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Intrade (Vanity)
Intrade ^ | 9/18/12 | Intrade

Posted on 09/18/2012 9:11:50 AM PDT by tatown

Obama - 68.0% Mitt - 32.5%

(Excerpt) Read more at intrade.com ...


TOPICS: Chit/Chat
KEYWORDS: intrade; politics
Do these numbers actually reflect what the bettors think the odds really are or are these numbers being manipulated?? Just a week ago (with the convention bounced factored in) his numbers were in the mid-50's. Since the storming of the embassy's on 9/11, his numbers have gone straight up! WTF?
1 posted on 09/18/2012 9:11:56 AM PDT by tatown
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To: tatown

Obama running tons of ads in Wisconsin tells me trading is being funded by Obama campaign and has no connection to reality.


2 posted on 09/18/2012 9:16:59 AM PDT by UB355 (Slower traffic keep right)
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To: tatown

I think they’re being manipulated, and that if they aren’t they’re the dumb money.

Consider that Ryan’s percentage on Intrade was tiny and Portman’s was huge. Consider also that Intrade had the USSC overturning Obamacare at 79% an hour before they affirmed it.


3 posted on 09/18/2012 9:17:26 AM PDT by Mr. Silverback (I walk forty-seven miles of barbed wire, I got a cobra snake for a necktie.)
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To: UB355; tatown

Keep in mind that for Romney to be up three in Rasmussen’s poll and losing Intrade by over 30 points makes about as much sense as someone predicting the Colts to win the Superbowl. Even if he were losing, these numbers wouldn’t be this high 50 days out.


4 posted on 09/18/2012 9:20:41 AM PDT by Mr. Silverback (I walk forty-seven miles of barbed wire, I got a cobra snake for a necktie.)
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To: tatown

Manipulation, let nothing dampen your enthusiam. They are in real trouble and are pulling out all the stops.


5 posted on 09/18/2012 9:21:35 AM PDT by DarthVader (Politicians govern out of self interest, Statesmen govern for a Vision greater than themselves)
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To: UB355


"Put it on there and let it ride..."
6 posted on 09/18/2012 9:42:29 AM PDT by Emperor Palpatine ("On the ascent of Olympus, what's a botched bar or two?" -Artur Schnabel)
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To: tatown

I’ve watched Intrade a while... seems it’s a lagging indicator by about 10 days or so. It’s still reacting to 0bama’s post-DNC bump.


7 posted on 09/18/2012 9:58:15 AM PDT by ScottinVA (If Obama is reelected, America will deserve every mockery that follows.)
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To: tatown
Prediction Market Manipulation
8 posted on 09/18/2012 10:01:07 AM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Government is the religion of the sociopath.)
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To: tatown

Looks to me like some easy money to made here if you’re willing to give InTrade a photo copy of your drivers license and two utility bills with your address.


9 posted on 09/18/2012 10:06:45 AM PDT by catnipman (Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
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To: tatown

Obama was over 75 cents last night, now just below. Either a big money-making opportunity, or a signal that we’re screwed.


10 posted on 09/27/2012 8:55:32 AM PDT by AZLiberty (No tag today.)
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To: tatown

Obama was over 75 cents last night, now just below. Either a big money-making opportunity, or a signal that we’re screwed.


11 posted on 09/27/2012 8:55:32 AM PDT by AZLiberty (No tag today.)
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To: AZLiberty

Yeah I know. According to Intrade, his odds go up every single day. Don’t get it...? To be honest Intrade is probably the only thing that concerns me. The polls can be manipulated we all know that. Intrade however requires someone to put their money where their mouth is....


12 posted on 09/27/2012 10:32:20 AM PDT by tatown ( FUMD, FUAC, and FUGB)
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To: tatown

I doubted Intrade last time around. I thought I could make some money and tried to sign up, but couldn’t be bothered sending them all the required ID. Unfortunately, Intrade was right. I hope they’re wrong this time, or that they get it right by election day.


13 posted on 09/28/2012 6:00:25 PM PDT by AZLiberty (No tag today.)
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To: tatown

I doubted Intrade last time around. I thought I could make some money and tried to sign up, but couldn’t be bothered sending them all the required ID. Unfortunately, Intrade was right. I hope they’re wrong this time, or that they get it right by election day.


14 posted on 09/28/2012 6:00:25 PM PDT by AZLiberty (No tag today.)
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To: AZLiberty

I have to replace this Logitech wireless mouse. It’s driving me doubly nuts.


15 posted on 09/28/2012 6:02:40 PM PDT by AZLiberty (No tag today.)
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To: AZLiberty

Make sure the batteries are good... Then check for anything electrical in a direct line between the mouse and the Bluetooth receiver on the pc. Power cables, lights, power supplies, etc. will pollute the signal with interference, or anything with metal or mesh that might block it. Again, just stuff in a direct line. I rearranged some things on my desk and got way better response from my Bluetooth mouse. My .02 :-)


16 posted on 09/28/2012 6:45:33 PM PDT by Ramius (Personally, I give us one chance in three. More tea anyone?)
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To: Ramius

It’s a non-Bluetooth mouse with a USB gizmo to provide the wireless connection. (I don’t understand why Bluetooth didn’t catch on in the Windows world.)

This mouse worked fine for years on Mac and Windows machines. It now fails on multiple computers, so it’s not a situational problem. Lately it’s just gone a little off, often sending two clicks for each press of the mouse. I suppose I could try taking it apart to clean out the little microswitch that’s probably responsible, but it’s a better use of my time to just replace the darned thing.


17 posted on 09/29/2012 5:07:09 PM PDT by AZLiberty (No tag today.)
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