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Tropical Storm Fay
NOAA/NHC ^ | 15 August 2008 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 08/15/2008 1:25:37 PM PDT by NautiNurse

The tropical system currently over Hispanola has been teasing weather watchers for days, as hurricane hunters were unable to locate a surface center of circulation. Meanwhile, the system has looked remarkably like a tropical depression for greater than 24 hours. Local Florida weather forecasters are urging Floridians to keep a close eye on this system.

Updates:

Atlantic Tropical Info

Satellite:

Visible Image Loop
Infrared Image Loop
Water Vapor Image Loop
RGB (Vis/IR combo) Image Loop
Funktop Image Loop

Caribbean Buoys
Western Atlantic Buoys
Florida Buoys

Radar

Puerto Rico
Guantanimo Bay Cuba
Key West
Bahamas
Miami
Florida Loop

Storm Track Models

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: Front Page News; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Georgia; US: Mississippi
KEYWORDS: alabama; fay; florida; georgia; invest92; mississippi; noaa; tropical; tsfay; weather
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To: NonValueAdded; blam
We've had a series of t-storms one after the other all day today. Why, the satellite even lost its signal in the middle of the obamabidenation marathon this afternoon. I presume we missed at least three gaffs by Plugs.

Anyhow, leave it to Fay to shower us with her parting gifts. It's the first time in the Tampa Bay we've had any real effect from this storm.

1,701 posted on 08/23/2008 2:52:41 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Plants are people too)
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To: NautiNurse

tag line.


1,702 posted on 08/23/2008 4:27:01 PM PDT by floriduh voter ( Fay didn't hit Tampa Bay..... We are all okay)
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Tropical Storm Public Advisory

Statement as of 7:00 PM CDT on August 23, 2008

...Fay weakening over land but still dumping heavy rains...

a Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for the northeastern Gulf
Coast from Suwannee River Florida westward to the Alabama-
Mississippi border.

For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.

At 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Fay was
located inland over the western Florida Panhandle near latitude
30.7 north...longitude 86.7 west or about 35 miles...55 km...
northeast of Pensacola Florida.

Fay is moving toward the west-northwest near 7 mph...11 km/hr. This
general motion is expected to continue during the next day or so.
On the forecast track...Fay will be moving over southern Alabama
and Mississippi on Sunday. Little forward motion is forecast on
Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph...65 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next couple of
days...and Fay is expected to become a tropical depression by
tomorrow.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 90 miles...150 km...
over water to the south of the the center.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb...29.50 inches.

Storm surge flooding of 2 to 4 feet above normal tide levels
possible in the warning area in areas of onshore winds.

Fay is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 6 to 12
inches over the next two days across the western portions of the
northern Florida Peninsula...the Florida Panhandle...southwestern
Georgia...the southern and central portions of both Mississippi
and Alabama...and eastern Louisiana...with isolated maximum amounts
of 20 inches possible. Additional rainfall accumulations of 1 to
3 inches are possible over the remainder of the Florida Peninsula
and southeastern Georgia.

Isolated tornadoes are possible through tonight in portions of
northern Florida...southern Georgia...and southern Alabama.

Repeating the 700 PM CDT position...30.7 N...86.7 W. Movement
toward...west-northwest near 7 mph. Maximum sustained winds...40
mph. Minimum central pressure...999 mb.

The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at
1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Knabb


1,703 posted on 08/23/2008 5:01:32 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Plants are people too)
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To: floriduh voter

I had to plan my trip to the mailbox this afternoon around those t-storms.


1,704 posted on 08/23/2008 5:03:13 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Plants are people too)
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To: NautiNurse

Hope you did better than when I tried to split the bands going into Corpus when Dolly was knocking.


1,705 posted on 08/23/2008 5:20:13 PM PDT by SouthTexas (Invert the 5-4 and you have no rights.)
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To: NautiNurse

Here I am reporting in from South East central Alabama. We’ve had heavy wind (25 MPH with stronger gusts) since last night, with rain starting after midnight. Heavy rain and gusts since about 9:00 am. A big squall line came thru an hour ago. Tornado warnings due to radar seeing rotation, but none reported. The power went of for a few seconds twice, which caused me to have to reset half a dozen digital clocks.

So all in all, a good day to be inside, but nothing bad at all. And we really, really needed the rain, and I’m very happy for all of it!


1,706 posted on 08/23/2008 5:29:21 PM PDT by Alas Babylon!
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To: SouthTexas

The trip to the mailbox consists of a short walk to the end of the driveway. There was a good ten minute break between squalls. Unfortunately, all of the mail was wet. Apparently, the mailman didn’t wait between squalls to deliver.


1,707 posted on 08/23/2008 5:31:26 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Plants are people too)
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To: Alas Babylon!
Thanks for checking in, and providing your local report.

Stay alert--currently, 26 counties in the SW corner of GA, and 8 counties in the FL panhandle are under tornado watch.

1,708 posted on 08/23/2008 5:37:24 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Plants are people too)
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To: NautiNurse

Sounds like mailman’s timing was about like mine! LOL


1,709 posted on 08/23/2008 5:45:17 PM PDT by SouthTexas (Invert the 5-4 and you have no rights.)
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To: Alas Babylon!

