Posted on 03/29/2020 9:35:29 AM PDT by Mariner
Thanks for the question. 2 weeks ago, Italy was at a little over 2000 deaths. Today, the US is at a little over 2000 deaths, exactly as predicted. Hope that helps.
Military leaders have gone to a bunker in cheyenne. Please get off this thread and go lend your expertise to them and tell them they are over reacting.
Glen Beck was screaming that. But. we're more than 6 times the population of Italy. We can absorb Italy's nominal numbers easily. Plus we're about to go into full-time wartime production mode - hospital beds, ventilators. We need PPE, though. Lots of it.
Actually, that is true, thank you. If only our schools would inculcate those values, starting with Kindergarten.
LOL, yeah, the entire military leadership has hunkered underground as the virus goes exponential... Hey chick, you should double check the tv channel, sounds like you’re watching some Hollywood scare film.
So Fearpers, you think the buys in the Cheyenne Bunker will nuke NYC to keep the rest of us safe? Has Will Smith showed up yet to help in the fight?
US net of plague ship USS NY (35% of total gross US of 2,038). Actuals through 3/28, 3/29-4/5 projected based on event-to-date ratio with Italy.
Italy 60.5 IT v US USA-NY 310.9 Day Date Cum Total % Chg Daily Ratio Date Cum Total % Chg Daily 1 2/21/2020 1 1 1.0 2/29/2020 1 1 2 2/22/2020 2 100.0% 1 1.0 3/1/2020 2 100.0% 1 3 2/23/2020 3 50.0% 1 0.5 3/2/2020 6 200.0% 4 4 2/24/2020 7 133.3% 4 0.8 3/3/2020 9 50.0% 3 5 2/25/2020 10 42.9% 3 0.8 3/4/2020 12 33.3% 3 6 2/26/2020 12 20.0% 2 0.9 3/5/2020 14 16.7% 2 7 2/27/2020 17 41.7% 5 0.9 3/6/2020 18 28.6% 4 8 2/28/2020 21 23.5% 4 1.1 3/7/2020 19 5.6% 1 9 2/29/2020 29 38.1% 8 1.3 3/8/2020 22 15.8% 3 10 3/1/2020 34 17.2% 5 1.3 3/9/2020 26 18.2% 4 11 3/2/2020 52 52.9% 18 1.7 3/10/2020 31 19.2% 5 12 3/3/2020 79 51.9% 27 2.1 3/11/2020 38 22.6% 7 13 3/4/2020 107 35.4% 28 2.5 3/12/2020 42 10.5% 4 14 3/5/2020 148 38.3% 41 3.0 3/13/2020 49 16.7% 7 15 3/6/2020 197 33.1% 49 3.6 3/14/2020 54 10.2% 5 16 3/7/2020 233 18.3% 36 3.9 3/15/2020 59 9.3% 5 17 3/8/2020 366 57.1% 133 5.3 3/16/2020 69 16.9% 10 18 3/9/2020 463 26.5% 97 5.4 3/17/2020 85 23.2% 16 19 3/10/2020 631 36.3% 168 5.9 3/18/2020 107 25.9% 22 20 3/11/2020 827 31.1% 196 6.0 3/19/2020 137 28.0% 30 21 3/12/2020 1,027 24.2% 200 5.6 3/20/2020 184 34.3% 47 22 3/13/2020 1,266 23.3% 239 5.3 3/21/2020 240 30.4% 56 23 3/14/2020 1,441 13.8% 175 4.3 3/22/2020 332 38.3% 92 24 3/15/2020 1,809 25.5% 368 5.0 3/23/2020 362 9.0% 30 25 3/16/2020 2,158 19.3% 349 5.3 3/24/2020 410 13.3% 48 26 3/17/2020 2,503 16.0% 345 4.0 3/25/2020 621 51.5% 211 27 3/18/2020 2,978 19.0% 475 3.8 3/26/2020 774 24.6% 153 28 3/19/2020 3,405 14.3% 427 3.6 3/27/2020 957 23.6% 183 29 3/20/2020 4,032 18.4% 627 3.1 3/28/2020 1,310 36.9% 353 30 3/21/2020 4,825 19.7% 793 3.1 3/29/2020 1,556 18.8% 246 31 3/22/2020 5,475 13.5% 650 3.1 3/30/2020 1,766 13.5% 210 32 3/23/2020 6,077 11.0% 602 3.1 3/31/2020 1,960 11.0% 194 33 3/24/2020 6,820 12.2% 743 3.1 4/1/2020 2,200 12.2% 240 34 3/25/2020 7,503 10.0% 683 3.1 4/2/2020 2,420 10.0% 220 35 3/26/2020 8,215 9.5% 712 3.1 4/3/2020 2,650 9.5% 230 36 3/27/2020 9,134 11.2% 919 3.1 4/4/2020 2,946 11.2% 296 37 3/28/2020 10,023 9.7% 889 3.1 4/5/2020 3,233 9.7% 287 Gross differential 3.1 Population differential 5.1 Per capita differential 15.9 Growth rate 2x 2x 29 Days 33.1% 28.1% 37 Days 28.3% 2.5 Days 24.4% 2.9 days Sources https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_coronavirus_pandemic_in_the_United_States https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_coronavirus_pandemic_in_Italy https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_coronavirus_pandemic_in_New_York_(state)
Nancy Pelousi will critisize him cor that, right?
Proggies are calling for a lonnnnng lockdown, saying if it saves one life it’s worth it.
Remember that well. Apply it to other issues often, like the wall, abortion and drugs.
We also have a huge chunk of the country shut down slowing the spread.
The graph starts on the 10th death not the 10th day.
The problem is you don't know when day 1 was. Picking the 10th day, approximately the 1000th case starts with a statistically significant number of cases, normalizing the time 0 for staring the exponential growth.
The future’s uncertain but the end is always near.....
She didn’t say ‘the entire military leadership’.
As posted on previous threads....
U.S. military command teams in charge of protecting homeland security are being isolated in the infamous Cheyenne mountain bunker where they will remain ‘sealed off’ until the coronavirus pandemic passes
If you don’t agree with things posted about CV on designated CV threads, why not simply ignore/walk on by? Easy to do, for many. More difficult to do, for a few.
You can take your rude comments to a flubro thread. I hear they’ve got one designated, just for flubros.
So are you claiming i am lying about military leaders going to the bunker in cheyenne
I’d hate to have the world think that FR has nothing but morons as members.
The virus isn’t nearly as deadly as the flu, but stupidity has its consequences nonetheless.
Shutdown effects should start to be seen 5 days in, full effect about 2 weeks. There has been a slowdown of the rate of increase in cases, from 50% a week and a half ago, to about 20% now.
There won't be an effect on the death rate until incubation time+disease course runs, maybe about 17 days after shutdown, fatality rate is behind the case rate. Death rate is at 1.75% now, and statisically has to increase. It will probably reach 3% of the cases identified.
Waiting to see the numbers flatten. Hope that starts happening. Sick of being locked down.
I’d hate to have the world think that FR has nothing but morons as members.
= = =
Agree...so, please stop trolling on the CV threads, and proving your own point.
Thanks and take best care.
“If you don’t agree with things posted about CV on designated CV threads, why not simply ignore/walk on by?”
Some dogs got to piss on everything, then go back and smell it.
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