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Fertility Decline May Unhinge Asian Security, Expert Panel Says
Life Site News ^ | 4/10/2012 | C-FAM Staff

Posted on 04/10/2012 7:11:39 PM PDT by Morgana

NEW YORK, April 10, 2012 (C-FAM) The global fertility freefall is about to cause geopolitical upheaval in Asia, a panel of experts said last week. The experts, all contributors to the new book Population Decline and the Remaking of Great Power Politics, spoke at the world’s largest gathering of international relations specialists meeting in San Diego, California.

“For years scholars have said that if fewer people were born, the world would be a safer place. It turns out the opposite is true,” Dr. Susan Yoshihara told conferees at the 53rd annual convention of the International Studies Association, which drew more than 5000 scholars from around the world. Yoshihara is director of the International Organizations Research Group at C-FAM and coeditor of the new book with C-FAM Senior Fellow Douglas Sylva.

India’s leaders used to see a burgeoning population as a liability. Now they view it as a boon, Lisa Curtis said. India will add eleven million workers every year for the next several years. To translate this into economic wealth, India needs to overcome high social hurdles, the Heritage Foundation expert noted, such as its 25 percent illiteracy rate, labor inflexibility, and high rates of sex selective abortion and infanticide of baby girls.

China’s sex ratios are even more skewed, compounding problems with a workforce that will soon start to contract. This raises doubts about China’s rise, Gordon Chang said, noting that “Beijing sees India through the lens of demography.” Chinese leaders are concerned about the imminent demographic eclipse by India which might fuel political tensions with its neighbor.

While the two countries have increased trade from $5 billion to $70 billion in the last decade, their relationship still suffers from bitter memories of a border war, unresolved territorial disputes, and mutual suspicion in their rivalry for regional influence. Chang, a noted author and Forbes.com columnist, concluded that despite Beijing’s hopes, the coming century would not be kind to the Chinese.

That is because in order for a nation to be a “going concern”—a country with momentum—it must have more than just a geographical advantage, Francis Sempa said. It needs political organization and an abundance of manpower with efficiency, skill, and health. The author of several books on geopolitics said that demographic decline is causing stresses on alliances, such as the fact that European decline may necessitate more unilateral action by the United States.

Population decline may soon be straining the U.S.-Japan alliance also, Yoshihara added. Tokyo announced in January that the nation will lose a million people a year – a 30 percent population collapse by 2060. “As its closest ally in Asia turns inward, U.S. influence in the region hangs in the balance,” Yoshihara said, adding that the United States needs to look for new security partners to ensure regional stability and seize its own demographic advantage.

South Korea has also had to scale back its defense spending, Thomas Mahnken said. The Naval War college professor and former Pentagon official added that the U.S. needs to attract the “best and brightest” immigrants to preserve its demographic edge. America also needs to court new security partners such as India, the panel concluded, but they agreed that much more diplomacy was needed to forge a strategic partnership that could avert regional volatility.


TOPICS: Chit/Chat
KEYWORDS: abortion; population

1 posted on 04/10/2012 7:11:45 PM PDT by Morgana
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To: Morgana

Pretty much on the ball there. Once those countries ‘liberated’ women to have careers, their birthrates TOOK A DIVE. Just like the US, although we have immigrant and still have a lot of Christians that see value in large families.

Not true in Asia or Europe (other than Muzzies, who do more harm than good).


2 posted on 04/10/2012 7:21:15 PM PDT by BobL
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To: Morgana
Dear Asia,

I will do whatever it takes to help you.http://media1.break.com/dnet/media/2011/5/24/61477b48-ef0d-416c-b6f0-78067fc5aa82.jpeg

3 posted on 04/10/2012 7:21:53 PM PDT by KC_Lion (I will NEVER vote for Romney, the GOP will go the way of the Whigs if they nominate him)
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To: KC_Lion; SunkenCiv; fieldmarshaldj

Count me in too.


4 posted on 04/10/2012 7:26:20 PM PDT by Perdogg
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To: Morgana

Question: What happens when you kill the female babies?


5 posted on 04/10/2012 7:37:29 PM PDT by evad (STOP SPENDING, STOP SPENDING, STOP SPENDING. It's the SPENDING Stupid)
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To: evad

You go to the Philippines and buy a child bride.


6 posted on 04/10/2012 7:42:16 PM PDT by mamelukesabre (Hello, I'm a TAGLINE virus. Please help me spread by copying me into YOUR tag line)
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To: Morgana

In Asia this is the Year of the Dragon and it’s suppose to be a good time to give birth. Hong Kong hospitals are expecting around a 20% increase in births over last year (One can also assume an increase in marriages both last year and this year).

