What can I make of this?

National Journal ^ | 09/21/2012 | National Journal Staff

[ctpsb]

With absentee and early voting set to begin next week in IowaIowaPopulation (2010): 3,046,355Registered Voters: 31.20% R, 33.40% D, 35.40% I Governor: Gov. Terry Branstad (R)Senators: Sen. Chuck Grassley (R), Sen. Thomas Harkin (D) Read Full Almanac Profile », a battleground state in the presidential race, Democrats have a 6-1 edge in ballot requests so far, The Wall Street Journal reported....

[ctpsb]

I know the polls have been skewed but do Dems usually have this huge an edge in early voting in Iowa or anywhere else? Not being an eeyore just saying these differences are substantial or fraud?...

[Responsibility2nd]

Steve McCroskey: Johnny, what can you make out of this?
[Hands him the weather briefing]

Johnny: This? Why, I can make a hat or a brooch or a pterodactyl...

[Yosemitest]

Take a look at UnskewedPolls.com/

UnSkewed Polling Data
Poll	Date	Sample	MoE	Obama(D)	Romney(R)	Spread
UnSkewed Avg.	9/4 - 9/20	--	--	44.0	51.8	Romney +7.8
Reason/Rupe	9/13 - 9/17	787 LV	4.3	45.0	52.0	Romney +7
Reuters/Ipsos	9/12 - 9/20	1437 LV	2.9	44.0	54.0	Romney +10
NBC News/WSJ	9/12 - 9/16	736 LV	3.6	44.0	51.0	Romney +7
Monmouth Univ.	9/13 - 9/16	1344 LV	2.5	45.0	50.0	Romney +5
QStarNews	9/10 - 9/15	2075	3.0	44.0	55.0	Romney +11
NY Times/CBS News	9/8 - 9/12	1162 LV	3.0	44.0	51.0	Romney +7
Democracy Corps	9/8 - 9/12	1000 LV	3.1	43.0	52.0	Romney +8
Fox News	9/9 - 9/11	1056 LV	3.0	45.0	48.0	Romney +3
Wash. Post/ABC News	9/7 - 9/9	826 LV	4.0	45.0	52.0	Romney +7
CNN/ORC	9/7 - 9/9	875 RV	3.5	45.0	53.0	Romney +8
IBD/CSM/TIPP	9/4 - 9/9	808 RV	3.5	41.0	50.0	Romney +9
ARG	9/4 - 9/6	1200 LV	3.0	43.0	53.0	Romney +10






UnSkewed Polling Data
Poll	Date	Sample	MoE	Approval	Disapproval	Spread
UnSkewed Avg.	9/4 - 9/20	--	--	44.1	52.9	Disapproval 8.8
Reason/Rupe	9/13 - 9/17	787 LV	4.3	44.0	53.0	Disapproval 9
NBC News/WSJ	9/12 - 9/16	736 LV	3.6	44.0	54.0	Disapproval 10
QStarNews	9/10 - 9/15	2075	3.0	45.0	55.0	Disapproval 10
NY Times/CBS News	9/8 - 9/12	1162 LV	3.0	44.0	51.0	Disapproval 7
Democracy Corps	9/8 - 9/12	1000 LV	3.1	42.0	55.0	Disapproval 13
Fox News	9/9 - 9/11	1056 LV	3.0	45.0	53.0	Disapproval 8
Wash. Post/ABC News	9/7 - 9/9	826 LV	4.0	45.0	49.0	Disapproval 4
CNN/ORC	9/7 - 9/9	875 RV	3.5	44.0	53.0	Disapproval 9

Don't thank me. Thanks goes to Dean Chambers of Q Star News.

[MNJohnnie]

Nothing. Iowa is a likely Obama state.

Dems usually vote early. Rep show up on election day. The whole reason the Dems pushed this early voter scheme was to give their lazy ass voters more time to vote.

The exact opposite is happening in NC where Dem ballots are significantly down from 2008 and significantly less then GOP early ballots.

BTW National Journal is a wholly owned Democrat Party propaganda organ. You would be wise to simply ignore them.

[Perdogg]

The last real (Ras) poll I saw on Iowa had Romney by 3.

[Yosemitest]

Here's a link to Absentee Statistics (updated daily) from IOWA Secretary of State Matt Schultz's site, General Election - November 6, 2012 Absentee Statistics.
But remembner that this is ONLY counting REQUEST FOR ABSENTEE BALLOTS !

Take a look at the cheating found below, and think about how it might be done in Iowa.

How many of the LAME Stream Media prostitutes reported this ?

