Posted on 02/27/2012 5:49:15 AM PST by publius321
I heard Newt Gingrich say on Saturday that he expects Romney will likely have a good day on Tuesday. This I believe is Newt’s subtle way of releasing his supporters to vote for Rick Santorum in Michigan where he is polling 8% and also low in Arizona.
Newt is sagacious enough to know that while he cannot ask his voters to do this, he knows that Santorum dealing Romney's campaign a mortal wound on Tuesday would be the best chance of making this a one on one race between himself (a strong conservative) and Santorum (a strong conservative).
Mitt blew $50 million of his own personal fortune in 2008 chasing his legacy. That’s a very significant percentage of his total estimated $250 million estimated net worth – and that’s not all liquid. From that we can presume that he is not about to make another such ridiculous gamble of the family fortune this time around as his smear campaign is currently being funded largely by "super-PACS".
The bottom line is that if he loses Michigan, you will quite possibly see a substantial quantity of that PAC money disappear. That’s the way it typically works with PACS. They typically chase performance as their real motive is to be in the good graces of whoever they see as likely to be in power.
So not only would Mitt Romney look severely weakened, his cash transfusion upon which he depends to do his dirty work would be as well.
With Romney’s inevitability mantra out of the way, the PACS would likely diversify between Santorum who is strong in the mid-west and possibly some of the northern states and Newt Gingrich who is strong in the south and West (where conservatives should coalesce around Newt to continue to bury Romney as long as he remains in the race).
This is how I know that Newt Gingrich wants his supporters to vote for Rick Santorum in Michigan and Arizona. His 8% do him no good there. Newt is not even campaigning in Michigan. As much as Newt supporters may want to actually vote for their candidate, most will understand that they are not helping their candidate at all by voting for him. It's ironic but a vote for Newt in Michigan and Arizona is a vote for Mitt Romney.
After this Tuesday I will be saying the same thing to states where Newt Gingrich is the leader such as Georgia. In some of these southern and western states, a vote for Santorum would be a vote for Mitt Romney. I personally voted for Newt Gingrich here in Florida because he was the conservative with the larger margin going into the election.
At this juncture this election is one of conservatives against the minority liberals who seek to once again hi-jack this party and it is bigger than either Rick or Newt as individual candidates.
It will be fun to listen to the pundits on Wednesday talk about what we just did. None of this would have been possible without the grass-roots capabilities provided by websites like http://www.Freerepublic.com and social networking.
Let’s go and make some history together.
Here’s the strategy: (The video is at my blog linked above. If I had the capability to do so, I would prefer to post it here.)
God bless.
Scott/Publius321
I think the real indicator is that he has so clearly stayed out of the way.
This Santorum supporter appreciates it a great deal.
I hope MI republicans are savvy enough to realize this.
Vote for Newt....Period
No. You’re wrong. Vote Newt. :-) Santorum is on his way down and his supporters are now reaching. Vote Newt.
Newtomorrow.
AbsoNEWTly Newt at the polls.
$2.50 gas with Newt!
New polls out in Michigan saying that Rick is regaining the lead again...
Um.. link please.
Further, unlike Arizona, Michigan proportionally awards delegates. Saying Newt's percentage there won't help him is a LIE.
If you want voters to think strategically, that fine. I've argued for that myself but DO NOT put words in candidate's mouths.
Sorry, but the news is grim for Santorum, ESPECIALLY nationally.
Check out Real Clear Politics....
I hope the MI and AZ Newt voters help Romney LOSE his home state and AZ.
Nationally ? tomorrow, it will only matter in 2 states,, Arizona and Michigan.
8 points down? Yeah, Santorum's leading in the MI polls again. /s
That's an hour old story here
Santorum also trails in three Sunday Michigan polls:
PPP (2 points), Mitchell/Rosetta (3 points) and WeAskAmerica (4 points).
FOUR out of FOUR polls above show you're wrong about him regaining the lead. Where's this "new polling" you claim says otherwise?
You can't make the case he's regaining the lead based on one poll you like.
| Poll | Date | Sample | MoE | Romney | Santorum | Paul | Gingrich | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCP Average | 2/23 - 2/26 | -- | -- | 37.8 | 35.3 | 12.3 | 10.0 | Romney +2.5 |
| PPP (D) | 2/26 - 2/26 | 421 LV | 4.8 | 39 | 37 | 13 | 9 | Romney +2 |
| Mitchell/Rosetta Stone | 2/26 - 2/26 | 858 LV | 3.3 | 35 | 37 | 8 | 9 | Santorum +2 |
| WeAskAmerica | 2/26 - 2/26 | 984 LV | 3.1 | 37 | 33 | 18 | 13 | Romney +4 |
There will come a day when voters like you, will regret your decision to reject Newt over Santorum. You seem to be very short sighted. The same thing happened when Bush was nominated, in regards to the disbelief that his social conservative nature would carry all the rest automatically.
Now that the Lemming/sheep voter following has heard about the “conservative Santorum” they will vote for him on name recognition only. (No research what so ever into his record, or his basic agenda.)
Santorum proved who and what he is, without a doubt in the 15 years he was a Congressman and Senator. There is no miraculous change in him, only his rhetoric has changed. He is telling his followers what they want to hear, but has no clue how to actually make that happen.
The latest trick from your group to get Newt voters to “crossover”, (to beat Romney) knowing full well that at this stage, momentum is everything, will only serve to guarantee a disaster later on.
But you will keep on doing what you do, in spite of all the previous warnings. And all the posthumous “I told you so’s” will only further serve the aspect of bitter irony.
The joke is on you, only you just don’t know it yet.
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