Posted on 07/08/2011 6:59:00 PM PDT by Steelfish
Why The 'Home Field Advantage' Might Not Help the GOP In 2012 By Juan Williams July 08, 2011
Since 1960, only two nominees of the major political parties have lost their home state in a general election. George McGovern lost South Dakota in 1972 to Richard Nixon and Al Gore lost Tennessee in 2000 to George W. Bush.
Clearly, when the people who know the candidate best -- the people in their home state -- will not vote for them to take the top job in Washington the nominee is not likely to be moving to 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue.
That is why it was so startling for me to realize last week that, according to the latest polls, not one of the candidates vying for the GOP’s 2012 nomination beats President Obama in head-to-head matchups in their home states.
The only person who even comes close is former Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty. He is tied with Obama on his home turf in Minnesota, according to a SurveyUSA poll from last week.
According to the same poll, the other Minnesotan in the race – Congresswoman Michele Bachmann loses to Obama by 14 points in Minnesota.
Both Newt Gingrich and Herman Cain trail Obama in their home state of Georgia according to Public Policy Polling (PPP). In deep blue Massachusetts, the state’s former Governor Mitt Romney loses to Obama by 20 points according to another PPP poll.
These are not encouraging signs for the declared candidates in the Republican primary contest.
Read more: http://www.foxnews.com/opinion/2011/07/08/why-home-field-advantage-might-not-help-gop-in-2012/#ixzz1RZI4v0UF
(Excerpt) Read more at foxnews.com ...
Polls? Sure Juan .
PPP is a polling firm used by Daily Kos and other far left organizations. Almost all pollsters oversample democrats and left-leaning independents. Take anything like this with a huge grain of salt. Does anyone here personally know someone who is happy with Mr. Obama?
I wonder what the DNC’s cut is for ghostwriting Williams’ material
“These are not encouraging signs for the declared candidates in the Republican primary contest.”
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Its the undeclared candidate that you need to worry about Commie Juan Kenobi.
Take your PPP poll and shove it and I think NPR should have fired you.
Ouch. We can say whatever we want, but that is not a good sign.
Mon-dull won his home state of Minnesota in 1984.....and lost the other 49 (or was it 56?).
Obama owns the Kenya polls though.
Does anyone remember the last time that Juan was right about anything. I predict the One will not carry Illinois.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mfevfJNDuIg&feature=player_detailpage
Watch this. It will make you feel better.
....the election is over a year away....
So what? Herman Cain is a newcomer who has never held elective office, and Newt Gingrich is a joke. I don't think the Republicans are too worried about Georgia. If Obama couldn't win it in 2008, he's not likely to win it next time around.
NPR’s loss is our greater loss.
there was only 55 back then.
Geez. What a nervous nellie. Seems the only thing proven here is that some Republicans come from states that always vote Dem in presidential elections. You seriously expect a GOP victory in Mass or Minn? I guess Reagan won Mass in 84. but other than that, when has a Republican won either state?
Well that cinches it for Obama, because he is wildly popular in his home state of Kenya.
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_TX_629513.pdf
Texas - Republican Ron Paul 45% Democrat Barack Obama 40% Undecided 15%.
Less than 2 week old poll. Perry loses to Obama in TX.
Bachmann would never win the State of MN period.
I do like her, but she is the classic popular only in her home district (and barely squeaked out her last election). You add in the rest of the State and she would get crushed.
Mondale won the State in his Prez bid, but he was statewide MN’s favorite son at the time. Bachmann is not.
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