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What can I make of this?
National Journal ^
| 09/21/2012
| National Journal Staff
Posted on 09/26/2012 12:23:53 PM PDT by ctpsb
With absentee and early voting set to begin next week in IowaIowaPopulation (2010): 3,046,355Registered Voters: 31.20% R, 33.40% D, 35.40% I Governor: Gov. Terry Branstad (R)Senators: Sen. Chuck Grassley (R), Sen. Thomas Harkin (D) Read Full Almanac Profile », a battleground state in the presidential race, Democrats have a 6-1 edge in ballot requests so far, The Wall Street Journal reported....
(Excerpt) Read more at nationaljournal.com ...
TOPICS: Politics
KEYWORDS: ballots; earlyvoting; iowa
I know the polls have been skewed but do Dems usually have this huge an edge in early voting in Iowa or anywhere else? Not being an eeyore just saying these differences are substantial or fraud?...
1
posted on
09/26/2012 12:24:02 PM PDT
by
ctpsb
To: ctpsb
Steve McCroskey: Johnny, what can you make out of this?
[Hands him the weather briefing]
Johnny: This? Why, I can make a hat or a brooch or a pterodactyl...
2
posted on
09/26/2012 12:28:33 PM PDT
by
Responsibility2nd
(NO LIBS. This Means Liberals and (L)libertarians! Same Thing. NO LIBS!!)
To: ctpsb
Take a look at
UnskewedPolls.com/
![](http://unskewedpolls.com/generalelection.gif)
UnSkewed Polling Data
|
Poll |
Date |
Sample |
MoE |
Obama(D) |
Romney(R) |
Spread |
UnSkewed Avg. |
9/4 - 9/20 |
-- |
-- |
44.0 |
51.8 |
Romney +7.8 |
Reason/Rupe |
9/13 - 9/17 |
787 LV |
4.3 |
45.0 |
52.0 |
Romney +7 |
Reuters/Ipsos |
9/12 - 9/20 |
1437 LV |
2.9 |
44.0 |
54.0 |
Romney +10 |
NBC News/WSJ |
9/12 - 9/16 |
736 LV |
3.6 |
44.0 |
51.0 |
Romney +7 |
Monmouth Univ. |
9/13 - 9/16 |
1344 LV |
2.5 |
45.0 |
50.0 |
Romney +5 |
QStarNews |
9/10 - 9/15 |
2075 |
3.0 |
44.0 |
55.0 |
Romney +11 |
NY Times/CBS News |
9/8 - 9/12 |
1162 LV |
3.0 |
44.0 |
51.0 |
Romney +7 |
Democracy Corps |
9/8 - 9/12 |
1000 LV |
3.1 |
43.0 |
52.0 |
Romney +8 |
Fox News |
9/9 - 9/11 |
1056 LV |
3.0 |
45.0 |
48.0 |
Romney +3 |
Wash. Post/ABC News |
9/7 - 9/9 |
826 LV |
4.0 |
45.0 |
52.0 |
Romney +7 |
CNN/ORC |
9/7 - 9/9 |
875 RV |
3.5 |
45.0 |
53.0 |
Romney +8 |
IBD/CSM/TIPP |
9/4 - 9/9 |
808 RV |
3.5 |
41.0 |
50.0 |
Romney +9 |
ARG |
9/4 - 9/6 |
1200 LV |
3.0 |
43.0 |
53.0 |
Romney +10 |
![](http://unskewedpolls.com/approvalratings.gif)
UnSkewed Polling Data
|
Poll |
Date |
Sample |
MoE |
Approval |
Disapproval |
Spread |
UnSkewed Avg. |
9/4 - 9/20 |
-- |
-- |
44.1 |
52.9 |
Disapproval 8.8 |
Reason/Rupe |
9/13 - 9/17 |
787 LV |
4.3 |
44.0 |
53.0 |
Disapproval 9 |
NBC News/WSJ |
9/12 - 9/16 |
736 LV |
3.6 |
44.0 |
54.0 |
Disapproval 10 |
QStarNews |
9/10 - 9/15 |
2075 |
3.0 |
45.0 |
55.0 |
Disapproval 10 |
NY Times/CBS News |
9/8 - 9/12 |
1162 LV |
3.0 |
44.0 |
51.0 |
Disapproval 7 |
Democracy Corps |
9/8 - 9/12 |
1000 LV |
3.1 |
42.0 |
55.0 |
Disapproval 13 |
Fox News |
9/9 - 9/11 |
1056 LV |
3.0 |
45.0 |
53.0 |
Disapproval 8 |
Wash. Post/ABC News |
9/7 - 9/9 |
826 LV |
4.0 |
45.0 |
49.0 |
Disapproval 4 |
CNN/ORC |
9/7 - 9/9 |
875 RV |
3.5 |
44.0 |
53.0 |
Disapproval 9 |
Don't thank me. Thanks goes to
Dean Chambers of Q Star News.
3
posted on
09/26/2012 12:30:19 PM PDT
by
Yosemitest
(It's simple. Fight ... or Die !)
To: ctpsb
Nothing. Iowa is a likely Obama state.
Dems usually vote early. Rep show up on election day. The whole reason the Dems pushed this early voter scheme was to give their lazy ass voters more time to vote.
The exact opposite is happening in NC where Dem ballots are significantly down from 2008 and significantly less then GOP early ballots.
BTW National Journal is a wholly owned Democrat Party propaganda organ. You would be wise to simply ignore them.
4
posted on
09/26/2012 12:33:18 PM PDT
by
MNJohnnie
(Giving more money to DC to fix the Debt is like giving free drugs to addicts think it will cure them)
To: MNJohnnie; Ravi; LS
The last real (Ras) poll I saw on Iowa had Romney by 3.
