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Gravis Ohio Poll: R 46%, 0 45% (LV)
Gravis ^

Posted on 10/13/2012 1:46:25 PM PDT by Arthurio

Summary Results

Party
Percent of total
Democrat
36.4%
Other
33.1%
Republican
30.5%
Race
White
80.1%
African American
13.3%
Other
6.6%
Religious affiliation
Protestant/Other Christian
52.1%
Catholic
22.6%
Not affiliated
18.0%
Muslim
4.5%
Jewish
2.8%
Age group
18-29
13.1%
30-49
39.6%
50-64
30.4%
65+
16.9%
Gender
Men
48.6%
Female
51.4%
President
Romney
45.9%
Obama
45.1%
Other
9.0%
Approve of Obama's job performance?
Disapprove
48.8%
Approve
41.4%
Other
9.8%
U.S. headed in right direction?
Wrong
48.9%
Right
38.9%
Other
12.2%



Gov. Kasich's job performance?
Positive
41.7%
Negative
31.5%
Other
26.7%


Survey Questions


1.  Are you registered to vote?  (Yes, No)
2.  How likely are you to vote in this year’s presidential elections? (Very likely, somewhat likely, Not likely)
3. In which party are you either registered to vote or do you consider yourself a member of? (Democrat, Republican, independent or minority party)
4. What race do you identify yourself as? (White/Caucasian, African-American, Hispanic, Asian, Other)
5. Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation? (Roman Catholic, Protestant/other non-denominational Christian, Jewish, Muslim, Other/no affiliation)
6. How old are you? (18-29, 30-39, 41-49, Over 50)
7. What is your Gender? (Male, Female)
8.  If the election were held today for President, whom would you vote for?
9. Do you approve of Barack Obama’s general performance as president? (Approve, Disapprove, Unsure)
10. If you had $1 million that needed to be managed, who would you trust more to manage?
11. Do you think the United States is headed in the right direction? 
12. How would you rate Governor Kasich’s job performance? (positive, negative, unsure)
Note: the statistical methodology comprised weighing various demographic categories for anticipated voting proportions for the 2012 General Election. 
The poll was conducted by automated telephone of registered voters in the state of Ohio.  


TOPICS: Politics
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; 2012swingstates; oh2012
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1 posted on 10/13/2012 1:46:28 PM PDT by Arthurio
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To: Arthurio

Wow! And even with this.

Democrat 36.4%
Other 33.1%
Republican 30.5


2 posted on 10/13/2012 1:48:00 PM PDT by Parley Baer
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To: SeekAndFind; LS; Perdogg; napscoordinator; God luvs America; nutmeg; SoFloFreeper; Ravi; ...

ping


3 posted on 10/13/2012 1:48:21 PM PDT by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: Arthurio

Wow....huge!! +6 DEM Starting to feel it !!!


4 posted on 10/13/2012 1:48:36 PM PDT by thepatriot1 (...brought to you courtesy of the Red, White and Blue)
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To: Arthurio

Here is my prediction: If Romney wins Ohio, he wins the election. If Romney loses Ohio, he loses the election. I would not say that about any other state.


5 posted on 10/13/2012 1:52:46 PM PDT by Charles Henrickson (Romney-Ryan 2012)
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To: Arthurio

No mormons in this survey...

I wonder how many will break rank and vote for Obama...

In 2007 Willard told us that several top mormon leaders were Liberal Democrats...

Do they have to vote for Willard or will they vote for the Democrat as usual ???


6 posted on 10/13/2012 1:53:30 PM PDT by Tennessee Nana
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To: Arthurio

Ohio was 39D and 32R in 2008.


7 posted on 10/13/2012 1:56:51 PM PDT by NoobRep
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To: Arthurio

Dude, this is an old poll.


8 posted on 10/13/2012 1:57:02 PM PDT by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: Perdogg

How so? The date of its release is October 11 on the Gravis website. Is two days ago now an “old” poll?


9 posted on 10/13/2012 2:00:53 PM PDT by WashingtonSource
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To: Arthurio

Who are the 9% “other” and how will they break on Nov 6?


10 posted on 10/13/2012 2:00:59 PM PDT by BlueStateRightist
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To: Arthurio

Who are the 9% “other” and how will they break on Nov 6?


11 posted on 10/13/2012 2:00:59 PM PDT by BlueStateRightist
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To: WashingtonSource

In terms of polls, yes.


12 posted on 10/13/2012 2:05:25 PM PDT by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: thepatriot1

Outstanding.

Gravis polls have tended to favor the GOP a bit, but the sample of +6 RAT is very encouraging. I take that as an absolute worse case for Ohio this year.

Hopefully, we’ll have a couple of other pollsters confirm the Romney lead in Ohio very shortly.


13 posted on 10/13/2012 2:06:02 PM PDT by comebacknewt (Newt (sigh) what could have been . . .)
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To: Perdogg; All

praying Romney can continue to close the deal on Tuesday!!


14 posted on 10/13/2012 2:08:13 PM PDT by God luvs America (63.5 million pay no income tax and vote for DemoKrats...)
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To: Parley Baer

Yeah, this is still a significant oversample of Dems, at least by 3. Romney closing in on 50.


15 posted on 10/13/2012 2:10:01 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: Charles Henrickson
If Romney wins Ohio, he wins the election. If Romney loses Ohio, he loses the election.

I think your right, if he doesn't win Ohio he is not likely to pull off the 3 battleground state combo shot needed to get to 270, but if he does get Ohio he might run the table on IA, WI, MI and maybe even PA.

16 posted on 10/13/2012 2:11:03 PM PDT by AU72
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To: comebacknewt

The one bad looking poll is the NBC Marist poll where Obama is up 6% in Ohio....it oversampled Dems +11. How in the world can they justify that. If they used a proper sample it would be +3 Romney.

Will be interesting to see if Obama overcompensates on Tuesday. The GOP better have their strategy thought out and be ready for anything. I don’t think they were ready for Biden to act like such an ass on Thurs. Ryan should have called him out but he held his toungue for some reason. He should have said “Mr Vice President, is the situation in Iran funny???”


17 posted on 10/13/2012 2:13:34 PM PDT by thepatriot1 (...brought to you courtesy of the Red, White and Blue)
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To: Arthurio

I’d love to see the answers to #10, a well-phrased question IMO.


18 posted on 10/13/2012 2:14:44 PM PDT by fluffy
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To: NoobRep

And swung back huge in 2010, and absentees confirming more the 2010 turnout model than 08.


19 posted on 10/13/2012 2:15:13 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: thepatriot1
He should have said “Mr Vice President, is the situation in Iran funny???”

I wish Ryan would have paused, glanced over with puzzled amusement and asked "Joe, are you feeling okay?"

20 posted on 10/13/2012 2:16:34 PM PDT by NittanyLion
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