Invasion of South Korea is unlikely

CIA ^ | 13 January 1950 | CIA

[moonshot925]

CIA Weekly Summary Report sent to President Truman on 13 January 1950

[moonshot925]

"Despite this increase in North Korean military strength, the possibility of an invasion of South Korea is unlikely unless North Korean forces can develop a clear-cut superiority over the increasingly efficient South Korean Army."

[DManA]

When was the CIA ever right?

[VeniVidiVici]

Whew! Thank God that’s all cleared up!

[montanajoe]

Informed speculation is that they are usually right..of course the public will never know as we only find out when they are wrong...

[moonshot925]

The CIA got one thing right.

"Usama bin Ladin and his global network of lieutenants and associates remain the most immediate and serious threat...he is capable of planning multiple attacks with little or no warning."
Director of Central Intelligence George Tenet, 7 February 2001

[DManA]

Probably true. God I hope so.

[moonshot925]

https://www.cia.gov/news-information/cia-the-war-on-terrorism/pub_statements_terrorism.html

[Snickering Hound]

http://www.trumanlibrary.org/whistlestop/study_collections/korea/large/week2/kw_78_1.jpg

It gets better. After the invasion, Truman insisted on a naval quarantine of North Korea. The Navy had to tell him they could not do it thanks to the drastic cutbacks he and Secretary of Defense Louis Johnson had implemented. Their memo is above from the Truman library.

[NoCmpromiz]

CIA Weekly Summary Report sent to President Truman on 13 January 1950

For those of you too young to remember: North Korean forces invaded South Korea on 25 June 1950.

So much for that CIA report...

[elpadre]

famous last words????

[capt B]

And when Truman and British PM Attlee decided, against Gen MacArthur’s advice, not to be prepared to use atomic bombs, the Chinese invaded the south. Stalin was informed of the decision by British spy D. Maclean and gave the OK to Mao, hence 50,000 American men were killed.