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Ron Paul Rising [Good points on Gingrich]
New York Times ^ | 12/15/2011 | ROSS DOUTHAT

Posted on 12/15/2011 7:47:03 AM PST by Liberty1970

The race for the Republican nomination may be coming down to Newt Gingrich and Mitt Romney, but in the contest for the Iowa caucuses, their high-profile battle might still turn out to be a sideshow. The national party has spent the last two weeks resigning itself to a choice between the former speaker and the former Massachusetts governor. But Iowa Republicans may end up choosing between Gingrich and Representative Ron Paul.

In every post-Thanksgiving poll but one, Paul has been neck and neck for second place in Iowa. In most of them, he has lagged well behind the soaring speaker, coming in just below 20 percent while Gingrich hovers around 30. But a new Iowa survey, from Public Policy Polling, shows Gingrich leading Paul by just a single point, 22 percent to 21.

Moreover, the caucuses are not won by opinion polls alone. They’re won by the politician who can pack Iowa’s churches, libraries and community centers at 7 p.m. exactly on a frigid January Tuesday, and whose supporters won’t suddenly decide to back a different candidate during an hour’s worth of jawing, dealing and very public voting.

(Excerpt) Read more at campaignstops.blogs.nytimes.com ...


TOPICS: Society
KEYWORDS: gingrich; newyorktimes; paul; ronpaul
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I generally regard the NYT as a source of absurdist comedy (and I'm actually serious about that - which is funnier if you can stand it, Mad Magazine or Paul Krugman?). But this piece caught my eye for the insightful way it contrasts Gingrich with Ron Paul and how the electorate and liberals will react to whom conservatives end up choosing.
1 posted on 12/15/2011 7:47:10 AM PST by Liberty1970
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To: Liberty1970
Here are a couple key contrasts pointed out:

"Most important, they represent two very different endpoints for the Tea Party movement. Paul, for all his crankishness, is the kind of conservative that Tea Partiers want to believe themselves to be: Deeply principled, impressively consistent, a foe of big government in nearly all its forms (the Department of Defense very much included), a man of ideas rather than of party.

Gingrich, on the other hand, is the kind of conservative that liberals believe most Tea Partiers to be – not a genuine “don’t tread on me” libertarian, but a partisan Republican whose unstinting support for George W. Bush’s deficit spending morphed into hand-wringing horror of “socialism” once a Democrat captured the Oval Office."

2 posted on 12/15/2011 7:49:30 AM PST by Liberty1970 (Skepticism and Close-mindedness are two very different things.)
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To: Liberty1970

What Ron Paul is this article talking about?


3 posted on 12/15/2011 7:52:54 AM PST by svcw (God's Grace - thank you!)
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To: Liberty1970

You anti-newt types will jump in bead with anybody. Whats next, will you start quoting obumber as support for your temper tantrum?


4 posted on 12/15/2011 7:53:03 AM PST by JoSixChip (Top 10% of wage earners pay 70% of total income taxes collected. Bottom 50% pay less then 3%, fair?)
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To: Liberty1970
So Iowa Tea Partiers face a choice. If the town hall crashers and Washington Mall marchers of 2009 settle on a Medicare Part D-supporting, Freddie Mac-advising, Nancy Pelosi-snuggling Washington insider as their not-Romney standard bearer in 2012, then every liberal who ever sneered at the Tea Party will get to say “I told you so.”

Ouch. Yes, Republicans can do better than Gingrich. Much better.

I do think the last line of the article is wishful thinking. They conclude that a Ron Paul victory just hands the nomination to Romney. Whereas it is clear that Romney has always had a ceiling of less than 30% on his poll numbers. SOMEONE is going to eventually coalesce and beat him, it's just a question of whom.

5 posted on 12/15/2011 7:54:23 AM PST by Liberty1970 (Skepticism and Close-mindedness are two very different things.)
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To: Liberty1970

“Paul, for all his crankishness, is the kind of conservative that Tea Partiers want to believe themselves to be...”

...Libertarians? No, thanks. If I wanted to be a libertarian, I’d be one. If I wanted one to represent me, I’d be one. If I had lost my mind, I’d be one. I’ll stick with Conservatism, thanks.

Why doesn’t the son of a bitch run as a Libertarian and leave us alone? He’s like a GD Democrat “progressive” trying to avoid saying he’s a socialist. Declare yourself, Ron, stand up for your Libertarian party like a man, or STFU.


6 posted on 12/15/2011 7:55:38 AM PST by jessduntno (The Republican elite hates him, Rove hates him, Boehner hates him, liberals hate him. It's Newt!)
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To: Liberty1970

I am a NO on Ron Paul and will be extremely upset if Paul does not get the nod and then runs as the Libertarian candidate.


7 posted on 12/15/2011 7:55:55 AM PST by Eagle of Liberty (Shaking My Head on a daily basis)
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To: Eagle of Liberty

He already said he would not run as a third party candidate


8 posted on 12/15/2011 8:02:07 AM PST by cowtowney
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To: Liberty1970
Sorry I for one have had my fill of Ron Paul. Until he repudiates the things in his old newsletter written by Lew Rockwell then I am forced to assume he agrees with Rockwell. Paul is a nutjob he left the Republican party because of Reagan. His words. Wise up Paulies.
9 posted on 12/15/2011 8:02:58 AM PST by mk2000
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To: jessduntno

So when Gingrich implodes, who will you vote for between Paul and Romney?


