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21% OF DEMS HAVE LEFT PARTY (A Giant Upset Is In The Making)
Dick Morris ^ | 1/6/2012 | D

Posted on 01/06/2012 7:09:23 PM PST by Signalman

According to the latest Rasmussen Poll, 21% — more than one in five — Democrats have abandoned the Party since Obama’s election as president. While most have become Independents, identification with the Republican Party has also risen not only since 2008 but also even since the GOP’s 2010 victory.

Rasmussen, who tracks voters’ party identification (self-described) every month, shows that Democratic Party identification, has dropped by eight points (or 21%) since Obama’s election in November, 2008 while Republican Party identification has risen by three points over the same period. Despite speculation in the liberal media that the Republicans in Congress have mishandled their mandate since winning the House in 2010, the Republican edge over the Democratic Party has grown from 1.3% in November of 2010 to 2.7% in December of 2011.

Changes in party identification are the most fundamental – and important – measure of political opinion in the country. They are like tectonic plates that shift beneath the surface of the political earth, sending quakes through the system. A shift of such an order of magnitude will rank high on the political Richter scale in 2012.

So dramatic a shift, totaling eleven points since Obama’s election (Dems down by 8, Republicans up by 3) means that had Obama faced McCain in the current political environment, he would have won by five rather than losing by six.

But even that doesn’t tell the story. Surveys of Independents find that they have long since jumped from the Obama ship. His job approval among Independents consistently ranks in the low 30s. He cannot expect much relief from that corner.

All these stats point to a mammoth upset in the making in the 2012 election, sweeping Republicans into the White House and delivering control of the Senate by a good margin. Already, Republicans are likely to take over Democratic seats in Virginia, Florida, Nebraska, Missouri, New Mexico, Montana, North Dakota, Ohio, Michigan, and Wisconsin. They may lose in Massachusetts and will probably hold on to their seats in Arizona and Nevada despite the retirement of their incumbents there. That means a GOP dominated Senate by the margin 56-44.

If these data cause Republicans (hopefully wealthy ones) in Washington State, West Virginia, Wisconsin, New Jersey, and Minnesota to consider entering U.S. Senate races against the Democratic incumbents in those states, it could cause the GOP to get sixty votes in the Senate. The party identification data indicates that this goal is distinctly within reach if we get good candidates in a few more states.

Don’t listen to the media induced pessimism. A gigantic upset is in the making!


TOPICS: Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: dems; feminism; morris; oneparty; republicrats; socialism
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To: Signalman

Lots more Dems will be have to pull their weight to get more multiple voting accomplished as well registering more dead people, cartoon characters, and their pets to vote.


41 posted on 01/06/2012 8:18:38 PM PST by Jack Hydrazine (It's the end of the world as we know it and I feel fine!)
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To: Signalman

Even with such a tectonic shift like we saw in 1980 I am concerned that even if we have a blowout election, Obama, with all of his newly found tyrannical powers, is going to be reciting Dylan Thomas’ “Do Not Go Gentle Into That Good Night” to put it mildly.


42 posted on 01/06/2012 8:24:41 PM PST by Jack Hydrazine (It's the end of the world as we know it and I feel fine!)
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To: chuckee
Winning a 60 seat veto proof Senate majority is key...

You mean filibuster proof. 60 seats are needed to guarantee a cloture vote.

Republicans need 67 votes to guarantee to override a Presidential veto (along with 2/3rds of the House).

-PJ

43 posted on 01/06/2012 8:24:41 PM PST by Political Junkie Too (If you can vote for President, then your children can run for President.)
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To: Signalman

White, hetero, working, mostly men, some women, are leaving.


44 posted on 01/06/2012 8:26:33 PM PST by Secret Agent Man (I'd like to tell you, but then I'd have to kill you.)
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To: Signalman

and the RATS, take another one in the.........HA ha!!!

45 posted on 01/06/2012 8:42:09 PM PST by Chode (American Hedonist - *DTOM* -ww- NO Pity for the LAZY)
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To: Signalman
This is pipedreams. The left is winning and the govt is shoveling billions to their front groups every day.

Anybody ever hear of the "Community Reinvestment Act" that ruined this country's economy? Or the "Dodd-Frank Act" that's going to fix it?

Anybody notice that when there were talks about slashing the budget, there was not any discussion about cutting welfare or any other programs that bribe the lefty constituency? What was up on the cutting block for both parties? The military.

Anybody notice the major inroads that "gays" have made in this country since the "sexual revolution?"

Anybody notice hate crimes laws that are only applied to some races while others are prosecuted to the fullest extent of the law?

Anybody remember the war on the Boy Scouts that was waged by the "gays" and their willing accomplices on the left and in the press?

The list goes on and on.

I'm 54 years old. I don't know about the rest of you, but this isn't even close to the country my generation inherited. It's culture has been sapped and there's no putting humpty-dumpty back together again.

This wouldn't have happened if the Republican Party wasn't just the Democrat Party-lite.

46 posted on 01/06/2012 9:07:52 PM PST by HeartlandOfAmerica (Geithner: Taxes on 'Small Business' Must Rise So Government Doesn't 'Shrink')
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To: wally_bert

YES but have the republicans grown the Balls to actually govern like we want?????


