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Election 2012: State of the Race (Romney starting to bring it together)
rove.com ^ | 6/12/2012 | Karl Rove

Posted on 06/12/2012 5:46:56 PM PDT by Signalman

Mitt Romney continued to build momentum in the latest Karl Rove and Company map, with four critical swing states moving in his direction: Ohio and Colorado moved to "toss up" from "lean Obama" status, Arizona moved from "toss up" to "lean Romney," and Iowa moved from "safe Obama" to "lean Obama." This leaves Mr. Obama with 198 Electoral College votes (down six from May 22) and 65 “lean Obama” (down 11). Mr. Romney has 98 Electoral College votes (unchanged from May 22) and 74 “lean Romney” (up 11). There are seven "toss up" states with 103 Electoral College votes up for grabs (up six from May 22), but recent polls already show Romney getting stronger in these and many other states.

Additionally, it is important to remember there have been no polls in South Carolina since December 2011 and in Kentucky since August 2011, though most observers believe they are in Mr. Romney’s column. They have 17 Electoral College votes that will likely move to “safe Romney,” but today are in the “toss up” and “lean Romney” categories, respectively.

My comment: Also note that the map shows FL, NC and MO as "tossups". I have no doubt that Romney will take these states, as well as OH.



TOPICS: Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: electoral; map; rove

1 posted on 06/12/2012 5:47:11 PM PDT by Signalman
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To: Signalman

We may lose New Mexico? I don’t think we lost it last time did we? I definitely think we win the popular vote but I am not sure about the electoral...it is going to be too close for comfort. We should have chosen a conservative.


2 posted on 06/12/2012 5:54:47 PM PDT by napscoordinator
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To: Signalman
Karl Rove "tracker" this time 4 years ago:



actual results:


I don't trust anything this far out, even trends, especially from Tokyo Rove.
3 posted on 06/12/2012 6:09:02 PM PDT by kevcol
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To: napscoordinator
Obama carried New Mexico easily--he added 100,000 votes to Kerry's total. Bush carried the state by about 6,000 votes in 2004 and lost it by a few hundred votes in 2000 (one of the states where people suspected shenanigans may have made the difference in 2000).

Hard to see how South Carolina is a toss-up. Gingrich voters who are going to stay home?

4 posted on 06/12/2012 6:28:32 PM PDT by Verginius Rufus
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To: Verginius Rufus

Romney will take SC, FL, NC, FL, MO and OH. And he’s got a solid chance in VA.


5 posted on 06/12/2012 6:33:54 PM PDT by Signalman ( November, 2012-The End of an Error)
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To: Verginius Rufus

I think it will come down to Colorado. Romney can win every state including Ohio, Virginia, North Carolina, and Florida.....He is not going to win Pennsylvania even though every election since 1988 there is hope that it goes Republican and never does. Iowa will go blue again. I think Romney needs my advice....HE NEEDS TO CHANGE COLORADO IMMEDIATELY!! If I were Romney, I would spend from now until the election in Colorado and he will win, if Romney loses Colorado it is over.


6 posted on 06/12/2012 6:35:18 PM PDT by napscoordinator
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To: Signalman

Ahhh yes, Karl Rove. Working to ensure the Republicans barely win, if at all, by building a mushy message aimed at wooing independents with “progressivism light” all the while marginalizing those crazy Tea Party whackos and their slate of unelectable candidates (especially unelectable after Karl does his best to sabotage them so he can say, “see, I told you so. Only mushy establishment types can win” all the while pretending he had nothing to do with sabotaging them).


7 posted on 06/12/2012 6:35:47 PM PDT by FlipWilson
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To: Signalman
Has anybody wondered what Mitt Romney has been doing with his time these past few months?

He does make public appearances but for the most part, he is behind closed doors most of the day, meeting with people and talking.

I wonder what Mitt Romney is talking about?

Does anybody know what Mitt Romney is doing with his time?

8 posted on 06/12/2012 6:49:59 PM PDT by SamAdams76
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To: SamAdams76

The stuff of nightmares.


9 posted on 06/12/2012 6:53:18 PM PDT by ansel12 (Massachusetts Governors, where the GOP now goes for it's Presidential candidates.)
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To: SamAdams76
Does anybody know what Mitt Romney is doing with his time?

Mitt Romney has been jetting around the country making frequent stops in states that will not be battlegrounds this fall — California, Texas, Utah and New York among them — in a search for donations. In coming weeks, he has events scheduled in wealthy enclaves from Aspen, Colo., and Jackson Hole, Wyo., to the Hamptons, and he is planning a late-summer fund-raising blitz heading into the conventions.

With the primary season over, the presidential campaign has entered a new phase, one dictated by the competitive realities of the deregulated campaign finance system. Having decided not to take public financing for the general election, both Mr. Obama and Mr. Romney need to devote much of their time to banking the money necessary to fuel their campaigns through Election Day.
(link)
10 posted on 06/12/2012 7:17:37 PM PDT by kevcol
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To: Signalman

He’s got South Carolina a toss up?


11 posted on 06/12/2012 7:31:02 PM PDT by Jaguarmike
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Listing South Carolina as a toss up is a joke.


12 posted on 06/12/2012 7:31:54 PM PDT by Crimson Elephant
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To: SamAdams76

He was in Orlando today. Had a townhall and then a fundraiser in Windemere(very rich people in Windemere)I got an invite to the townhall, but had to work and could not take time off.


13 posted on 06/12/2012 7:47:52 PM PDT by marygam (#Hurry November 2012, we might not make it#)
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To: Jaguarmike

Re: SC, is it possible they think evangelicals will not turn out in large enough numbers because of the Mormon issue?

It is hard to see MO flipping this time and going Dem. If BH0 couldn’t carry it under the best of circumstances in ‘08 I think it will go Republican this year, if not by a huge margin. Sen McCaskill also is trailing.


14 posted on 06/12/2012 7:50:25 PM PDT by TNCMAXQ
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