Posted on 05/07/2011 7:32:18 AM PDT by Michael van der Galien
We’ve heard it being said dozens of times: Sarah Palin is unelectable. The base may like her, but the famous swing voters do not. She’s too partisan, too aggressive. She’s a divider, not a united.
And more such nonsense.
Nonsense? Yes, nonsense.
Here are the facts about a Q-Poll that supposedly ‘proves’ Palin is unelectable:
As political scientist John Sides has noted (with little effect on the establishment media, much to his chagrin) about 90% of the public is partisan and about 80-90% of those voters vote for their party’s candidate. Thus, presidential elections tend to turn on the difference in turnout between Republicans and Democrats and the distribution of the so-called Independent vote. On the latter factor, it is important to note that pollsters often treat Independents synonymously with swing voters, whenonly 7-10% of Independents are truly indepenedent. The rest are weak partisans who overwhelmingly vote their partisan sympathies. Incidentally, the folks at Quinnipiac know this and have been known to separate leaners out from true Indies — but it does not appear that they did so in this poll.
Accordingly, when turning back to the Q-Poll, it’s a good bet that some or most of the 24% of Republicans who told Quinnipiac they would never vote for Palin are fooling themselves. Conversely, 50% of Democrats may say they would consider voting for Mitt Romney, but the real answer is probably closer to the 91% who say they would never vote for Palin.
Quite right. Whether pollsters want to accept it or not, most voters are pretty partisan. And many Independents aren’t very ‘independent’ at all. Most Republicans and Republican-leaning voters will end up voting for the GOP’s nominee, no matter who he or she may be.
(Excerpt) Read more at theatlanticright.com ...
The difference between Romney and Obama isn’t much, though.
I possess SOLID proof that Sarah is electable.
If she truly wasn’t electable, the media would be hyping her to win the repub nomination so she could face easy defeat in the main election. But instead,,, they are desperate to stop her BEFORE the primary.
She scares them BAD.
Unelectable? Why then, every room she enters, any where she goes, any function she goes to no matter what super famous person is there Palin absoultly steals the show?!!! She is a magnet!If she runs, she get my vote, ya betcha!
(Haha i fooled you!)
You are right IMO. I think the main effect of the media bashing is that many folks who would gladly pull the lever for her will not say so to a pollster.
The liberals never figure this out, that they are so judgmental that people lie to them out of convenience.
I just couldn't read past that.
She is carefully being painted by the media as “too conservative”. The GOPOS that gave us the McCain nobody wanted will have to reject her to to run an “electable” moderate.
This country is screwed because we are forced to vote for unworthy candidates put up by the GOPOS to keep the democrats out.
This “lesser of two evils” nonsense has to stop with Palin running as in independent TEA party candidate.
The GOP is nothing more than the phony “conservative” face of the republicrat oligarchy, there to fool conservatives into believing they have representation in our government.
And more such nonsense.
Nonsense? Yes, nonsense.
It isn't nonsense. Much as I'd like to see Palin in the whitehouse, I believe the article is correct and that, unless the abortion issue could be tamed or somehow framed in such a way that it doesn't scare American women the way that it does, Palin would have no shot in a general election. That would be the ONLY issue anybody would ever see or read about in any presidential election involving Sarah Palin, the dems would see to that.
Palin has moved maybe 1 point at best. Just because she is so heavily worshiped on this forum, does not make her play well with the general electorate. The averages clearly show that.
The entire GOP field needs to get busy. They should be well ahead of Obama by now, with this economy and gas prices. Which is also another strong indication that the Public is not blaming Obama for it.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/president_obama_vs_republican_candidates.html
Why excerpt?
I do not believe the Democrat base is very excited about 2012 and are very unhappy with Obama. This means a depressed voter turnout. The question will be if there is an exciting Republican candidate who will send the conservative voters to the polls.
Nice maps. They would actually have meaning in the current climate if Palin were Reagan. But she’s not, no matter how many times she tries to channel him in her speeches.
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Because she is very selective about where she goes and is always preaching to the choir.
Sarah, who I like, needs to learn to lower her voice and speak like a POTUS. Thatcher did it purposefully. Hillary did it. Sarah, if she wants to get the office, must do it too...
And that isn't true of which candidate?
Wrong, the 15 Trillion dollar debt ON our children is all they will see, Sarah would see to THAT.
Me too. She has the guts of a bear and will kick most of King Obama's crap in the scrap heap within the first few months of her term with the help of the Senate and House. And she will wise up the Courts including the Supreme Court what their job is.
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