Posted on 08/15/2011 5:23:24 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
Raleigh, N.C. – Having made his bid for the Republican presidential nomination official Saturday, Rick Perry instantly becomes a big threat to Mitt Romney’s dominance in the Western primaries and in the South, where he is already potentially weak. Perry ties Romney in Colorado, where Romney had enjoyed a lead, albeit small, when PPP last polled the state in February. Romney gets 22% to Perry’s 21%, with Michele Bachmann at 15%, Newt Gingrich at 9%, Ron Paul at 7%, Tim Pawlenty at 6%, Herman Cain at 5%, and Jon Huntsman at 2%. With Sarah Palin in the field, Romney and Perry are deadlocked at 20%, with Bachmann back at 12%, Palin at 11%, and the others in single digits. Six months ago, Romney had 19% over Palin’s and Mike Huckabee’s 16% and Newt Gingrich’s 12%, with four others in single digits. In North Carolina, Romney has declined from 23% to 16% since last month, and Bachmann from 22% to 17%, with Perry tying her for the lead, up from 14%. Gingrich and Paul are not much further back, at 11% each, with Cain at 9%, Pawlenty at 4%, and Huntsman at 2%. Palin’s presence makes a much bigger difference here than in Colorado. Bachmann falls back to 9%, with Romney, Perry, and Palin all at 17%, Cain at 11%, Gingrich at 10%, and the others in single digits.....
(Excerpt) Read more at publicpolicypolling.com ...
Palin has a 79% Tea Party Favorability and a 63% Favorability overall. Wow!
In CO that is.
Good numbers for Palin, but it’s still a PPP survey. Zero trust in anything they put out.
If Sarah is going to run, I hope she decides to announce soon. I do worry about the “Fred Thompson” effect — in the race too late to gain traction as many have already lined up behind an earlier candidate.
That is pretty darn impressive. From the PDS people who post here you would think that no one likes her..she is VERY popular, if she runs, she has this thing in the bag
Palin has extremely high favorables.
The old women love Perry.
It is a legit issue. The later you announce, the harder you need to hit the ground running. Fred didn’t do that but Sarah will. Even so, knowing the how things work here in Iowa I’d announce no later than Labor Day just so her ground team has time to get their battle plans executed.
IA, NH, and SC are one right after the other in January, and things are pretty much dead politically from the week of Thanksgiving to New Years day. I believe she has essentially said herself she should announce by September if she is running.
She needs to come out of South Carolina in the top 3 and close to the front runner if she’s not. She might be able to do that on her star power alone if she announces later, but that’d be too big a gamble if that were me. I’d want my ground team to have time to rally the troops.
I’m 33. I didn’t realize that qualified as “old”.
No comparison at all between her and Fred. FT was ill with a type of Lymphoma, had no energy,and is a known lazy campaigner. He is 20 years older than Sarah, and has a young wife and small children that look like they run him ragged.
From the beginning I sensed that his wife wanted him to run and he was reluctant but went along. It was a disaster for him, and if you had seen him at the Florida Presidency IV you would have known that. It was sad how many people wanted a sick old man to kill himself running for President.
North Carolina:
Q6 If the candidates for President next year were
Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain, Newt
Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Sarah Palin, Ron
Paul, Tim Pawlenty, Rick Perry, and Mitt
Romney, who would you vote for?
Michele Bachmann ......................................... 9%
Herman Cain................................................... 11%
Newt Gingrich ................................................. 10%
Jon Huntsman................................................. 1%
Sarah Palin ..................................................... 17%
Ron Paul ......................................................... 7%
Tim Pawlenty .................................................. 2%
Rick Perry ....................................................... 17%
Mitt Romney.................................................... 17%
Someone else/Undecided............................... 9%
Q7 If Sarah Palin didn’t end up running for
President, and the candidates were Michele
Bachmann, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich, Jon
Huntsman, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, Rick
Perry, and Mitt Romney, who would you vote
for?
Michele Bachmann ......................................... 17%
Herman Cain................................................... 9%
Newt Gingrich ................................................. 11%
Jon Huntsman................................................. 2%
Ron Paul ......................................................... 11%
Tim Pawlenty .................................................. 4%
Rick Perry ....................................................... 17%
Mitt Romney.................................................... 16%
Someone else/Undecided............................... 13%
Colorado Results
Q6 If the candidates for President next year were
Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain, Newt
Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Sarah Palin, Ron
Paul, Tim Pawlenty, Rick Perry, and Mitt
Romney, who would you vote for?
Michele Bachmann ......................................... 12%
Herman Cain................................................... 7%
Newt Gingrich ................................................. 6%
Jon Huntsman................................................. 2%
Sarah Palin ..................................................... 11%
Ron Paul ......................................................... 8%
Tim Pawlenty .................................................. 3%
Rick Perry ....................................................... 20%
Mitt Romney.................................................... 20%
Someone else/Undecided............................... 11%
Q7 If Sarah Palin didn’t end up running for
President, and the candidates were Michele
Bachmann, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich, Jon
Huntsman, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, Rick
Perry, and Mitt Romney, who would you vote
for?
Michele Bachmann ......................................... 15%
Herman Cain................................................... 5%
Newt Gingrich ................................................. 9%
Jon Huntsman................................................. 2%
Ron Paul ......................................................... 7%
Tim Pawlenty .................................................. 6%
Rick Perry ....................................................... 21%
Mitt Romney.................................................... 22%
Someone else/Undecided............................... 13%
Looking at Perry’s poll numbers and the typical Perry supporter is a woman 65+.
I guess old women’s “fake conservative” detectors wear out, or maybe they never had one to begin with, and they just like the Goodhair.
That North Carolina poll is the second poll I’ve seen where Romney actually LOSES a percent if Palin DOES NOT run. Usually you see other candidates lose support to an extra candidates.
But for some reason, occasionally, when Palin is added to the mix, it drives some voters to change their vote TO Romney. And that just seems bizarre to me.
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