5
posted on
09/26/2012 12:35:13 PM PDT
by
Perdogg
To: ctpsb
Here's a link to
Absentee Statistics (updated daily) from
IOWA Secretary of State Matt Schultz's site, General Election - November 6, 2012 Absentee Statistics.
But remembner that this is ONLY counting REQUEST FOR
ABSENTEE BALLOTS !
Take a look at the cheating found below, and think about how it might be done in Iowa.
How many of the
LAME Stream Media prostitutes reported
this ?
Logan Churchwell, a spokesman for the group, told FoxNews.com that the organization accessed Florida's complete voter registration roll and cross-referenced it against 10 percent of New York's list.
It identified more than 1,700 people with voter registrations in both states.
Of that number, 31 people allegedly voted in both states during the same federal election cycle.
Both Florida and New York require voters to cast ballots that correspond with their permanent home addresses.
Under federal law, voters are prohibited from casting more than one ballot in the same election.
"This is further evidence of just how susceptible our election system is to voter fraud," the group's president, Catherine Engelbrecht, said in a statement.
The group said it has alerted the Office of Florida Secretary of State, the New York State Board of Elections and the U.S. Department of Justice of its finding.
"This should serve as a warning to any individual considering committing voter fraud in this years election," Engelbrecht said.
"These findings are only the beginning of our effort.
As today is National Voter Registration Day, it's important to remember that no candidate or cause is worth a felony conviction."
Make sure your friends know
how the
Democrats Fabian Fascists cheat. They found that a four-step process is employed, step 1 of which is the swamping method.
You put as many on the roles it doesnt matter if theyre legitimate, it doesnt matter if theyre living or dead or if theyre named Dallas Cowboys, which weve actually seen in our research, Churchwell explains.
Once you turn those in at the last possible second, you give election officials very limited time to be able to go over each of those registrations and make sure theyre valid.
As the left seeks fundamental structural change to the U.S. government, AIM says that faction is keeping to its amoral, means-justifies-ends philosophy.
In step two, activists sue state authorities for voter suppression, which creates further chaos.
You have activist groups like ACORN, or one of its new manifestations like Project Vote, suing state agencies, saying were not seeing enough voter registration, says Churchwell.
And in step three, the Department of Justice Eric Holders department sides up with those lawsuits against states and tries to use the power of his office to get the lawsuit to go through and work their way.
The final step, according to AIMs spokesman, involves the leftist echo chamber discrediting allegations of voter fraud, supporting the suppression theme, and promoting advantageous legislation.
The goal of this process, he explains, is to form a taxpayer-funded voting machine that guarantees maximum participation from the left and undermines the ability to manage elections and prevent fraud.
And at some point, someones going to say Jim Crow and weve gotten nowhere, the AIM spokesman concludes.
Accuracy in Medias James Simpson writes that this is a deliberate, premeditated, comprehensive plan to win the 2012 presidential election one he says is in keeping with the methods, associations, and ethics of the Community-Organizer-in-Chief Barack Obama.
These people truly are
VILE !
6
posted on
09/26/2012 12:41:37 PM PDT
by
Yosemitest
(It's simple. Fight ... or Die !)
To: ctpsb; LS
It depends. Normally Dems have an advantage that is slight to significant but not huge. Really, the best comparison would be to what the early voting looked like in 2004 and 2008 compared to this.
In 2008, many of us who expected McCain to win or thought the race was too close to call ignored reports that Dems were way up in early voting in swing states. The good news is that this year we are seeing Republican advantage in swing states, most notably Ohio and NC. LS can probably elaborate, or you can just look at his in forum page.
7
posted on
09/26/2012 12:42:56 PM PDT
by
Mr. Silverback
(Reagan @ only 39/Mondale +5/Dukakis +17/McCain +3...panic is unwarranted. So is complacency.)
To: Mr. Silverback; ctpsb; LS; Ravi
8
posted on
09/26/2012 12:48:24 PM PDT
by
Perdogg
To: Yosemitest
I absolutely agree on the skewed polls. I’ve been more outspoken than most on the absurdity of D+11 for example in Virginia. But these are real numbers of ballot requests by party and I have to assume that 80-85% of requests will be submitted as ballots and that 95% will be for the party that submitted them.
I’m just asking if anyone knows if these are margins are basically normal for early voting in Iowa.
9
posted on
09/26/2012 12:49:26 PM PDT
by
ctpsb
(Thanks.)
To: MNJohnnie
I was linked to National Journal by another site. I agree that National Journal is a Dem site but whoever is reporting it these are hard numbers so my question is this a normal pattern for Iowa as I’ve never even been to that state.
10
posted on
09/26/2012 12:51:31 PM PDT
by
ctpsb
(Thanks.)
To: ctpsb
Sorry should’ve ended with “95% will be for the party that REQUESTED them. Thanks.
11
posted on
09/26/2012 12:52:59 PM PDT
by
ctpsb
(Thanks.)
To: Yosemitest
12
posted on
09/26/2012 1:06:24 PM PDT
by
ctpsb
(Thanks.)
To: ctpsb
13
posted on
09/26/2012 1:08:55 PM PDT
by
Yosemitest
(It's simple. Fight ... or Die !)
To: ctpsb
I heard on Mark Levin today that the 6:1 Donkey edge was based on absentee ballot requests as of Monday 9/24. But it’s possible that the first batch of requests to be tallied might have been mostly from Donkey-dominated counties, such as urban areas or college towns. Once all counties are accounted for, this ratio should even out.
14
posted on
09/27/2012 10:34:04 PM PDT
by
rfp1234
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