Obama has 100% support in a voting block that shows up reliably for his party. I expect dead and fictional voters to be significant this election.
Posted on 04/10/2012 11:54:44 AM PDT by jmaroneps37
At 46% approval, Gallup’s new numbers show Barack Obama is still under the 50% he needs for reelection. With the exception of Harry Truman no president has been reelected with a sub 50% approval rating. The rest of Gallup’s message holds more bad news for Obama.
He hasn’t averaged 50% approval for a full month since last May when we killed bin Laden. His previous full month of 50% approval was February 2010.
Gallup reports the much talked about BIG lead Obama has with women really isn’t very big at all. In 2008 Obama won women 56/43. Al Gore and John Kerry both won women (with 54% and 51% respectively) and both lost anyway. Today Gallup says Obama’s approval with women is at 49%; off 7 points since 2008.
In 2008 Obama won 18 – 29 year olds 66/31; they now approve of Obama at just a 54% rate. He won Hispanics 67/31 but that’s down to 55% approval. Although only 45% of those over 65 voted for Obama, that’s down to 41%. Working your “retirement” as a Walmart greeter will do that.
Overall Democrat support has fallen 3 points to 83% which is important because it is moving in the wrong direction. His support among Independents has shrunk to 42% a 10 point slip from 2008.
Obama has even lost 6 points (95% now 89%) among Blacks. Of course this number will balloon to 100% on Election Day, but how can this be helpful to his reelection?
The problem with this number and the numbers for 18 to 29 year olds is enthusiasm to vote. Among both groups it is down sharply.
In March 2008 Blacks were 78% enthusiastic to vote and young voters were 76% enthusiastic to vote. Today both groups are 48% enthusiastic…..
(Excerpt) Read more at coachisright.com ...
The Daily Beast agrees.
Wait till gas gets to $7 a gallon and big business crashes the Dow-Jones. Obuggery will be at 29-32% approval.
I expect Obama to run a Truman-like campgain, negative and blaming the “do-nothing” Congress.
Obama is the opposite of Truman (the buck never stops with Barack), but this election is still very winnable for him, despite his low approval.
Actually, in either 2004 or2 2008 (I forget which) Bush was under 50%.
And this is just a different world. The public hates everyone. The old “approval” v. re-election just doesn’t mean much anymore.
I’d like to see a bit more analysis on just where obama sat with all these demographics in 2010 noember...ie, where were women, blacks, indies, etc. at that time and how that matches up with today.
obviously a congressional mid term is different from a presidential, but, still, it is relevant...important to remember that even though his numbers were crazy in 2008 among various groups, he still only won 53 to 47....
is there a chance that obama could actually lose? in the abstract...yes. There’s a chance.
Could he lose to Romney? Yikes. That’s more difficult. I think that as of right now, it’s still a coin toss....
Obama has 100% support in a voting block that shows up reliably for his party. I expect dead and fictional voters to be significant this election.
I saw a report today in South Florida, where Obama is fouling up the traffic so he can campaign at another college.
The little girl delivering the report was gushing about how EXCITED the college kids were to see the President. NO ONE in her “news” report was unhappy with Obama. No one.
Of course, EVERY time George W. Bush came to Florida during his two terms, the media SOUGHT OUT people who hated Bush.
Bottom line? The media will prop up this clown...the NATIONAL media and the LOCAL media. But they’re spitting in the faces of the public—because despite their swooning over Barack Hussein Obama (mmm mmm mmm), the general public DOES NOT LIKE HIS POLICIES.
He isn’t a popular occupier of the Oval Office, and he is ripe for defeat.
With the election looking like it is between BO and Mittwits his odds of winning reelection is improving.
That’s exactly how we got Claire McCackle...
Also there are expected to be a million new forclosures this year. You haven't heard much about forclosures the last couple years, because the big lenders stopped them while they were being sued for forclosing illegally. Now that they've settled there's a lot of catching up to do. That will drop housing prices even more.
I think the big difference in this election is that now Obama has a record he has to run on or run away from and it’s a record of disaster. The last election was about hope and change, this one is about ugly race politics and redistribution of wealth from the middle class to the welfare class.
Last election brother and BIL both voted for Obama, I wonder if they will do so again? BIL has been unemployed for a year and lost house. Reality has a way of intruding on our plans and hopes and dreams and proves stronger in the end, I hope.
But Barry’s people will continue to conflate the ongoing collapse in housing prices with the crushing inflation in food and energy prices, and the media will let him get away with it.
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