Logan Churchwell, a spokesman for the group, told FoxNews.com that the organization accessed Florida's complete voter registration roll and cross-referenced it against 10 percent of New York's list.
It identified more than 1,700 people with voter registrations in both states.
Of that number, 31 people allegedly voted in both states during the same federal election cycle.

Both Florida and New York require voters to cast ballots that correspond with their permanent home addresses.
Under federal law, voters are prohibited from casting more than one ballot in the same election.

"This is further evidence of just how susceptible our election system is to voter fraud," the group's president, Catherine Engelbrecht, said in a statement.

The group said it has alerted the Office of Florida Secretary of State, the New York State Board of Elections and the U.S. Department of Justice of its finding.

"This should serve as a warning to any individual considering committing voter fraud in this year’s election," Engelbrecht said.
"These findings are only the beginning of our effort.
As today is National Voter Registration Day, it's important to remember that no candidate or cause is worth a felony conviction."

Make sure your friends know how the Democrats Fabian Fascists cheat.

They found that a four-step process is employed, step 1 of which is the “swamping” method.

“You put as many on the roles — it doesn’t matter if they’re legitimate, it doesn’t matter if they’re living or dead or if they’re named Dallas Cowboys, which we’ve actually seen in our research,” Churchwell explains.
“Once you turn those in at the last possible second, you give election officials very limited time to be able to go over each of those registrations and make sure they’re valid.”

As the left seeks fundamental structural change to the U.S. government, AIM says that faction is keeping to its “amoral, means-justifies-ends philosophy.”
In step two, activists sue state authorities for “voter suppression,” which creates further chaos.

“You have activist groups like ACORN, or one of its new manifestations like Project Vote, suing state agencies, saying we’re not seeing enough voter registration,” says Churchwell.
“And in step three, the Department of Justice — Eric Holder’s department — sides up with those lawsuits against states and tries to use the power of his office to get the lawsuit to go through and work their way.”

The final step, according to AIM’s spokesman, involves the “leftist echo chamber” discrediting allegations of voter fraud, supporting the “suppression” theme, and promoting advantageous legislation.
The goal of this process, he explains, is to form a taxpayer-funded voting machine that guarantees maximum participation from the left and undermines the ability to manage elections and prevent fraud.

“And at some point, someone’s going to say ‘Jim Crow’ — and we’ve gotten nowhere,” the AIM spokesman concludes.
Accuracy in Media’s James Simpson writes that this is a “deliberate, premeditated, comprehensive plan” to win the 2012 presidential election —
one he says is in keeping with the methods, associations, and ethics of the “Community-Organizer-in-Chief” Barack Obama.

These people truly are VILE !

[Mr. Silverback]

It depends. Normally Dems have an advantage that is slight to significant but not huge. Really, the best comparison would be to what the early voting looked like in 2004 and 2008 compared to this.

In 2008, many of us who expected McCain to win or thought the race was too close to call ignored reports that Dems were way up in early voting in swing states. The good news is that this year we are seeing Republican advantage in swing states, most notably Ohio and NC. LS can probably elaborate, or you can just look at his in forum page.

[Perdogg]

http://battlegroundwatch.com/2012/09/24/voter-registration-gop-ground-game-by-the-numbers

[ctpsb]

I absolutely agree on the skewed polls. I’ve been more outspoken than most on the absurdity of D+11 for example in Virginia. But these are real numbers of ballot requests by party and I have to assume that 80-85% of requests will be submitted as ballots and that 95% will be for the party that submitted them.

I’m just asking if anyone knows if these are margins are basically normal for early voting in Iowa.

[ctpsb]

I was linked to National Journal by another site. I agree that National Journal is a Dem site but whoever is reporting it these are hard numbers so my question is this a normal pattern for Iowa as I’ve never even been to that state.

[ctpsb]

Sorry should’ve ended with “95% will be for the party that REQUESTED them. Thanks.

[ctpsb]

AGREED!

[Yosemitest]

I don't know. Have you watched Troy Democratic Voter Fraud Acorn ?
Watch Author John Fund weighs in on voter fraud, Tuesday, Sep 18, 2012and Iowa VOTER FRAUD 2012.mp4.
Also watch "REAL 2012 Election Fraud - Iowa, Nevada & Maine".

[rfp1234]

I heard on Mark Levin today that the 6:1 Donkey edge was based on absentee ballot requests as of Monday 9/24. But it’s possible that the first batch of requests to be tallied might have been mostly from Donkey-dominated counties, such as urban areas or college towns. Once all counties are accounted for, this ratio should even out.