47 posted on 01/06/2012 9:32:56 PM PST by Walkingfeather
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To: Political Junkie Too
Everyone needs to keep their attention up.
Dick may know statistics and polling but we need to keep our attention on everything to the finish line.
It seems way too early to call it at all, and that alone should make us nervous.
Keep the watchers alert and the powder dry.
Mostly don't get too complacent..... we can still lose this!
One of the ways it can be lost is if we split the vote or do not get out a united vote... in effect not getting out our vote.

48 posted on 01/06/2012 10:24:24 PM PST by JSteff ((((It was ALL about SCOTUS. Most forget about that and HAVE DOOMED us for a generation or more.))))
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To: chuckee
reversing all the seismic legislative damage done in the past 3 years by the Dems.

Just as important is that we need to win this election to protect a conservative balance on SCOTUS.

The dems and liberals know that if O can hold on and does take the WH he will get to appoint two maybe three justices this coming presidential term.

That is what the dems and liberals are counting on more than anything. Legislation dos not matter if one mindset will control SCOTUS for the next 30 or 40 years. Then we are doomed.


Just read my tag line.. if Obama wins it will be much worse for us for decades, maybe forever. Meaning there may be no FreeRepublic ever again.

Forget the person, vote to maintain SCOTUS. If nothing else we need to be united and get out our vote for only that reason.
49 posted on 01/06/2012 10:41:48 PM PST by JSteff ((((It was ALL about SCOTUS. Most forget about that and HAVE DOOMED us for a generation or more.))))
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To: God luvs America
I work at a University, and I have had a similar experience.

A lot of the liberals here realize Obama has been a disaster, but their hatred of the GOP runs too deep for them to back one of our declared candidates. Several of them have told me they could see themselves voting for Chris Christie though.

Christie is too liberal for my tastes, but I would prefer him infinitely more than Obama and a whole lot more than Willard Romney as well. People are clamoring for a strong leader, and Chris Christie (even with all his flaws) is that.

50 posted on 01/06/2012 10:42:14 PM PST by comebacknewt (Newt (sigh) what could have been . . .)
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To: Signalman

And you think the GOP is capable of taking advantage of this?


51 posted on 01/06/2012 10:42:56 PM PST by dfwgator
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To: Signalman

Maybe some of these VERY intelligent Democrats have discovered that Obama is an outlaw. For example:

OBAMA”CARE” IS A MONOPOLY, AND THEREFORE VIOLATES THE ANTI-TRUST LAWS OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA.


52 posted on 01/06/2012 10:46:57 PM PST by Graewoulf (( obama"care" violates the 1890 Sherman Anti-Trust Law, AND is illegal by the U.S. Constitution.))
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To: central_va
It’s no apparent now, but given time it will destroy the moral of the armed forces and cause the need for a draft.

And a draft will do damage in ways that a professional soldier would be glad to tell you about. The more highly trained the forces, the more of a liability the "conscript syndrome" becomes. Yelling isn't a magic wand.

At the very least, shifting back to a conscript-fed military will cause the death toll to skyrocket. One of the reasons why the death toll for post-Vietnam wars has been so low, relative to Vietnam and before, has been a professional all-volunteer army.

53 posted on 01/06/2012 10:53:30 PM PST by danielmryan
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To: Signalman

Great news! I’ll take it!


54 posted on 01/06/2012 11:06:58 PM PST by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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To: Signalman

55 posted on 01/06/2012 11:08:29 PM PST by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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To: danielmryan
Another thing that is related to the military is Obama’s vain hope of winning NC in the upcoming election - hence the choice of Charlotte as the site of the Democratic Convention and his numerous visits to our state. I always thought that his chances of winning NC were slim to none anyway, but his announcement of cuts in the US Army and the USMC directly affect NC. I live in Jacksonville, the home of Camp Lejeune, the largest amphibious MCB in the world. The base and the city of Jacksonville have spent millions of dollars constructing on base and off base housing for the INCREASE in the forces that were ordered by President Bush. It takes time to prepare for such an increase in numbers. Now, Obama has made sure that the increase will not occur! He is definitely persona non-grata for most of the citizens of Eastern NC which is also the location of Fort Bragg Army base. These cuts will directly affect the economy of our part of the state!
56 posted on 01/06/2012 11:32:05 PM PST by srmorton (Deut. 30 19: "..I have set before you life and death,....therefore, choose life..")
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To: Signalman

21% OF DEMS HAVE LEFT PARTY...and are voting for either Romney or Paul in the “Republican” primaries.


57 posted on 01/07/2012 12:14:13 AM PST by ApplegateRanch (I prefer Crony Capitalism to Crony Judicialism...unless it's MY crony on the bench)
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To: Signalman

If this holds true I’d love to be a fly on the wall at obammys to hear and see him go in to meltdown when the results become apparent.
And listen to his shelf ass wookie bride go ape too.


58 posted on 01/07/2012 3:14:50 AM PST by Joe Boucher ((FUBO))
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To: Signalman
21% OF DEMS HAVE LEFT PARTY

I guess that is why Cut and Run has improved in the polls.
59 posted on 01/07/2012 3:29:53 AM PST by John D
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To: Signalman

A repeat of 1980 works for me.


60 posted on 01/07/2012 6:06:47 AM PST by Qwackertoo (Gingrich/West 2012)
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