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VIDEOOn January 2, 2024 Larry Sabato of the Univerisity of Virginia's Center for Politics kicked off the election year by poisoning the political well by declaring that "Trump engaged in insurrection" during an appearance on C-SPAN'S "Washington Journal." Even Jack Smith who suffers from extreme TDS did NOT charge President Donald Trump with insurrection yet Larry has decided that Trump is guilty of it based on what, we don't know. Certainly nothing legal. Of course, Sabato tried to act like he wasn't an extreme partisan by then going on to state that Trump should be allowed on the ballots despite...

A Washington Post poll shows former President Trump beating His Fraudulency Joe Biden by ten points, and that has given left-wing propagandist Larry Sabato a serious case of the sadz. Sabato, an unhinged Trump hater, also got a case of the madz that was so acute he became a danger to democracy by questioning the oh-so-precious corporate media. Let’s not forget that questioning the media puts us all at risk. That didn’t stop the disgraced Sabato, who said the Washington Post should’ve risked democracy itself by not publishing the poll. Yes, Sabato is such a fascist he admits that if...

Washington’s Senate race between 30-year incumbent Sen. Patty Murray (D-WA) and Republican Tiffany Smiley has been placed on “upset alert” by the University of Virginia Center for Politics. Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball, the Center’s political prognosticating publication, also switched the race from “Safe Democratic” to “Likely Democratic.” The move in favor of Smiley also comes as the Republican outraised Murray by nearly double in the third quarter, beating her $6 million to $3.3 million. National Republican Senatorial Committee Chairman Sen. Rick Scott (R-FL) also put Smiley’s race on his list of pick-up opportunities.

VIDEODuring the afternoon of Monday, November 1 on MSNBC the normally calm political analyst Larry Sabato went full mental jacket and blamed the apparent slippage of Terry McAuliffe in the gubernatorial race polls on white raaaaaaaacism. As you can see he came off as a real leftist mental case. Perhaps later that day he realized he let down his guard and exposed his leftist derangement because that evening on Brian Williams' show he reverted to the mostly sane character that he usually presents to the public.

was bombarded with criticism on Tuesday for labeling late Secretary of State Colin Powell a 'RINO' who 'made plenty of mistakes' in a statement one day after Powell's death of COVID-19 complications at age 84. In an email full of mixed messages, Trump commented on the posthumous praise Powell has been receiving since Monday morning and said he hoped he'd get the same treatment 'one day.' 'Wonderful to see Colin Powell, who made big mistakes on Iraq and famously, so-called weapons of mass destruction, be treated in death so beautifully by the Fake News Media,' Trump said in a statement...

The basic John Kennedy story says his speech on religious tolerance was a great step for Catholics in America. It's a very nice story; too bad it isn't true.“The Catholic Church benefited enormously from the JFK presidency,” pollster Larry Sabato wrote Monday morning. “Prejudice against Catholics declined and millions were exposed to church rituals. Church leaders welcomed the ‘JFK effect.'”“Now at last there is a second Catholic [president],” he continued, “and what do some in the hierarchy do? They ruin it.”“A little more than 60 years [after President John F. Kennedy’s speech on accepting Catholics in American politics], a second...

After 2020 presidential candidate Sen. Kamala Harris attacked former Vice President Joe Biden during the first Democratic presidential debate for opposing busing in the 1970s, it sparked a larger conversation among candidates about whether the federal government should return to forced busing to integrate America's schools. “I support the busing,” Harris, D-Calif., said Sunday to reporters. “The schools of America are as segregated or more segregated today than when I was in elementary school. And we need to put every effort, including busing, into play to desegregate the schools.” Harris isn't the only 2020 presidential candidate to weigh in on...

Nearly a week after the latest sexual misconduct accusation against President Donald Trump, the story has largely landed with a thud.

University of Virginia Center for Politics Director Larry Sabato joins MSNBC's 'MTP Daily' with host Chuck Todd to discuss the Republicans struggling in states Trump won in 2016. Sabato said Trump is in trouble in the Midwest, a part of the country where he did well in 2016, and it "seems to be flipping" in the midterm year. He said the states he carried, it appears, to elect Democratic Senators. "Even if the Republicans hold the Senate given the very pro-Republican math that exists, President Trump is in trouble in some of these states," Sabato said. "He's fallen considerably as...

"We want the report to be a reality check." It certainly is. In March The Brennan Center for Justice (BCJ) delivered some bad news to Democrats hoping to retake the House and reinstalling Babbling Nancy Pelosi as the next Speaker. Aside from the scary news itself, the reason for the scary news should put a smile on the face of Americans concerned about the life of our nation. Without even knowing how insanely far to the left the Democrats would have moved five months later, the BCJ report titled "Extreme Gerrymandering & the 2018 Midterm," makes it clear that the...

