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My prediction
12/31/2011 | Nikos1121

Posted on 12/31/2011 2:37:19 PM PST by nikos1121

I've been on FR for several years. Dropped out temporarily when the dialogue turned pretty ugly a few months ago. I'm back now with a new found energy. For this reason I feel compelled to share my thoughts with fellow FRers here.

About 5 weeks ago, I decided to throw my support into Newt. As of yet I have no remorse, but I must admit there were times when I thought the world as I used to know it, was upside down when the likes of Ann Coulter, Mark STeyn and many many others, whose opinions I respected, came down hard against Newt even before the first primary. Coulter especially has run four consecutive columns blasting Newt. Think about that for a moment. She thinks we should all go home and give the nomination to Romney before there's been any primaries.

The lady is clearly not what we all thought. But this article is not about Ann Coulter, (whose CDs I might add have been donated to Goodwill this past week.)

Therefore, I had extreme joy when Jim Robinson came out recently for Newt, and expressed his own metamorphesis. Then came Thomas Sowell, Michael REagan and J. C. Watts.

YOu get the picture that the people with real courage are backing him, because they and we know in our hearts he will back us.

EVerything Newt says, I agree with. Most of time, it's a learning experience, as he brings up something that I hadn't thought about, for example that it would be far better for us to declare a war on finding a cure for Alzheimer's than to put money into "treating" the disease, similar to how we found cures for Polio and Small Pox. His thoughts on the Middle East and Asia are also profound.

But, I digress. I'm worried, Folks. I really don't see people coming around to Newt when one considers the money and backing Romney has. At least not in the short term. I see him taking third or fourth in Iowa, which actually might be a good thing, and as you will read, Newt is in good company as REagan also lost Iowa.

Therfore, here is my prediction:

I think we will see a situation very similar to what happened when Reagan was in the primary 1980. As many will recall, on Novmenber 4, 1979, 52 Americans were held hostage by a group of Islamist students and militants who took over the American Embassy in Tehran in support of the Iranian Revolution.

But did you know that one month later on December 29, 1979 the Soviets invade Afghanistan? It woke a lot of people up. We realized that we had a milk toast president who was the cause of all of it, similar to how we see the economic crisis in the world most likely the result of Obama's policies.

The Iowa Caucus was won by George H. W. Bush, not Reagan. Going into NH, Reagan paid for a debate among himself and the candidates at the time. Bush refused to participate at first. It was the famous debate when REagan said, when they turned off the microphone, "I paid for this microphone, now turn it on!"

Reagan won SC and swept the South although he lost 5 Southern Primaries to Bush. Kennedy was also competing against CArter.

HOwever, I think it was the Iranian crisis that showed us then that Reagan was the man for the times.

I think the same thing will happen early next year. A crisis will occur overseas or at home. It will show not only Obama's weakness as a leader, but also the weakness of the other candidates most notably Santorum, who will find a renewed hope in doing well in Iowa, and Romney. If Perry stays in the fight he will rise too, but most of all so will Newt.

Reagan had the nomination wrapped up by the Summer. He stumbled frequently along the way, and like Newt was constantly hit by the media. Here's one example when he told an ethnic joke off the record to some reporters.

From the book REndevous with Destiny----

Always fond of a good laugh, he, (Reagan) told an ethnic joke to several aides and then was asked by a reporter — off the record — to repeat it. Reagan did: “How do you tell the Polish one at a cockfight? He’s the one with the duck. How do you tell the Italian? He’s the one who bets on the duck. How do you tell when the mafia is there? The duck wins.” The reporters all laughed, but the joke earned the condemnation of several sanctimonious elements in the national media, including ABC, which incredibly aired the off-the-record gag. Ed Meese quipped, “There goes Connecticut,” an allusion to the state’s heavy Italian population.

The New York Times surprisingly defended Reagan in an editorial, saying the joke reflected his “geniality” and not “bigotry.” The whole thing became ridiculous when the president of Yale, Bart Giamatti, released a statement calling on Reagan to apologize to everybody, “including the ducks.” Reagan did a bit of tap dancing for the media, apologized, and promised to tell only Irish jokes in the future."..... [end excerpt]

IN summary, I predict that circumstances that are soon to occur will show us all that Newt is the right man for the time.


TOPICS: Chit/Chat; Government
KEYWORDS: newt; republicanprimary
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To: anglian

“Newt said if Obama refuses to debate, he will follow him whereever he (obama) gives a speech, and within hours will dissect that speech live.”

Obama will refuse to debate in any reasonable forum that requires eloquence, intelligence, and thought. He might debate in a tightly controlled format with softball questions cleared in advance.

If Newt were the nominee, he could follow Obama all he wants, nobody would cover it.


81 posted on 01/01/2012 7:06:11 PM PST by RFEngineer
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To: JoSixChip

“I’ll say to you what I feel every time I read this same type of drivel day after day on FR. I am literally stunned when I read some of the vicious unfounded attacks on GOP candidates here on FR. “

People like you are the problem with the GOP. The party has lost its backbone and turned its die hard followers into invertebrates.


82 posted on 01/01/2012 8:08:45 PM PST by Rebelbase
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To: muawiyah

Yes well stated in every aspect , and I agree .


83 posted on 01/06/2012 8:16:40 PM PST by Billk
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To: Hot Tabasco
NCAA ~ Indiana v. ?

I haven't yet decided on "?"

84 posted on 01/07/2012 5:57:29 AM PST by muawiyah
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