Glad you are getting the rain you needed! Trust me..if you need rain, Fay provides it! I see Tallahassee has some people with no power and trees are down up there.


1,710 posted on 08/23/2008 5:57:50 PM PDT by sheikdetailfeather (DRILL HERE-DRILL NOW-PAY LESS)
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To: sheikdetailfeather; blam; All

Checking in as I get ready to leave (ugh) work....

Midtown Mobile - light winds (with occasional gusts) and a kind-of halfhearted sprinkle going on....

The only rain we had today here was between 11-12 this morning, from the first band — and that was just a sprinkle: that irritating pace where “intermittent” wipers just ain’t quite enough, and “low” is just a shade too much.....

Watching the local radar loop, it looks like the worst of the second band stayed east of Mobile Bay....


1,711 posted on 08/23/2008 6:16:11 PM PDT by Uncle Ike (Sometimes I sets and thinks, and sometimes I jus' sets.........)
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To: NautiNurse

Yes, we too (Alabama) are under a tornado watch until 3:15 am.


1,712 posted on 08/23/2008 6:41:36 PM PDT by Alas Babylon!
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To: Alas Babylon!

Reporting in from Montgomery.Lots of wind, rain and power outages.


1,713 posted on 08/23/2008 7:14:34 PM PDT by Himyar
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To: Himyar

Reporting in from Dothan, they say the worst is yet to come but it’s calm with a little bit of gusty winds and sprinkles


1,714 posted on 08/23/2008 7:19:06 PM PDT by Sammie42
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To: NautiNurse

Break out the Prozac, Fay is now a Tropical Depression.

000
WTNT21 KNHC 240244
TCMAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 34
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008
0300 UTC SUN AUG 24 2008

AT 10 PM CDT...0300 UTC...ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 87.1W AT 24/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.


1,715 posted on 08/23/2008 7:57:31 PM PDT by NonValueAdded (Rest In Peace, Capt. Ed "Too Tall" Freeman (1928-2008))
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To: NonValueAdded
[Final] Tropical Storm Public Advisory

Statement as of 10:00 PM CDT on August 23, 2008

...Fay weakens to a depression but heavy rains and flooding could continue for several days...

at 10 PM CDT...0300 UTC...all tropical storm warnings along the northeastern Gulf of Mexico coast have been discontinued.

For storm information specific to your area...including possible inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.

At 1000 PM CDT...0300z...the center of Tropical Depression Fay was located near latitude 30.9 north...longitude 87.1 west or about 60 miles...100 km...east-northeast of Mobile Alabama and about 30 miles ... 45 km...north-northeast of Pensacola Florida.

The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph. A general westward motion with little change in forward speed is expected during the next day or so...but Fay could become nearly stationary on Monday. On the forecast track...Fay will be moving over southern Alabama and Mississippi on Sunday...and will be located over southern Mississippi or eastern Louisiana on Monday.

Surface observations and National Weather Service WSR-88D radar data indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph...55 km/hr...with higher gusts. Very gradual weakening is forecast during the next couple of days.

The minimum central pressure based on surface observations is 999 mb...29.50 inches.

Storm surge flooding in areas of onshore winds along the northeastern Gulf of Mexico coast should gradually subside during the next day or so.

Fay is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 6 to 12 inches across the extreme western portion of the northern Florida Peninsula...the Florida Panhandle...southwestern Georgia...the southern and central portions of Mississippi and Alabama...and eastern Louisiana...with isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches possible. Additional rainfall accumulations of 1 to 2 inches are possible over the remainder of the Florida Peninsula and southeastern Georgia.

Isolated tornadoes are possible tonight and Sunday in portions of the Florida Panhandle...western Georgia...and southern and central Alabama.

Repeating the 1000 PM CDT position...30.9 N...87.1 W. Movement toward...west-northwest near 8 mph. Maximum sustained winds...35 mph. Minimum central pressure...999 mb.

This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Future information on this system can be found in public advisories issued by the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center...under AWIPS header tcpat1 and WMO header wtnt31 kwnh...beginning at 400 am CDT Sunday.

$$
Forecaster Knabb

1,716 posted on 08/23/2008 8:14:05 PM PDT by NonValueAdded (Rest In Peace, Capt. Ed "Too Tall" Freeman (1928-2008))
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To: NonValueAdded

Whew! Fay was monotonous, tedious, etc.


1,717 posted on 08/23/2008 8:17:22 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Plants are people too)
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To: Himyar; Sammie42

Sounded from TWC that Alabama getting slammed now but that Tallahassee was really flooded....

What a pest of a storm!

Stay safe!


1,718 posted on 08/23/2008 8:26:30 PM PDT by Freedom'sWorthIt (Tony Snow founnd out - to live is Christ, to die is gain....Thanks be to God for Tony's life!)
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To: Alas Babylon!

Good to hear nothing serious there - just much needed rain...good.


1,719 posted on 08/23/2008 8:30:27 PM PDT by Freedom'sWorthIt (Tony Snow founnd out - to live is Christ, to die is gain....Thanks be to God for Tony's life!)
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To: NautiNurse

Thanks for all your work keeping us all up to date!


1,720 posted on 08/23/2008 8:57:21 PM PDT by Sammie42
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