Posted on 07/08/2012 3:33:41 PM PDT by djone
I will simply say this: Obama has not lost until he has lost. This man and the people around him are playing for keeps.
Romney just has to stay on message about what this race is about, the nation cannot survive another Obama term
Obama voters who are turned off (youth voters in particular) will likely not turn out in large numbers, which will also effect other offices as well.
No, he will not.
The % may be higher, but with fewer voters.
Moreover, whenever Obamacare has been an issue (as it will be in this election), it has lost big.
And you are not factoring in those who voted for Obama who will stay home or vote 3rd Party as well.
The Devil always loses.
Oh, forgot to add...don't you mean "binary?" One or the other?
>>Oh, forgot to add...don’t you mean “binary?” One or the other?<<
No, I meant what I said.
HOWEVER, Elections are held in the Real World so a 3rd Party Candidate has a pretty close to zero probability of winning. Especially when such a candidate does not exist 4 months before the election.
Look at 1992: bill clinton won with a mere plurality: 43% Bush got 37.5, Perot 18.9%. Had there been no Perot, Bush would have won and we would not have had clinton, which means we would not have had 9/11 (among the many long-term evils he visited on our country).
Similar math applies this cycle, but the difference will be razor thin. A tiny % sent away from Romney will give obozo the election.
A vote for a 3rd party (or no vote at all) is a vote for obozo.
>>And you are not factoring in those who voted for Obama who will stay home or vote 3rd Party as well.<<
They are voting for Romney, which we should take advantage of. When the enemy is making a mistake, do not copy him.
Mathematically speaking, it’s half-vote for Obungle. But I hear you.
It is racist to oppose voter fraud, don’cha know?
>>They might not vote for Romney, but they aren’t voting for Obama.<<
That is the net effect of their votes. The result is the same as if they had dropped the lever for barry.
You obviously took public school arithmetic - or public school logic. A McCain voter who stays home or votes third party or votes only the down ballot races is not the same thing mathematically as a McCain voter who switches and votes for Obama.
Not that hard, really. Zero sum, maybe, but there is a one vote swing and a two vote swing. A switch is a two vote swing. A stay at home is only one.
>>Not that hard, really. Zero sum, maybe, but there is a one vote swing and a two vote swing. A switch is a two vote swing. A stay at home is only one.<<
It is still a vote for him. The net effect of a complete swing is indeed 2 votes, but that doesn’t change the fact it is a vote for him. But that is a Schroedinger’s cat type analysis.
The net is only half what a true switch would be mathematically. Both help Obama, but one helps twice what the other does. That’s a mathematical and logical and undeniable fact, period.
Perhaps in Heaven, but how about here?
Wishful drinkin’ !
Try and explain baseball statistics to him/her. I’d love to pop corn and watch the fun....
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