10 posted on 12/15/2011 8:04:30 AM PST by cowtowney
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To: cowtowney

Ron Paul just released this video on Foreign Policy - tell me what you disagree with?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I8NhRPo0WAo&feature=player_embedded


11 posted on 12/15/2011 8:13:45 AM PST by GlockThe Vote (The Obama Adminstration: 2nd wave of attacks on America after 9/11)
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To: cowtowney
So when Gingrich implodes, who will you vote for between Paul and Romney?

I think that most of the "conservatives" around here are pro-slavery. They just want someone like Gingrich as their plantation owner rather than Obama. Any faith I had that 'mainstream' conservatives were significantly different from liberals was dashed by the Bush/Republican-congress years as the liberal agenda marched forward or even accelerated.

It's frustrating that they choose the status quo and the security of slavery over freedom, but we can't give up. Yeah, we'll be able to say "I told you so" if they win and still make a train wreck of the country because they won't change course, but that's small solace.

I think it's like gun control: most conservatives grasp the fact that banning guns with laws does not equate to making them vanish from the hands of criminals. Yet these same conservatives imagine Ron Paul supporters doing drugs (etc.) because he won't criminalize them. (By contrast, I'm a tee-totaler whose never smoked a cigarette or done any drug, period.) They don't grasp that the 'war on drugs' is a miserable failure and that there are better approaches.

Likewise on foreign policy. Bush/Obama foreign policy has wasted over a trillion dollars and tens of thousands of lives, watched nation after nation slip into Islamism or otherwise into anti-American postures, managed the extermination of Christian communities across the mid-East, fueled Islamic recruiting and operations to defeat an aggressive 'Great Satan' America - and these people worry about Ron Paul????

12 posted on 12/15/2011 8:16:53 AM PST by Liberty1970 (Skepticism and Close-mindedness are two very different things.)
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To: Liberty1970
I think that most of the "conservatives" around here are pro-slavery.

Jack a##. Did you study for that or were you born that way.

13 posted on 12/15/2011 8:20:25 AM PST by svcw (God's Grace - thank you!)
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To: jessduntno

Many of us, like abused spouses, want to believe in Newt as a good man but in our hearts know otherwise. I do find it interesting that the press is so shocked at his ascendancy, but are chuckling, hoping he gets the nod.

I see Newt this way: I won’t waste a minute campaigning for him, but will vote for him as “anyone but Obama” if he’s the candidate. Not exactly a compelling argument for victory.


14 posted on 12/15/2011 8:22:07 AM PST by pingman (Durn tootin'; I like Glock shootin'!)
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To: Liberty1970

I would think the NYT would love Ron Paul....what with his appologizing for America for causing 9/11


15 posted on 12/15/2011 8:24:22 AM PST by Vaquero ("an armed society is a polite society" Robert A. Heinlein)
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To: Liberty1970; ejonesie22; BlackElk; Allegra; HereInTheHeartland
Already posted yesterday.

Wasn't received very favorably on a Conservative forum then either.

16 posted on 12/15/2011 8:25:32 AM PST by Servant of the Cross (the Truth will set you free)
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To: cowtowney
He already said he would not run as a third party candidate

Really? Never saw a definite. Please send me a link.
17 posted on 12/15/2011 8:38:05 AM PST by Eagle of Liberty (Shaking My Head on a daily basis)
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To: Liberty1970

Article does not mention the fact that much of Paul’s Iowa support comes from Democrats.


18 posted on 12/15/2011 8:42:14 AM PST by iowamark
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To: Liberty1970
Likewise on foreign policy. Bush/Obama foreign policy has wasted over a trillion dollars and tens of thousands of lives, watched nation after nation slip into Islamism or otherwise into anti-American postures, managed the extermination of Christian communities across the mid-East, fueled Islamic recruiting and operations to defeat an aggressive 'Great Satan' America - and these people worry about Ron Paul????

That is a very loaded, general statement. While the Bush policy had its errors, the current policy is NOT a Bush/Obama foreign policy. Obama started his foreign policy by going around the world and apologizing for America being such a big, bad monster.

I think that most of the "conservatives" around here are pro-slavery.

Interesting....

They don't grasp that the 'war on drugs' is a miserable failure and that there are better approaches.

I think a large portion do grasp this.
19 posted on 12/15/2011 8:44:01 AM PST by Eagle of Liberty (Shaking My Head on a daily basis)
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To: Liberty1970

“Rino Ross” Douthat is a Vichy Republican with a long history of attacking conservatives. Before going after Newt, he was smearing Sarah Palin.

Some people will fall for even the most obvious establishment horse manure.


20 posted on 12/15/2011 8:44:30 AM PST by Josh Painter ("The only thing these 'investments' will get us is a bullet train to bankruptcy." - Palin)
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