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PPP: Obama leads by 5 in Ohio, 50/45 …
Hotair ^

Posted on 10/31/2012 7:23:24 PM PDT by chessplayer

No wonder David Axelrod thinks that Barack Obama can win Ohio without winning independents. According to the latest Buckeye State poll from PPP, they only need an extra five points from non-Democrats to get a majority:

A new Public Policy Polling survey in Ohio, conducted on behalf of Health Care for America Now, finds Barack Obama leading Mitt Romney 50-45.

Oh, let’s just skip the rest of the preliminaries and go right to the sample. The D/R/I on this poll is a ridiculous 45/36/19 that assumes Democrats will add six points to their 2008 turnout while independents largely stay home. In 2008, recall, the exit polls showed the electorate at 39/31/30, and the 2010 midterm put it at 36/37/28. Has anyone produced any evidence of such a wave of Democratic enthusiasm? Even the CBS/NYT/Q-poll today showed GOP enthusiasm leading by 14 in Ohio, 57/43.


TOPICS: Politics
KEYWORDS: 2012polls

1 posted on 10/31/2012 7:23:25 PM PDT by chessplayer
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To: chessplayer

PPP forgot 4 P’s
Prior Proper Planning Prevents Piss Poor Performance.


2 posted on 10/31/2012 7:25:07 PM PDT by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: chessplayer

Any other internals?


3 posted on 10/31/2012 7:27:13 PM PDT by bjc (Check the data!!)
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To: chessplayer
Don't be frustrated, discouraged, intimidated or influenced by polls. Pick the candidates you think are best, support them and vote for them. That is all we as humans can do.

God will play a role in selecting the winners. His will shall be revealed soon. Praise God. Trust God.

4 posted on 10/31/2012 7:30:43 PM PDT by Tau Food (Tom Hoefling for President - 2012)
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To: chessplayer

D+9...interesting.On Sunday they’ll have Baraq with an 8 point edge using D+15.It’s voter suppression,boys and girls...something that the international observers are sure to vigorously point out on Tuesday and every day therafter.


5 posted on 10/31/2012 7:30:57 PM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Ambassador Stevens Is Dead And The Chevy Volt Is Alive)
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To: mylife

I’m not going to doubt this poll. I would add 3% to 5% to Obama’s total because of voter fraud.

Vanloads of Somalians driven to the polls in Ohio

Read more: http://patriotupdate.com/31671/vanloads-of-somalians-driven-to-the-polls-in-ohio#ixzz2AvxfeeSF

There is also a HUGE number of illegal latinos on a GET OUT THE VOTE mission there.

I say work as if we are down and hope for a landslide.

KEEP WORKING like we are 10 POINTS DOWN!!!!


6 posted on 10/31/2012 7:32:16 PM PDT by tsowellfan (KEEP WORKING like we are 10 POINTS DOWN!!!!)
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To: tsowellfan

Also been reading reports out of Ohio that when people go to those voting machines and press ROMNEY..it enters it as OBAMA..so you tell me, what the hell is going on here(Yeah I already know, the fix is in!) question is how will the GOP respond


7 posted on 10/31/2012 7:41:10 PM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: chessplayer

8 posted on 10/31/2012 7:43:49 PM PDT by entropy12 (Romney/Ryan 2012... Send Obama back to Chicago/Hawaii/Kenya/Indonesia wherever)
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To: Sarah Barracuda

I’ve heard those reports too


9 posted on 10/31/2012 7:46:53 PM PDT by tsowellfan (KEEP WORKING like we are 10 POINTS DOWN!!!!)
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To: tsowellfan

And if true that is the ace in the hole that the Dems have..you go to vote, press the Romney button and BAM, vote goes to Obama..the GOP better be on top of this right now


10 posted on 10/31/2012 7:59:25 PM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: mylife

Obama leading by 5 with a 45/36/19 D/R/I sounds pretty good to me.

Very few D’s will vote R and fewer R’s will vote D.

So that give Obammy 45 votes and Romney 36 votes. That means Obammy is getting 26.3% of the Indies and Romney is getting 73.6%.

Using the 2008 Turnout model that gives 47% to Obammy and 53% to Romney.

Using the 2010 Turnout model that gives 43% to Obammy and 58% to Romney.

Looking good to me. My only concern now is because of Sandy the Freeloading Dems have nothing to do but vote.


11 posted on 10/31/2012 8:28:38 PM PDT by Bailee
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To: chessplayer; jiggyboy; PA Engineer; blam; TigerLikesRooster; Cheap_Hessian; CJinVA; Jet Jaguar; ...

PPP again.


12 posted on 10/31/2012 8:29:54 PM PDT by Jet Jaguar (The pundits have forgotten the 2010 elections.)
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To: chessplayer; SeekAndFind; LS; Perdogg; napscoordinator; God luvs America; nutmeg; SoFloFreeper; ...

Poll ping.


13 posted on 10/31/2012 8:32:24 PM PDT by Jet Jaguar (The pundits have forgotten the 2010 elections.)
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