rules
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Federalist Patriot

J. Geraghty just went race by race for the House and projected 70 seats. If we get 70, I think we get the Senate.


4 posted on 11/01/2010 10:19:02 AM PDT by chad_in_georgia
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Federalist Patriot

West Virginia will go to Raese.

Yes West Virginia is heavily Democrat. And they’ve had enough of Obama’s run away wild government, too.


5 posted on 11/01/2010 10:21:31 AM PDT by Freddd (CNN is down to Three Hundred Thousand viewers. But they worked for it.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: rightwingextremist1776
According to This page of poll closing times West Virginia closes at 7:30pm EDT. Delaware closes at 8:00pm EDT. The first states close at 7:00pm EDT (although eastern Kentucky and Indiana close at 6:00pm EDT, so don't wait to vote)..
6 posted on 11/01/2010 10:24:39 AM PDT by KarlInOhio (Dems' response to 11/2: Do not go gentle into that new day,Rage,rage against the coming of the dawn!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: KarlInOhio

He has put some weight on.


7 posted on 11/01/2010 10:31:20 AM PDT by scooby321
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: KarlInOhio
My point wasn't in regards to time...it was to the size of the wave. If Delaware goes then the Senate is in the bag....
8 posted on 11/01/2010 10:32:07 AM PDT by rightwingextremist1776
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: Federalist Patriot

If the GOP wins the Senate, Graham, Snowe, Collins, McCain, Cornyn, Hatch, and Grassley will immediately make calls of condolence and promise to support their RAT bothers and sisters to continue the transformation of America into a socialist paradise. They will offer to reach across the aisle on the important issues facing the LEFTIST Radical fringe that wants to destroy our economy, eliminate our individual freedoms, and give away our sovereignty. So much work remains to be done. Some things are so predictable.


9 posted on 11/01/2010 10:44:23 AM PDT by SC_Pete
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Freddd

“West Virginia is heavily Democrat. And they’ve had enough of Obama’s run away wild government, too.”

I think this is key. I think enough dimoKKKRATS are fed up with their party and are voting Republican. I don’t think this is reflected in the polls and their percentages. I believe the wave will be larger than the polls are reporting.


10 posted on 11/01/2010 10:47:45 AM PDT by Parley Baer
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: Federalist Patriot

FOX fox: One of the most accurate election predictors out there, and Larry Sabato’s final crystal ball has things going this way. On the House side, he sees the GOP gaining 55 seats, they need 39 to take majority control. On the Senate side, he sees Republicans gaining eight seats. Now, that would be shy of the ten needed to take control of the majority over there.

Larry Sabato is our next guest, he’s the director of the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia, all right, Larry, twenty-four hours to go, relatively, give or take a few, we’ll see with some of these races, any last minute changes?

Larry Sabato: Yes there are… there are… there’s movement in a number of races. I think, you know, what’s important to remember is what’s changed. When mycrystalball wesidte projected Republicans to take the House at the end of August, there was great disagreement about it, In fact, on your air, the DNC’s Tim Kane had a few choice words for me. Now, you can’t find an analyst… a non-partisan analyst who doesn’t think the Republicans are going to take the House, and by a wide margin. You know, you can argue about the exact number… is it in the 40s, the 50s, the 60s? You can argue forever about that, but I think that the trend is very clear, in the Republican direction. In the Senate, you were absolutely right a few minutes ago to point to Washington State. In most of the other races, I think the trend is pretty clear, and I hold to what we have declared on the crystal ball website. Washington State, though, is going to be extremely close, and remember they have all-mail voting, you can vote even on Tuesday evening and… I suspect it’ll be Thursday or Friday before we really know in that race, assuming it is close, and if it’s a squeaker, it’ll go on beyond that.

FOX fox: You were the first non-partisan pollster to point out that the House was going Republicans this year, obviously, you said that you caught a little bet of flack for that. In the Senate races you do mention Washington but you also mention that a strong breeze for several of these races could blow the results in either direction. Besides Washington, is there any other Senate races that you’re watching as a “tipping point;” if that race goes one direction or the other, that means the other ones will go as well.

Larry Sabato: Well sure, you’ve got very close races in Pennsylvania, Illinois, Colorado, Nevada. Right now I have all four going Republican, all four of them. The only race that is close that seems… seems… to have a Democratic trend is West Virginia… and we’ll watch that early on election night, that’s going to be an indicator. If somehow, the Republicans pick up the West Virginia U.S. Senate seat, then I think Republicans will win the Senate.

FOX fox: Real quick here Larry, I think our viewers have a lot of questions about how this terror plot, that came out on Friday, and obviously a big story for us today, even now, may or may not affect the elections, just your point of view on that, is there any sort of effect on that news story on the results we might see?

Larry Sabato: The effect is zero. This is an election about the economy, it’s a referendum, of sorts, on President Obama, as midterm elections always are, this is not an election about terrorism. I’m not saying it isn’t important, I’m not saying it isn’t a vital subject, but it is not about this election and this election is not about it.


11 posted on 11/01/2010 10:51:06 AM PDT by Steely Tom (Obama goes on long after the thrill of Obama is gone)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Federalist Patriot

if the peoople of W VA send a demhole to congress, they deserve a bankrupt coal industry


12 posted on 11/01/2010 11:18:18 AM PDT by wny
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Freddd

Do you live in WV? I hope and pray that it goes to Raese but it doesn’t seem that way here on the ground. Yes people are fed up with Obama but they don’t think Manchin is cut from the same cloth. Conservatives in my church are voting for Manchin. I am banging my head against a wall here!!!


13 posted on 11/02/2010 3:07:57 PM PDT by christianhomeschoolmommaof3
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
Bloggers & Personal
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson