Posted on 10/15/2022 9:23:43 AM PDT by Signalman
The 2022 midterm elections are now 25 days away, and Republicans have a seven-point lead in their bid to recapture control of Congress.
The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that, if the elections for Congress were held today, 48% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for the Republican candidate, while 41% would vote for the Democrat. Just four percent (4%) would vote for some other candidate, but another seven percent (7%) are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
The GOP lead is up three points from last week, when they led 47% to 43%. Republicans have led the Generic Congressional Ballot all year, although their lead has narrowed since mid-July, when they led by as much as 10 points.
Rasmussen Reports is updating the Generic Congressional Ballot findings weekly on Fridays at 10:30 a.m. Eastern until the midterm elections in November.
In October 2018, before voters handed Democrats their first House majority in eight years, Democrats and Republicans were tied at 45% each in the generic ballot question. The margin was still a statistical dead heat – Republicans 46%, Democrats 45% – in the final poll before Democrats won a slim House majority while Republicans gained Senate seats to maintain control of that chamber.
Want a free daily e-mail update? If it’s in the news, it’s in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
The survey of 2,500 U.S. Likely Voters was conducted on October 9-13, 2022 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/-2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
The expanded Republican lead is due mainly to a 16-point advantage among independent voters. Eighty-five percent (85%) of Republican voters say they would vote for their own party’s congressional candidate, while 82% of Democrats would vote for the Democratic candidate. Among voters not affiliated with either major party, 46% would vote Republican and 30% would vote Democrat, while nine percent (9%) would vote for some other candidate and 15% are undecided.
Fifty-two percent (52%) of whites, 27% of black voters and 45% of other minorities would vote Republican if the election were held today. Fifty-eight percent (58%) of black voters, 38% of whites and 42% of other minorities would vote Democrat.
The so-called “gender gap” has widened in the latest findings, with men (53%) now 10 points more likely than women voters (43%) to prefer Republican congressional candidates. The gap was two points last week.
Voters under 40 favor Democrats by a 12-point margin, 47% to 35%, but voters ages 40-64 favor Republicans 52% to 39%, and the GOP lead is 18 points – 56% to 38% – among voters 65 and older.
Breaking down the electorate by income categories, Democrats lead by 12 points, 51% to 39%, among voters with annual incomes over $200,000, while Republicans have a 12-point advantage among those earning between $30,000 and $50,000 a year.
Republicans now hold strong majorities among both government employees and retirees, while private sector workers are almost evenly divided, with 44% for Democrats and 43% for Republicans.
Despite controversies over other issues, the economy remains the top concern for voters just weeks ahead of November’s crucial midterm elections.
A year after school controversies helped Republicans win big in Virginia, education remains an important issue for most voters.
If it is even half of that, we are going to easily sweep the midterms.
With these sentiments, plus the history of midterm outcomes backing them up: If the red wave does not happen then it’s game over. Time to decamp.
I watch the trends in the RCP polling averages pretty closely. I have not seen one race where the trending is favorable to the DemonRat candidate.
Of course, this is assuming there will be an honest election.
Only if we do nto get complacent. Must bother to vote.
I can’t remember any election in 100 years which was graud free.
That is why must vote in larger numbers than margin of fraud.
People forget about VOTER FRAUD.
The American Voter has only two choices Vote Trump/GOP or vote for Democrat. fake, illegal, criminal, POTUS, Joe Biden and his Democrat :Hate America: cohorts!!!
Actually, the American voter only has one choice and it is called MAGA...”Make America Great Again”!!!
Our once great country is a mess, a failure, in just two years of Democrat destruction of this great Republic!! Any American voter that votes for any Democrat is casting their vote to destroy the American Nation Republic and all it’s freedom, liberty, opportunities and equality!!!
Americans...you got one choice....that is all you have. Either you politically destroy the Democrat Party totally, or, your destroy yourselves, your families, your future!!!
Gas now as high as $8/gal in LA
Let’s go Brandon...you moron
Republicans now hold strong majorities among both government employees and retirees, while private sector workers are almost evenly divided, with 44% for Democrats and 43% for Republicans.
...private sector employees?
“Gas now as high as $8/gal in LA”
Don’t know why anyone would pay that when there are multiple stations in LA at $5.35, just looked them up.
Republicans will sweep both houses this November outside of voter fraud. This feckless and illegitimate administration makes Jimmy Carter look like Winston Churchill.
With the sorry performance of the democRATs, these polls don’t say much about the intelligence of almost half of the population.
Yes, its almost impossible to believe. Government employees are the base of Leftist power, and they fund and control the even worse storm-troopers of the Left.
Perhaps it is because the poll included local state and federal employees not just Federal?
Nobody is forgetting about voter fraud. It’s mentioned on every election thread.
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