Many women from mainland China come down to Hong Kong and give birth. They come for different reasons but its usually along the lines of better hospitals/health care, getting around the 1 child policy and anchor babies.


7 posted on 04/10/2012 7:43:18 PM PDT by teacherwoes ("It is vain to expect a well-balanced government without a well-balanced society" -Gideon Welles)
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To: KC_Lion

That right there is a typical japanese girl. Make her skin a little darker, her boobies smaller, and her eyes rounder, and you have a vietnamese girl. or...to make her a korean, you would make her leaner, taller, more slender torso, more pronounced facial features, and a little bit more chinese-ish eyes.


8 posted on 04/10/2012 7:46:29 PM PDT by mamelukesabre (Hello, I'm a TAGLINE virus. Please help me spread by copying me into YOUR tag line)
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To: Perdogg; AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; bigheadfred; Bockscar; ColdOne; ...

Thanks Perdogg.
The global fertility freefall is about to cause geopolitical upheaval in Asia...
...and any second now will be attributed to global warming, instead of feudal and commie politics.


9 posted on 04/10/2012 7:47:13 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (FReepathon 2Q time -- https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: Morgana

More Chicken Little nonsense. Place in the same (circular) file as Global Warming.


10 posted on 04/10/2012 7:49:56 PM PDT by Only Sane Man
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To: evad

You get a lot of sexually frustrated males, which for all of history has led to war.


11 posted on 04/10/2012 8:13:44 PM PDT by piytar (The predator-class is furious that their prey are shooting back.)
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To: piytar; Chode

I think we are about to change history and all these men with no females will become homos.


12 posted on 04/10/2012 8:17:30 PM PDT by Morgana (I only come here to see what happens next. It normally does.)
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To: Morgana

I don’t think so, China is imploding and may make a war. War is usually what happens when there are not enough women.


13 posted on 04/10/2012 8:31:03 PM PDT by little jeremiah (We will have to go through hell to get out of hell. Signed, a fanatic)
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To: Morgana
can't make love? make war...
14 posted on 04/10/2012 8:37:50 PM PDT by Chode (American Hedonist - *DTOM* -ww- NO Pity for the LAZY)
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To: Morgana

I think India is in a position to become a dominant world power if they can dramatically ramp up their education and standard of living. I think now would be an exciting time to be an all powerful ruler of india. If I was he I would be on a quest to develop nuclear power, specifically fast breeder reactors and thorium reactors. Then I would spare no expense to maximized literacy IN ENGLISH....and capitalism...and public utilities...and roads.

Then sit back and watch my people take over the world.


15 posted on 04/10/2012 9:41:13 PM PDT by mamelukesabre (Hello, I'm a TAGLINE virus. Please help me spread by copying me into YOUR tag line)
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To: Morgana
Tokyo announced in January that the nation will lose a million people a year – a 30 percent population collapse by 2060. “As its closest ally in Asia turns inward, U.S. influence in the region hangs in the balance,” Yoshihara said, adding that the United States needs to look for new security partners to ensure regional stability and seize its own demographic advantage.

By 2060, this won't be the problem. With all Mexicans streaming in, the US will become Catholic majority and hence a socialist country.

16 posted on 04/10/2012 10:03:29 PM PDT by JimWayne
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To: teacherwoes
I have been to Japan many times and a year ago while I was there I was talking to a few female friends there and they all said that Japanese men are not interested in sex. They have become to metro-sexual. That is why I never had a problem finding a date in Tokyo.Photobucket
17 posted on 04/10/2012 10:09:25 PM PDT by baddog 219
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To: JimWayne
By 2060, this won't be the problem. With all Mexicans streaming in, the US will become Catholic majority and hence a socialist country.

Just today my friend and I led a very nice Hispanic man to a saving knowledge of Jesus Christ. I could feel how much he knew that he needed The LORD. He was Catholic, but he knew that he was living a life of sin. He seemed so sad and heavily burdened. After coming to Christ he smiled happily.

We no longer need to go to foreign countries to save the lost, as they have come here. If we really want to make a difference we will get serious with The LORD by doing as He says and go out and preach The Gospel to every creature. So many people are just waiting for us to come along. This is the real and lasting way to change our Country for good and make an eternal difference in the lives of people from all different backgrounds and cultures, because this is the will of God, in Christ Jesus, concerning us.

18 posted on 04/11/2012 12:02:13 AM PDT by Bellflower (The LORD is Holy, separated from all sin, perfect, righteous, high and lifted up.)
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