Wrong Way Larry Sabato is predicting a big Election Night for Democrats. What he is doing amounts to elder abuse by teasing geriatric Democrats with dreams of winning the House back. In the political prediction business, you are only as good as your last predictions; so, let’s look at how Wrong Way Larry Sabato did in 2016. Wrong Way Larry confidently predicted Hillary Clinton would win 322 Electoral College votes to Donald J. Trump’s 232 EC votes. When real votes were counted Trump won with 306 EC votes to Hillary Clinton’s poor showing of 216 such votes. When you consider...

Democrats are now 'soft favorites' to take the House, according to an analysis by University of Virginia political scientist Larry Sabato and his team. The latest periodic installment of Sabato's 'Crystal Ball' newsletter handicapping congressional the elections shifts 17 House races in the direction of Democrats. Race-by-race rankings are moving several GOP incumbents into the tossup category. Among them are Texas Rep. John Culberson, Illinois Rep. Peter Roskam, Indiana Rep. Steve Chabot, and Iowa Rep. David Young.

There will be no return of power for the Democrats any time soon. There is no Blue Wave coming. The numbers being ignored by Democrats and their pollsters say this very clearly. Because the “Blue Wave” hogwash is so widespread brevity demands that only one “Democrat expert’s” foolishness be followed and debunked. Larry Sabato will do. Almost immediately after the stunning defeat of Hillary Clinton Larry Sabato, one of the left’s trusted “experts”, had the good sense and grace to admit he was totally wrong in his “oh so confident” prediction that Clinton would easily win the election. In his...

Like almost all established political prognosticators, Larry Sabato is befuddled by the meteoric rise of Donald Trump to the top of the Republican Party’s presidential primary field. That Trump, who is not a politician, can merely get into the arena, do a few deep knee bends and pummel one professional politician after another seems to have him stupefied. Although he has not commented on the victory of Matt Bevin in Kentucky yet, that race has to have had him tied in knots as well. Sabato called Bevin, who won with 14 points more than the polls Sabato relies on, a...

Donald Trump may be the current GOP front-runner, but it's "doubtful in the extreme" that he will become the eventual nominee, let alone president, University of Virginia political scientist Larry Sabato says. "The Summer of Trump is unlikely to turn into a Year of Trump," Sabato, who heads the university's Center for Politics, writes in a "Crystal Ball" report released Thursday, in which he ranks the presidential candidates while putting Trump into a category of his own: "The Un-Nominatable Front-runner." "Trump is an early season fling for many people, fun while it lasts but doomed to break up somewhere along...

Larry Sabato, director of the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics and one of the most widely respected political analysts in the country, has come out with his final predictions for the 2014 midterms, and he predicts a good night for Republicans. In his “Crystal Ball” picks, Sabato see an 8-seat pick-up for Republicans in the Senate, which would give them a 2-seat majority.

Republican Ken Cuccinelli's unexpectedly strong showing in the Virginia governor's race will make it more difficult for moderate members of the GOP to pull the party toward the center, says Larry Sabato, director of the University of Virginia Center for Politics. Polls had shown Cuccinelli down by 7 points to Democrat Terry McAuliffe, but Cuccinelli, a tea party favorite, led vote counts most of the night, with Clinton administration insider McAuliffe pulling out a late victory as bigger cities were counted. "Whether it's one vote or a million, you're governor for four years," Sabato said. Still, he said, "The conservative...

Earlier this week, CNN asked me to write an op-ed on Ted Cruz, and whether he’s a realistic contender for the presidency. My reaction: Of course he is — but probably not in 2016. And for that matter, neither are the Republicans who seem to get the most mention for that position: No one doubts that Cruz has a bright future in the Republican Party, but that doesn’t mean the future is now.Cruz, like Rubio and Rand Paul, have only barely arrived on the national stage and are many years younger than their sell-by date. None of the three has...

Our most recent rating of Republican presidential contenders features a top tier of three notably different candidates: A Midwestern governor (Scott Walker) who is known best by the activists who will help decide the nomination; a leading national figure (Chris Christie) who has irked conservatives; and a firebrand senator (Rand Paul) with devoted supporters who would shake up the party’s platform and, perhaps, identity.Chart 1: Updated Crystal Ball Republican presidential rankings First Tier Candidate Key Advantages Key Disadvantages Since Last Update Scott WalkerGovernor, WI •Midwest GOP gov. in Obama state •Heroic conservative credentials •Shown political durability •Too bland? Next Pawlenty?...

He doesn't get the attention of the Sunday talk shows, or Washington's political elite, but the Midwest's dragon slayer, Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker, is emerging in some Republican circles as the surprising favorite to win the GOP nomination for president in 2016. Untainted by scandal, far from Washington's voter-frustrating gridlock, and reinvigorated by his victory over foes who staged a recall vote, the conservative Walker is also viewed as the best candidate to sop up the Midwest white vote which, had Mitt Romney done better there, would have catapulted him into the Oval Office. But the best part in the...